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In the 1992 presidential election, Alaska’s 40 election districts averaged 1,956.8 votes per district for President Clinton.

The standard deviation was 572.3. (There are only 40 election districts in Alaska.) The distribution of the votes per district for President Clinton was bell-shaped. Let X = number of votes for President Clinton for an election district.

a. State the approximate distribution of X.

b. Is 1,956.8 a population mean or a sample mean? How do you know?

c. Find the probability that a randomly selected district had fewer than 1,600 votes for President Clinton. Sketch the graph and write the probability statement.

d. Find the probability that a randomly selected district had between 1,800 and 2,000 votes for President Clinton.

e. Find the third quartile for votes for President Clinton.

Short Answer

Expert verified
  1. The random variable Xwhich represents the number of votes per district for President Clinton, has a normal distribution with a mean of 1956.8and a standard deviation of 572.3.X~N(1956.8,572.3)is the symbol for it.
  2. The population mean is 1956.8because it is the average of total votes cast in all 40Alaska districts for President Clinton.
  3. The probability that a randomly selected district had fewer than 1,600 votes for President Clinton is P(x<1600)=0.2665.
  4. The probability that a randomly selected district had between 1,800 and 2,000 votes for President Clinton. P(1800<x<2000)=0.1381.
  5. 2 3 4 2 .82 is the third quartile of votes for President Clinton.

Step by step solution

01

Part(a) Step 1: Given Information 

Given in the question that, Alaska’s 40 election districts averaged 1,956.8 votes per district for President Clinton.

We have to state the approximate distribution ofX

02

Part(a) Step 2: Explanation

Xis a random variable that represents the number of votes cast in each of Alaska's 40election districts for President Clinton. Xhas a bell-shaped distribution, with a mean of 1956.8and a standard deviation of 572.3. We know that if a continuous random variable Xhas a bell-shaped curve with a mean of μand a standard deviation of s, it is normally distributed and is denoted as X~N(μ,s). As a result, the random variable X in this situation is denoted as:X~N(1956.8,572.3)

03

Part (b) Step 1: Given Information 

The standard deviation was 572.3. The distribution of the votes per district for President Clinton was bell-shaped. Let X = number of votes for President Clinton for an election district.

We have to find whether 1,956.8 is the population mean or a sample mean.

04

Part(b) Step 2: Explanation 

The population mean is the average determined from the observations that correspond to each and every unit of the population. The sample mean is the average determined from the observations that belong to a subset of the population. There are a total of 40 districts in Alaska in this situation. The total votes from all of these districts were added together and the result was 1956.8dollars. As a result, it is the population mean value.

05

Part (c) Step 1: Given Information 

We have to find the probability that a randomly selected district had fewer than 1,600 votes for President Clinton. Sketch the graph and write the probability statement.

06

Part (c) Step 2: Explanation 

We know that, X~N(1956.8,572.3)

The probability that a randomly selected district would vote for President Clinton with less than 1,600 votes is stated as:

P(x<1600)=Px-μσ<1600-1956.8572.3=P(z<-0.6235)

The shaded zone in the graph below depicts the needed probability. As a result, it can be written:

P(z<-0.6235)=0.5-P(-0.6235≤z≤0)=0.5-P(0≤z≤0.6235)=0.5-0.2335=0.2665

07

Part(d) Step 1: Given Information 

We have to find the probability that a randomly selected district had between 1,800 and 2,000 votes for President Clinton.

08

Part(d) Step 2: Explanation 

The probability that a randomly selected district would vote for President Clinton between 1,800 and 2,000 times is stated as:

P(1800<x<2000)=P1800-1956.8572.3<x-μσ<2000-1956.8572.3=P(-0.2740<z<0.0755)

The shaded zone in the graph below depicts the needed probability. As a result, it can be written:

P(-0.2740<z<0.0755)=P(-0.2740≤z≤0)+P(0≤z≤0.0755)=P(0≤z≤0.2740)+P(0≤z≤0.0755)=0.1080+0.0301=0.1381

09

Part(e) Step 1: Given Information 

We have to find the third quartile for votes for President Clinton.

10

Part (e) Step 2: Explanation 

The probability that an individual's proportion of fat calories is smaller than kis determined by:

P(x<k)=Px-μσ<k-1956.8572.3=Pz<z1=0.75

We get the following results from the normal distribution tables:

z1=0.6745

In the equation x=μ+zσreplace xwith kand zwith z1:

k=1956.8+0.6745*572.3=2342.82

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