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A \(\$1\) scratch off lotto ticket will be a winner one out of five times. Out of a shipment of \(n=190\) lotto tickets, find the probability for the lotto tickets that there are

a. somewhere between \(34\) and \(54\) prizes.

b. somewhere between \(54\) and \(64\) prizes.

c. more than \(64\) prizes.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Part a. The probability that there are somewhere between \(34\) and \(54\) prizes for the lotto tickets is \(0.7641\).

Part b.The probability that there are somewhere between \(54\) and \(64\) prizes for the lotto tickets is\(0.0017\).

Part c.The probability that there are more than \(64\) prizes for the lotto tickets is\(0.0000012\), which is approximately \(0\).

Step by step solution

01

Part a. Step 1. Given information

Let \(X\) be a random variable that denotes the number of prizes.

Number of trials, \(n=190\)

Probability of success i.e., probability of a winner lotto ticket, \(p=1/5=0.2\)

02

Part a. Step 2. Calculation

Mean, \(\mu=np=190*0.2=38\)

Standard deviation, \(\sigma=\sqrt{190*0.2(1-0.2)}=5.5136\)

The required probability is given by,

\(P(34\leq x\leq 54)=P\left ( \frac{34-38}{5.5136}\leq \frac{x-\mu}{\sigma}\leq \frac{54-38}{5.5136} \right )\)

\(P(-0.7255\leq z\leq 2.9019)\)

This probability is shown by the shaded region in the graph below. Hence, it can be written as:

\(P(-0.7255\leq z\leq 2.9019)=P(-0.7255\leq z \leq 0)+P(0\leq z \leq 2.9019)\)

\(=P(0\leq z \leq 0.7255)+P(0\leq z \leq 2.9019)\)

\(=0.2659+0.4982\)

\(=0.7641\)

Therefore, the probability that there are somewhere between \(34\) and \(54\) prizes for the lotto tickets is \(0.7641\).

03

Part b. Step 1. Calculation

Mean, \(\mu=np=190*0.2=38\)

Standard deviation, \(\sigma=\sqrt{190*0.2(1-0.2)}=5.5136\)

The required probability is given by,

\(P(54\leq x\leq 64)=P\left ( \frac{54-38}{5.5136}\leq \frac{x-\mu}{\sigma}\leq \frac{64-38}{5.5136} \right )\)

\(P(2.9019\leq z\leq 4.7156)\)

This probability can be written as:

\(P(2.9019\leq z\leq 4.7156)=P(0\leq z\leq 4.7156)-P(0\leq z\leq 2.9019)\)

\(=0.4999-0.4982\)

\(=0.0017\)

Therefore, the probability that there are somewhere between \(34\) and \(54\) prizes for the lotto tickets is \(0.0017\).

04

Part c. Step 1. Calculation

Mean, \(\mu=np=190*0.2=38\)

Standard deviation, \(\sigma=\sqrt{190*0.2(1-0.2)}=5.5136\)

The required probability is given by,

\((x>64)=P(\frac{x-\mu}{\sigma}>\frac{64-38}{5.5136}\)

\(P=(z>4.7156)\)

This probability can be written as:

\(P(z>4.7156)=0.5-P(0<z<4.7156)\)

\(=0.5-0.4999999\)

\(=0.0000012\)

Therefore, the probability that there are more than \(64\) prizes for the lotto tickets is \(0.0000012\),which is approximately \(0\).

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