/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 74 A Harris poll asked a sample of ... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

A Harris poll asked a sample of U.S. adults if they agreed with the statement "Artificial intelligence will widen the gap between the rich and poor in the U.S." Of those aged 18 to \(35,69 \%\) agreed with the statement. Of those aged 36 to \(50,60 \%\) agreed with the statement. A \(95 \%\) confidence interval for \(p_{1}-p_{2}\) (where \(p_{1}\) is the proportion of those aged \(18-35\) who agreed and \(p_{2}\) is the proportion of those aged \(36-50\) who agreed) is \((0.034,0.146) .\) Does the interval contain \(0 ?\) What does this tell us about the proportion of adults in these age groups who agree with the statement?

Short Answer

Expert verified
No, the interval does not contain 0. This implies that the proportion of adults in the two age groups who agree isn't the same with a confidence level of 95%.

Step by step solution

01

Confirm the Confidence Interval

The 95% confidence interval for \(p_{1}-p_{2}\) according to the given problem is \((0.034,0.146) .\)
02

Check if 0 is in the Confidence Interval

Visually analyze the interval to confirm that 0 is not part of the values covered in the presented confidence interval.
03

Interpret the Result

Seeing as the confidence interval does not contain 0, this indicates there's a 95% likelihood that the true population difference between the proportion of individuals who agree with the statement in the two age groups doesn't equal to zero. Consequently, it can be concluded that there in all likelihood is a difference in the two proportions.

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Confidence Interval Interpretation
When reviewing statistical results, one critical concept to understand is that of a confidence interval. In the context of our Harris poll example, the 95% confidence interval for the difference between the proportions of two age groups who agree with a certain statement is \( (0.034, 0.146) \).

Interpreting this confidence interval means recognizing that we are 95% certain that the true difference in agreement proportions between those aged 18 to 35 and those aged 36 to 50 lies somewhere within that range. Importantly, since the interval does not contain zero, it suggests there's a statistically distinguishable difference—adults in the first age group are more likely to agree with the statement about artificial intelligence and social inequity compared to the second group.

The '95%' component of the confidence interval, called the confidence level, quantifies our uncertainty about this range. A 95% confidence level does not imply that 95% of the sample data lies within this range, but rather that if we were to take many samples and build confidence intervals from each, about 95% of those intervals would contain the true difference.
Population Proportion Difference
The difference in population proportions is a measure used to compare the prevalence of a certain characteristic in two distinct groups. In statistical analysis, it is often symbolized as \( p_1 - p_2 \), with each variable representing the proportion of individuals with the characteristic in each group respectively.

For the survey in question, \( p_1 \) and \( p_2 \) denote the proportions of U.S. adults aged 18 to 35 and 36 to 50 who agree that artificial intelligence will exacerbate social inequities, at 69% and 60% respectively. The derived confidence interval for these proportions reveals the likely range for the true difference in opinion between these age groups. The fact that this interval is above zero for its entire length strongly implies that there truly is a higher level of agreement in the first age group compared to the second.

Understanding this difference in population proportions is crucial for making inferences about the wider population's opinions and for driving decision-making based on surveyed opinions.
Statistical Significance
Statistical significance is a term that is often used to determine whether the observed difference between groups in a study is due to chance or if it reflects a true difference in the population.

In the case of our Harris poll example, the 95% confidence interval for the difference in population proportions does not include zero, indicating that the difference observed is statistically significant. This means that we can reject the null hypothesis — which postulates that there is no difference between the population proportions — with a high degree of confidence. Typically, a significance level (alpha) of 0.05 is used in such analyses, corresponding to a 95% confidence interval.

If the confidence interval did include zero, we wouldn't have enough evidence to suggest a significant difference, and any observed variation might be attributed to random chance rather than a real disparity. Consequently, policy-makers, researchers, or businesses might use this statistically significant finding to inform their strategies, taking into account that, in this case, younger adults perceive the potential social risks of artificial intelligence differently than their slightly older counterparts.

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

According to a Gallup poll, \(45 \%\) of Americans actively seek out organic foods when shopping. Suppose a random sample of 500 Americans is selected and the proportion who actively seek out organic foods is recorded. a. What value should we expect for the sample proportion? b. What is the standard error? c. Use your answers to parts a and b to complete this sentence: We expect _____% of Americans to actively seek out organic foods when shopping, give or take _____%. d. Would it be surprising to find a sample proportion of \(55 \% ?\) Why or why not? e. What effect would decreasing the sample size from 500 to 100 have on the standard error?

Ignaz Semmelweiss \((1818-1865)\) was the doctor who first encouraged other doctors to wash their hands with disinfectant before touching patients. Before the new procedure was established, the rate of infection at Dr. Semmelweiss's hospital was about \(10 \%\). Afterward the rate dropped to about \(1 \%\). Assuming the population proportion of infections was \(10 \%\), find the probability that the sample proportion will be \(1 \%\) or less, assuming a sample size of 200 . Start by checking the conditions required for the Central Limit Theorem to apply.

The standard deviation of all professional NBA basketball players is \(29.9\) pounds. A sample of 50 professional basketball players has a standard deviation of \(26.7\) pounds. which number is \(\sigma\), and which number is \(s ?\)

Explain the difference between sampling with replacement and sampling without replacement. Suppose you have the names of 10 students, each written on a 3 -inch by 5 -inch notecard, and want to select two names. Describe both procedures.

A school district conducts a survey to determine whether voters favor passing a bond to fund school renovation projects. All registered voters are called. Of those called, \(15 \%\) answer the survey call. Of those who respond, \(62 \%\) say they favor passing the bond. Give a reason why the school district should be cautious about predicting that the bond will pass.

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.