Chapter 1: Problem 16
Use Exercise 15 to show that \(P(E \cup F)=P(E)+P(F)-P(E F)\).
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Chapter 1: Problem 16
Use Exercise 15 to show that \(P(E \cup F)=P(E)+P(F)-P(E F)\).
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We say that \(E \subset F\) if every point in \(E\) is also in \(F\). Show that if \(E \subset F\), then $$ P(F)=P(E)+P\left(F E^{c}\right) \geqslant P(E) $$
There are three coins in a box. One is a two-headed coin, another is a fair coin, and the third is a biased coin that comes up heads 75 percent of the time. When one of the three coins is selected at random and flipped, it shows heads. What is the probability that it was the two-headed coin?
A coin is to be tossed until a head appears twice in a row. What is the sample space for this experiment? If the coin is fair, what is the probability that it will be tossed exactly four times?
(a) A gambler has in his pocket a fair coin and a two-headed coin. He selects one of the coins at random, and when he flips it, it shows heads. What is the probability that it is the fair coin? (b) Suppose that he flips the same coin a second time and again it shows heads. Now what is the probability that it is the fair coin? (c) Suppose that he flips the same coin a third time and it shows tails. Now what is the probability that it is the fair coin?
Show that $$ P\left(\bigcup_{i=1}^{n} E_{i}\right) \leqslant \sum_{i=1}^{n} P\left(E_{i}\right) $$ This is known as Boole's inequality. Hint: Either use Equation (1.2) and mathematical induction, or else show that \(\bigcup_{i=1}^{n} E_{i}=\bigcup_{i=1}^{n} F_{i}\), where \(F_{1}=E_{1}, F_{i}=E_{i} \bigcap_{j=1}^{i-1} E_{j}^{c}\), and use property (iii) of a probability.
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