Chapter 1: Problem 29
Suppose that \(P(E)=0.6\). What can you say about \(P(E \mid F)\) when (a) \(E\) and \(F\) are mutually exclusive? (b) \(E \subset F ?\) (c) \(F \subset E ?\)
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Chapter 1: Problem 29
Suppose that \(P(E)=0.6\). What can you say about \(P(E \mid F)\) when (a) \(E\) and \(F\) are mutually exclusive? (b) \(E \subset F ?\) (c) \(F \subset E ?\)
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For a fixed event \(B\), show that the collection \(P(A \mid B)\), defined for all events \(A\), satisfies the three conditions for a probability. Conclude from this that $$ P(A \mid B)=P(A \mid B C) P(C \mid B)+P\left(A \mid B C^{c}\right) P\left(C^{c} \mid B\right) $$
Use Exercise 15 to show that \(P(E \cup F)=P(E)+P(F)-P(E F)\).
A box contains three marbles: one red, one green, and one blue. Consider an experiment that consists of taking one marble from the box then replacing it in the box and drawing a second marble from the box. What is the sample space? If, at all times, each marble in the box is equally likely to be selected, what is the probability of each point in the sample space?
For events \(E_{1}, E_{2}, \ldots, E_{n}\) show that $$ P\left(E_{1} E_{2} \cdots E_{n}\right)=P\left(E_{1}\right) P\left(E_{2} \mid E_{1}\right) P\left(E_{3} \mid E_{1} E_{2}\right) \cdots P\left(E_{n} \mid E_{1} \cdots E_{n-1}\right) $$
The dice game craps is played as follows. The player throws two dice, and if the sum is seven or eleven, then she wins. If the sum is two, three, or twelve, then she loses. If the sum is anything else, then she continues throwing until she either throws that number again (in which case she wins) or she throws a seven (in which case she loses). Calculate the probability that the player wins.
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