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The article "Two Parameters Limiting the Sensitivity of Laboratory Tests of Condoms as Viral Barriers" (J. Test. Eval., 1996: 279-286) reported that, in brand A condoms, among 16 tears produced by a puncturing needle, the sample mean tear length was \(74.0 \mu \mathrm{m}\), whereas for the 14 brand B tears, the sample mean length was \(61.0 \mu \mathrm{m}\) (determined using light microscopy and scanning electron micrographs). Suppose the sample standard deviations are \(14.8\) and \(12.5\), respectively (consistent with the sample ranges given in the article). The authors commented that the thicker brand \(\mathrm{B}\) condom displayed a smaller mean tear length than the thinner brand A condom. Is this difference in fact statistically significant? State the appropriate hypotheses and test at \(\alpha=.05 .\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The difference in mean tear lengths between brand A and B is statistically significant at \( \alpha = 0.05 \).

Step by step solution

01

State the Hypotheses

We need to determine if the difference in mean tear lengths between brand A and brand B condoms is statistically significant. Therefore, we state the hypotheses. - Null hypothesis (H_0): There is no difference in mean tear lengths, i.e., \( \mu_A = \mu_B \).- Alternative hypothesis (H_a): Brand A has a larger mean tear length than brand B, i.e., \( \mu_A > \mu_B \).
02

Identify Test Statistic

We will use a two-sample t-test for the difference in means since we're comparing two independent samples with known sample sizes, means, and standard deviations. The test statistic is given by:\[t = \frac{\overline{x}_A - \overline{x}_B}{\sqrt{\frac{s_A^2}{n_A} + \frac{s_B^2}{n_B}}}\]where \( \overline{x}_A = 74.0 \) and \( \overline{x}_B = 61.0 \) are the sample means, \( s_A = 14.8 \) and \( s_B = 12.5 \) are the sample standard deviations, and \( n_A = 16 \) and \( n_B = 14 \) are the sample sizes.
03

Calculate the Test Statistic

Substituting the values into the formula, we compute:\[t = \frac{74.0 - 61.0}{\sqrt{\frac{14.8^2}{16} + \frac{12.5^2}{14}}} = \frac{13.0}{\sqrt{\frac{219.04}{16} + \frac{156.25}{14}}}\]\[t = \frac{13.0}{\sqrt{13.69 + 11.16}} = \frac{13.0}{\sqrt{24.85}} = \frac{13.0}{4.99} \approx 2.61\]
04

Determine the Critical Value and Decision Rule

For a significance level \( \alpha = 0.05 \) and a one-tailed test, we need the critical value from the t-distribution table with \( n_A + n_B - 2 = 28 \) degrees of freedom. The critical value \( t_{0.05, 28} \) is approximately 1.701. Return the decision rule:- If \( t > 1.701 \), reject \( H_0 \).- Otherwise, do not reject \( H_0 \).
05

Make a Conclusion

Since the calculated t-statistic \( t \approx 2.61 \) is greater than the critical value \( 1.701 \), we reject the null hypothesis (\( H_0 \)). This suggests that there is statistically significant evidence at the \( \alpha = 0.05 \) level to conclude that the brand A condoms have a larger mean tear length than brand B condoms.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null hypothesis
The null hypothesis, often symbolized as \( H_0 \), is a fundamental component in the realm of hypothesis testing. It's essentially a statement that we try to disprove with our data-driven investigation. In the context of this exercise, the null hypothesis postulates that there is no difference in the mean tear lengths of Brand A and Brand B condoms, mathematically expressed as \( \mu_A = \mu_B \).

When conducting statistical tests, the null hypothesis is the default assumption. We usually seek to find evidence to reject this assumption. By assessing the data and testing against the null hypothesis, we aim to determine whether any observed differences are statistically significant or merely due to random variation.

The null hypothesis serves as a starting point, providing a baseline measure that challenges us to look deeper into the data and question whether any observed effects are beyond mere chance.
Alternative hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis, noted as \( H_a \), opposes the null hypothesis and represents the outcome a researcher aims to support with statistical evidence. In this example, it suggests that Brand A condoms have a larger mean tear length than Brand B condoms. Mathematically, this is expressed as \( \mu_A > \mu_B \).

This hypothesis embodies the direction of the effect the analyst seeks. It's crucial because it guides the statistical test's focus, determining whether the observed outcome substantiates a significant effect rather than random fluctuation. Rejecting the null hypothesis implies the alternative hypothesis is likely true.

Crafting a clear alternative hypothesis helps streamline the inquiry by setting a specific direction or difference the test should confirm, providing clarity on what constitutes a meaningful finding.
Test statistic
A test statistic is a core element in hypothesis testing, providing a numerical value that helps decide whether to reject the null hypothesis. In this exercise, the test statistic is calculated using a two-sample t-test, which is appropriate for comparing the means of two independent samples.

The formula for the test statistic \( t \) is given by:

\[ t = \frac{\overline{x}_A - \overline{x}_B}{\sqrt{\frac{s_A^2}{n_A} + \frac{s_B^2}{n_B}}} \]

Where:
  • \( \overline{x}_A \) and \( \overline{x}_B \) are the sample means.
  • \( s_A \) and \( s_B \) are the sample standard deviations.
  • \( n_A \) and \( n_B \) are the sample sizes.


In this context, the test statistic helps us gauge the discrepancy between the mean tear lengths, taking into account the variance within each sample. A high value of the test statistic, relative to a predetermined threshold, suggests that the observed difference is not just a product of chance but signifies a genuine disparity between the two groups.
Critical value
The critical value is a threshold that the test statistic must exceed to deem the null hypothesis rejectable. It stems from the significance level \( \alpha \), which in this exercise is 0.05, and represents the risk level for rejecting a true null hypothesis, also known as the Type I error rate.

The critical value in a t-test is determined using the t-distribution, which accounts for the sample sizes via the degrees of freedom. For our case, the degrees of freedom equal \( n_A + n_B - 2 \). With 28 degrees of freedom and a one-tailed test at the 0.05 level, the critical value is approximately 1.701.

Understanding critical values is key to hypothesis testing, as they delineate the boundary between accepting or rejecting the null hypothesis. If the test statistic exceeds the critical value, it indicates a statistically significant difference, urging rejection of \( H_0 \). Conversely, a lower test statistic suggests insufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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