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Speeding on the \(1-5,\) Part I. The distribution of passenger vehicle speeds traveling on the Interstate 5 Freeway (I-5) in California is nearly normal with a mean of 72.6 miles/hour and a standard deviation of 4.78 miles/hour. (a) What percent of passenger vehicles travel slower than 80 miles/hour? (b) What percent of passenger vehicles travel between 60 and 80 miles/hour? (c) How fast do the fastest \(5 \%\) of passenger vehicles travel? (d) The speed limit on this stretch of the I-5 is 70 miles/hour. Approximate what percentage of the passenger vehicles travel above the speed limit on this stretch of the \(\mathrm{I}-5\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) 93.94%, (b) 93.50%, (c) 80.47 mph, (d) 70.59% travel above the speed limit.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate Z-score for 80 mph

To find the percentage of vehicles traveling slower than 80 mph, first calculate the Z-score using the formula \( Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \), where \( X \) is 80 mph, \( \mu \) is the mean speed (72.6 mph), and \( \sigma \) is the standard deviation (4.78 mph). \[ Z = \frac{80 - 72.6}{4.78} \approx 1.55 \]
02

Find Probability for 80 mph Using Z-table

Next, use the Z-table to find the probability that a vehicle travels at a speed less than 80 mph. A Z-score of approximately 1.55 indicates that about 93.94% of the vehicles travel slower than 80 mph.
03

Calculate Z-score for 60 mph

Calculate the Z-score for 60 mph. \[ Z = \frac{60 - 72.6}{4.78} \approx -2.63 \]
04

Find Probability for 60 mph Using Z-table

Use the Z-table to find the probability for a Z-score of -2.63, which equates to approximately 0.44%. This represents the percentage of vehicles traveling slower than 60 mph.
05

Calculate Percent Between 60 mph and 80 mph

Subtract the percentage of vehicles traveling slower than 60 mph from the percentage traveling slower than 80 mph: \( 93.94\% - 0.44\% = 93.50\% \). Thus, 93.50% of the vehicles travel between 60 and 80 mph.
06

Determine Speed for Fastest 5%

To find the speed at which the fastest 5% of vehicles travel, find the Z-score that corresponds to 95% in the Z-table, which is about 1.645. Rearrange the Z-score formula to solve for \( X \): \[ X = \mu + Z\sigma = 72.6 + 1.645 \times 4.78 \approx 80.47 \text{ mph} \]
07

Calculate Z-score for Speed Limit

To determine the percentage of vehicles exceeding the speed limit of 70 mph, calculate the Z-score: \[ Z = \frac{70 - 72.6}{4.78} \approx -0.54 \]
08

Find Percentage Above Speed Limit

Use the Z-table to find the probability for a Z-score of -0.54, which is approximately 29.41%. Therefore, \( 100\% - 29.41\% \approx 70.59\% \) of vehicles travel above the speed limit.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Z-score
The Z-score is a statistical measure that describes a value's relationship to the mean of a group of values. It tells us how many standard deviations a point is from the mean. To calculate a Z-score, you use the formula:
  • \( Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \)
where \( X \) is the value we're interested in, \( \mu \) is the average value, and \( \sigma \) is the standard deviation.
In the context of our speed limit problem, if we want to find the percentage of vehicles traveling slower than 80 mph, we calculate the Z-score for 80 mph.
The Z-score helps us in identifying where our specific value lies on the normal distribution curve. A positive Z-score means the value is above the mean, while a negative Z-score indicates it's below the mean. Understanding Z-scores is essential for interpreting normal distributions and calculating probabilities.
Probability
Probability measures the likelihood of a certain event occurring. It is expressed as a number between 0 and 1, where 0 indicates the event cannot happen, and 1 means the event will certainly happen. In a normal distribution problem, we often use Z-tables to find probabilities linked to Z-scores.
In our exercise, using a Z-table, we found that a Z-score of 1.55 (for 80 mph) roughly corresponds to 93.94%. This percentage indicates the probability that a vehicle travels slower than 80 mph. Similarly, by finding the probability for Z-scores corresponding to 60 mph and for the speed limit of 70 mph, we can determine the percentage of vehicles traveling within specific speed ranges or over the speed limit.
Thus, probability gives us a statistical insight into how values within certain ranges behave relative to their distribution.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a measure of the amount of variation or dispersion in a set of values. A low standard deviation suggests that the values tend to be close to the mean, while a high standard deviation indicates a wide spread around the mean. In the normal distribution of vehicle speeds, the standard deviation is crucial for determining how spread out the speed values are.
  • The formula for standard deviation is usually given as \( \sigma \).

In our problem, the standard deviation is 4.78 mph. This number tells us that the vehicle speeds are generally spread around the mean of 72.6 mph by roughly 4.78 mph. When calculating Z-scores, the standard deviation is used to scale the deviation of our specific value from the mean, giving us a clearer understanding of where the value falls on the distribution curve.
Speed Limit
In our exercise, the speed limit is a benchmark used to assess whether vehicles are traveling at safe speeds or exceeding recommended limits. The problem's context is significant because normal distribution allows for assessing how many vehicles operate within acceptable limits as defined by the speed limit.
To find how many vehicles are speeding (traveling faster than 70 mph), we calculate a Z-score for 70 mph. This Z-score helps us determine the percentage of vehicles traveling above this speed limit by checking the complementary cumulative probability (the probability of exceeding that Z-score) with the Z-table.
The concept of a speed limit in such statistical problems serves as a practical application of normal distribution in real-life scenarios like traffic management, where determining the frequency and distribution of speeds helps in policy evaluation and safety optimization.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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