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When comparing two sample proportions with a two-sided alternative hypothesis, all other factors being equal, will you get a smaller p-value if the sample proportions are close together or if they are far apart? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified
When all other factors are kept constant, you will get a smaller p-value if the sample proportions are far apart compared to when they are close together. This is because more extreme differences are less likely to occur by chance under the null hypothesis, leading to smaller p-values.

Step by step solution

01

Understand P-value

The p-value in hypothesis testing represents the probability of obtaining a result at least as extreme as the one that was actually observed, assuming that the null hypothesis is true. A small p-value (usually ≤ 0.05) leads us to reject the null hypothesis, as it indicates a low probability of obtaining such results if the null hypothesis was true. Conversely, a larger p-value suggests that the observed results can happen quite frequently under the null hypothesis, so there's not enough evidence to reject it.
02

Understand the Role of Proportions Distance

In comparing two sample proportions, when all other factors are equal, the farther apart the proportions are, the more evidence we have against the null hypothesis. An increased difference in proportions will make the observed results seem more 'extreme' and therefore less likely to occur under the null hypothesis of no difference.
03

Relate Proportions Distance and P-value

The p-value depends on the distance between the proportions. Larger distance between the proportions results in a smaller p-value assuming all else constant. This is because far apart proportions suggest that the two proportions are significantly different from each other, reducing the likelihood of the observed result under the null hypothesis of no difference, thus decreasing the p-value.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

P-value in Hypothesis Testing
In the realm of statistics, the p-value is a crucial metric that helps determine the strength of the evidence against the null hypothesis in a hypothesis test. It quantifies the probability of getting a sample statistic that is at least as extreme as the one observed, given that the null hypothesis is true. This might sound complex, but it's like finding out the odds of an incredibly rare event actually happening if we assume that everything is business as usual.

For example, if you were to compare the heights of men and women in a particular region and found a significant difference, the p-value tells you how likely it is to see such a difference just by chance. A smaller p-value (<0.05 is a common threshold) suggests that the difference in heights is uncommon enough under normal circumstances to consider it significant—the hypothesis that there is no difference could be rejected. Larger p-values show that the observed difference could very well happen by chance, and thus, the evidence isn't strong enough to oppose the notion of no significant difference.

When it comes to hypothesis testing, think of the p-value as a measuring stick for strangeness or rarity. The lower the p-value, the stranger your observed result is under the assumption that the null hypothesis is correct. Low p-values are red flags that indicate it might be time to ditch the old assumptions and accept that something more unusual may be occurring.
Null Hypothesis
At its core, the null hypothesis is a general statement or default position positing that there is no relationship between two measured phenomena. It serves as a skeptical friend, challenging researchers to prove it wrong with solid evidence before accepting an alternative as truth.

The null hypothesis is commonly symbolized as H0 and is what you test when performing any kind of hypothesis test. It's the starting line for any experiment or study, representing the skeptic's view that any observed differences or effects are due to chance alone. In the context of comparing sample proportions, the null hypothesis might state that the proportion of successes (like voters favoring a particular policy) in two groups is the same.

Why is it so important? The null hypothesis fulfills a critical role in the scientific method. It provides a clear and testable statement that can be challenged with data. Without it, researchers wouldn't have a standardized method to test for statistical significance. The goal of many studies is to gather enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis, thereby supporting the notion that there is indeed something interesting or significant happening that deserves further attention.
Sample Proportions Distance
Speaking of sample proportions distance, we're diving into how different two sample proportions are from one another. Imagine we have two baskets of fruit, and we're counting the number of apples in each. If one basket has a proportion of 0.5 apples (half of its contents are apples) and the other has a proportion of 0.7 apples, then the distance between the sample proportions is 0.2.

The greater the distance between these proportions, the more evidence we have to suggest that there's a significant difference between the two samples. This distance directly influences the p-value in hypothesis testing; it is a measure of the extremeness of the observed statistic under the assumption of the null hypothesis—how surprising or unusual it is.

In simpler terms, if those baskets represented groups in a study and you found a substantial distance between the sample proportions, you'd be more likely to say, 'Wow, these groups really are different!' The consequence? A smaller p-value, which translates to stronger evidence that these groups indeed differ in their proportion of apples, leading to potential rejection of the null hypothesis that both baskets have the same proportion of apples.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose a poll is taken that shows 220 out of 400 randomly selected Twitter users feel that Twitter should do more to decrease hateful and abusive content on the site. Test the hypothesis that the majority (more than \(50 \%\) ) of Twitter users feel the site should do more to decrease hateful and abusive content on the site. Use a significance level of \(0.01\).

A friend claims he can predict the suit of a card drawn from a standard deck of 52 cards. There are four suits and equal numbers of cards in each suit. The parameter, \(p\), is the probability of success, and the null hypothesis is that the friend is just guessing. a. Which is the correct null hypothesis? i. \(p=1 / 4\) ii. \(p=1 / 13\) iii. \(p>1 / 4\) iv. \(p>1 / 13\) b. Which hypothesis best fits the friend's claim? (This is the alternative hypothesis.) i. \(p=1 / 4\) ii. \(p=1 / 13\) iii. \(p>1 / 4\) iv. \(p>1 / 13\)

p-Values (Example 11) A researcher carried out a hypothesis test using a two- sided alternative hypothesis. Which of the following \(z\) -scores is associated with the smallest p-value? Explain. i. \(z=0.50\) ii. \(z=1.00\) iii. \(z=2.00\) iv. \(z=3.00\)

Choosing a Test and Naming the Population(s) For each of the following, state whether a one-proportion \(z\) -test or a two-proportion \(z\) -test would be appropriate, and name the population(s). a. A researcher takes a random sample of voters in western states and voters in southern states to determine if there is a difference in the proportion of voters in these regions who support the death penalty. b. A sociologist takes a random sample of voters to determine if support for the death penalty has changed since 2015 .

A teacher giving a true/false test wants to make sure her students do better than they would if they were simply guessing, so she forms a hypothesis to test this. Her null hypothesis is that a student will get \(50 \%\) of the questions on the exam correct. The alternative hypothesis is that the student is not guessing and should get more than \(50 \%\) in the long run. $$ \begin{aligned} &\mathrm{H}_{0}: p=0.50 \\ &\mathrm{H}_{\mathrm{a}}: p>0.50 \end{aligned} $$ A student gets 30 out of 50 questions, or \(60 \%\), correct. The p-value is \(0.079 .\) Explain the meaning of the \(\mathrm{p}\) -value in the context of this question.

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