Chapter 11: Problem 32
If \(X \sim N\left(\mu_{X}, \sigma_{X}^{2}\right)\) and \(Y\) is independent
\(N\left(\mu_{Y}, \sigma_{Y}^{2}\right),\) what is \(\pi=P(X
Short Answer
Expert verified
\( \pi = \Phi\left(\frac{\mu_Y - \mu_X}{\sqrt{\sigma_X^2 + \sigma_Y^2}}\right) \).
Step by step solution
01
Define the problem
We need to find the probability that a random variable \(X\) from a normal distribution is less than a random variable \(Y\) from another independent normal distribution. This can be expressed as \(\pi = P(X < Y)\).
02
Express the probability in terms of difference of variables
We can write \(P(X < Y)\) as \(P(X - Y < 0)\). Thus, we focus on the difference \(Z = X - Y\).
03
Find the distribution of the difference
Since \(X\) and \(Y\) are independent, the difference \(Z = X - Y\) is also normally distributed. The mean of \(Z\) is \(\mu_Z = \mu_X - \mu_Y\) and its variance is \(\sigma_Z^2 = \sigma_X^2 + \sigma_Y^2\). Therefore, \(Z \sim N(\mu_X - \mu_Y, \sigma_X^2 + \sigma_Y^2)\).
04
Use standard normal transformation
To find \(P(Z < 0)\), we transform \(Z\) into a standard normal variable. The standardized variable is \(Z' = \frac{Z - (\mu_X - \mu_Y)}{\sqrt{\sigma_X^2 + \sigma_Y^2}}\). Thus, \(P(Z < 0) = P\left(\frac{Z - (\mu_X - \mu_Y)}{\sqrt{\sigma_X^2 + \sigma_Y^2}} < \frac{0 - (\mu_X - \mu_Y)}{\sqrt{\sigma_X^2 + \sigma_Y^2}}\right)\).
05
Calculate the probability using standard normal distribution
The expression simplifies to \(P(Z' < \frac{-(\mu_X - \mu_Y)}{\sqrt{\sigma_X^2 + \sigma_Y^2}})\). This is equivalent to \(\Phi\left(\frac{\mu_Y - \mu_X}{\sqrt{\sigma_X^2 + \sigma_Y^2}}\right)\), where \(\Phi\) is the cumulative distribution function of the standard normal distribution.
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Key Concepts
These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.
Normal Distribution
The normal distribution is a fundamental concept in probability and statistics. This distribution is bell-shaped and symmetric about its mean, making it one of the most important continuous probability distributions in statistics. It is defined by two main parameters: the mean (\(\mu\)) and the variance (\(\sigma^2\)).
- The mean (\(\mu\)) dictates where the center of the distribution is located.
- The variance (\(\sigma^2\)) describes the spread of the distribution; how far from the mean the values spread.
Standard Normal Transformation
Standard normal transformation is a key technique used to convert any normal distribution into the standard normal distribution. The standard normal distribution has a mean of 0 and a variance of 1. This transformation is useful for simplifying calculations and comparisons when working with different normal distributions.
To standardize a normal random variable \(X \sim N(\mu, \sigma^2)\), we use the formula:
\[Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}\]
This transformation is vital because it allows us to use standard normal tables, which provide probabilities and percentages for values under the standard normal curve. It also plays a significant role in hypothesis testing and confidence interval estimation by simplifying the complex calculations associated with normal variables.
To standardize a normal random variable \(X \sim N(\mu, \sigma^2)\), we use the formula:
\[Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}\]
This transformation is vital because it allows us to use standard normal tables, which provide probabilities and percentages for values under the standard normal curve. It also plays a significant role in hypothesis testing and confidence interval estimation by simplifying the complex calculations associated with normal variables.
Cumulative Distribution Function
The cumulative distribution function (CDF) is a crucial concept in probability, representing the probability that a random variable takes a value less than or equal to a particular point. For a normal distribution, the CDF is denoted by \(\Phi(x)\).
- It is non-decreasing and ranges from 0 to 1.
- The CDF helps in finding probabilities between intervals in a distribution.
- For \(Z \sim N(0,1)\), the standard normal CDF gives the probability that a value is less than or equal to a given point on the standard normal curve.