/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 22 We considered the differences be... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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We considered the differences between the reading and writing scores of a random sample of 200 students who took the High School and Beyond Survey in Exercise 7.20 . The mean and standard deviation of the differences are \(\bar{x}_{\text {read-write }}=-0.545\) and 8.887 points. (a) Calculate a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the average difference between the reading and writing scores of all students. (b) Interpret this interval in context. (c) Does the confidence interval provide convincing evidence that there is a real difference in the average scores? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The 95% confidence interval is [-1.775, 0.685], indicating no significant difference.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Given Information

The problem provides the mean of the differences as \( \bar{x}_{\text{read-write}} = -0.545 \) and the standard deviation as \( s = 8.887 \) for a sample size \( n = 200 \). Our goal is to find a 95% confidence interval for the true mean difference.
02

Calculate the Standard Error

The standard error (SE) of the mean difference is calculated using the formula \( \text{SE} = \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \), where \( s = 8.887 \) and \( n = 200 \). Substitute the values into the formula: \( \text{SE} = \frac{8.887}{\sqrt{200}} \approx 0.6281 \).
03

Find the Critical Value

For a 95% confidence interval, we use a standard normal distribution (z-distribution) because the sample size is large. The critical value for 95% confidence is approximately 1.96.
04

Calculate the Confidence Interval

The formula for the confidence interval is \( \bar{x} \pm z \times \text{SE} \). Substitute \( \bar{x} = -0.545 \), \( z = 1.96 \), and \( \text{SE} = 0.6281 \) into the formula: \(-0.545 \pm 1.96 \times 0.6281 \). This yields an interval of approximately \(-0.545 \pm 1.230 \), or \([-1.775, 0.685]\).
05

Interpret the Confidence Interval

The 95% confidence interval for the difference between reading and writing scores is \([-1.775, 0.685]\). This interval suggests that, on average, reading scores could be between 1.775 points lower and 0.685 points higher than writing scores.
06

Address Convincing Evidence

The confidence interval includes zero, which means we cannot be confident that there is a significant difference in the average reading and writing scores. The inclusion of zero suggests that the observed difference could be due to random variation.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Standard Error
The standard error (SE) is a crucial concept for estimating how much the sample mean differs from the true population mean. It helps in determining the accuracy of a sample statistic when estimating a population parameter. The smaller the standard error, the more precise the estimate. In our exercise, the standard error is calculated using the formula:
\[ \text{SE} = \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \]where \(s\) is the standard deviation of the sample, and \(n\) is the sample size. For the given values:
  • \(s = 8.887\) is the standard deviation of the differences.
  • \(n = 200\) is the number of students in the sample.
The standard error thus becomes:\[ \text{SE} = \frac{8.887}{\sqrt{200}} \approx 0.6281 \]This result implies that the expected variability of sample mean differences around the true mean difference is about 0.6281. Understanding SE is important because it affects the width of the confidence interval, helping us understand the reliability of our estimate.
Normal Distribution
The normal distribution is a key statistical concept that represents data forming a bell-shaped curve when plotted. It's important because many natural phenomena follow a normal distribution, allowing statisticians to make inferences about a population from sample data.
In the context of calculating confidence intervals, as in this exercise, we often rely on the normal distribution, particularly the standard normal distribution, or z-distribution, when the sample is large. Here, we use the critical value from the z-distribution corresponding to a 95% confidence level, which is approximately 1.96.
This distribution provides the framework for estimating the range within which the true mean difference will lie, considering that most data (around 95%) falls within 1.96 standard deviations of the mean in a normally distributed population. For this reason, the normal distribution is crucial when calculating and interpreting confidence intervals.
Sample Size
Sample size is another key factor in statistical analysis since it directly affects the reliability and precision of estimations. In this exercise, we have a sample size of \(n = 200\), which is a large enough sample to provide a reliable estimate of the population parameters.
Larger sample sizes tend to give more accurate results because they reduce the impact of outliers and random variations. A big sample size provides a narrower confidence interval, increasing the accuracy of estimating the population mean.
  • As sample size increases, the standard error decreases, improving the estimate.
  • It gives more representation of the population, lowering the sampling error.
Therefore, in our situation, having a sample size of 200 ensures a good estimate, providing us with a 95% confidence interval that reflects the likely range of the true mean difference.
Mean Difference
Mean difference represents the average discrepancy between two sets of data points. In this exercise, we're interested in the difference between reading and writing scores of students, specifically focusing on the mean of these differences.
The mean difference provided in the exercise is \(\bar{x}_{\text{read-write}} = -0.545\), indicating that, on average, reading scores are slightly lower than writing scores among the sample.
Understanding the mean difference is essential because it provides insight into whether a parameter has an effect or not. However, the confidence interval tells us more about its significance. A confidence interval that includes zero, as in this example (\([-1.775, 0.685]\), suggests that there might be no real difference in the population, as the observed negative mean difference could be due to random chance rather than a true difference.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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