/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 98 Support for the legalization of ... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

Support for the legalization of marijuana has continued to grow among Americans. A 2017 Gallup poll found that \(64 \%\) of Americans now say that marijuana use should be legal. Suppose a random sample of 150 Americans is selected. a. Find the probability that at most 110 people support marijuana legalization. b. Find the probability that between 90 and 110 support marijuana legalization. c. Complete this sentence: In a group of 150 , we would expect to support marijuana legalization, give or take

Short Answer

Expert verified
For part a, the probability that at most 110 people support marijuana legalization can be calculated using the cumulative binomial probability formula. For part b, you calculate the cumulative probability up to 110 successes and then subtract the cumulative probability for up to 89 successes. For part c, you calculate the expected number of supporters using the mean of binomial distribution formula \(µ = np\), and standard deviation using the standard deviation of binomial distribution formula \(\(σ = \sqrt{np(1-p)}\)\), then fill these values into the given statement.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate Binomial Probability for 'at most 110 people support'

We want to find the probability that at most 110 people support marijuana legalization. This means we need to determine the probability for 0 to 110 successes. The formula for binomial probability is: \[ P(x) = C(n, x) * (p^x) * ((1-p)^(n-x)) \] where \(n\) is the sample size, \(x\) is the number of successes we're interested in, \(p\) is the probability of success, and \(C(n, x)\) is the binomial coefficient or the number of combinations of \(n\) items taken \(x\) at a time. Since doing this for 110 values is tedious, we can use the cumulative binomial probability formula to get the total probability of 0 to 110 successes.
02

Calculate Binomial Probability for 'between 90 and 110 people support'

This time, we are asked to calculate the probability for the number of successes to fall between 90 and 110. Similarly to step 1, we should calculate the cumulative probability for up to 110 successes (as in part a) and then subtract the cumulative probability for up to 89, since we want to exclude anything less than 90. This will leave us with the probability for the required range of 90 to 110.
03

Calculate Expected Number of Supporters

In step c, we are trying to find the expected number of people who support marijuana legalization, along with the standard deviation. The expected value or mean for a binomial distribution is given by \(µ = np\), and the standard deviation by \(\(σ = \sqrt{np(1-p)}\)\), where \(n\) is the number of trials (150 in our case) and \(p\) is the probability of success (0.64). After calculating these two quantities, we can state our result as: 'In a group of 150, we would expect µ to support marijuana legalization, give or take σ.'

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Cumulative Binomial Probability
When solving problems related to binomial distributions, such as the likelihood of a certain number of people supporting marijuana legalization, we often use the concept of cumulative binomial probability. It serves as a handy way to calculate the total probability of obtaining a certain number of successes or fewer in a series of trials.

The cumulative binomial probability answers questions of 'at most' or 'less than' type, by summing up the probabilities of all possible outcomes up to a specified point. This is particularly useful when dealing with a large number of trials where calculating individual probabilities would be impractical.

For example, in the provided exercise, instead of calculating the probability for each scenario where 0 to 110 people support legalization individually, we aggregate the probabilities. This cumulative approach harnesses the formula: \[\begin{equation} P(X \leq k) = \sum_{x=0}^{k} C(n, x) \cdot (p^x) \cdot ((1-p)^{n-x}) \end{equation}\]where \(P(X \leq k)\) is the cumulative probability of obtaining \(k\) or fewer successes. In this context, \(p\) represents the probability of an individual supporting marijuana legalization, and \(n\) is the total number of individuals sampled.

By using this cumulative approach, we answer part (a) of the exercise, finding the probability that at most 110 people out of 150 sampled support marijuana legalization.
Probability Distribution
Probability distribution is a core concept in statistics that outlines how probabilities are assigned to different possible outcomes of a random variable. It essentially tells us what the likelihood is of each outcome occurring. When dealing with discrete random variables, such as the number of people supporting legalization in our exercise, we use the binomial probability distribution.

The binomial distribution has only two possible outcomes for each trial, often termed as 'success' and 'failure'. In our scenario, a 'success' would be an individual who supports legalization, while a 'failure' would be one who doesn't. It characterizes the likelihood of achieving a certain number of successes in a number of trials, given the probability of a success in a single trial.

For example, in part (b) of the exercise, we are looking to calculate the probability for a specific range of outcomes - that between 90 and 110 people support legalization. This requires us to manipulate the cumulative distribution by subtracting the probability of fewer than 90 supporters from the probability of at most 110 supporters, effectively zooming in on the chances for our desired range of outcomes.
Expected Value
The expected value is a prediction of the average outcome if we were to repeat a random trial many times. In terms of our exercise, it's the average number of Americans we'd predict to support marijuana legalization in many samples each of 150 people. Mathematically, the expected value for a binomial distribution is calculated as the product of the number of trials \(n\) and the probability of success \(p\).\[\begin{equation} \mu = np \end{equation}\]This is part of Step 3 in our solution, where we have a sample size of 150 and a given probability of a single person supporting legalization at 64%. Multiplying these together gives us the expected number of people supporting legalization.

But there's also variability in any distribution, which is represented as the standard deviation. It measures how much the values in a set of data are likely to differ from the expected value. We calculate it for a binomial distribution using the formula: \[\begin{equation} \sigma = \sqrt{np(1-p)} \end{equation}\]Which gives us an idea of the spread or dispersion from the expected number of supporters, essentially allowing us to 'give or take' from the expected value to build a range of probable outcomes in our prediction.

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

The distribution of the math portion of SAT scores has a mean of 500 and a standard deviation of 100 , and the scores are approximately Normally distributed. a. What is the probability that one randomly selected person will have an SAT score of 550 or more? b. What is the probability that four randomly selected people will all have SAT scores of 550 or more? c. For 800 randomly selected people, what is the probability that 250 or more will have scores of 550 or more? d. For 800 randomly selected people, on average how many should have scores of 550 or more? Round to the nearest whole number. e. Find the standard deviation for part d. Round to the nearest whole number. f. Report the range of people out of 800 who should have scores of 550 or more from two standard deviations below the mean to two standard deviations above the mean. Use your rounded answers to part d and e. g. If 400 out of 800 randomly selected people had scores of 550 or more, would you be surprised? Explain.

Voice-controlled video assistants are being incorporated into a wide variety of consumer products, including smartphones, tablets, and stand-alone devices such as the Amazon Echo or Google Home. A Pew Research poll found that \(46 \%\) of Americans reported using a voice-controlled digital assistant. Suppose a group of 50 Americans is randomly selected. a. Find the probability that more than half of the sample uses a voice- controlled digital assistant. b. Find the probability that at most 20 use a voice-controlled digital assistant. c. In a group of 50 Americans, how many would we expect use one of these devices? d. Find the standard deviation for this binomial distribution. Using your answers to parts \(\mathrm{c}\) and \(\mathrm{d}\), would it be surprising to find that fewer than 10 used one of these devices? Why or why not?

The distribution of grade point averages GPAs for medical school applicants in 2017 were approximately Normal, with a mean of \(3.56\) and a standard deviation of 0.34. Suppose a medical school will only consider candidates with GPAs in the top \(15 \%\) of the applicant pool. An applicant has a GPA of \(3.71\). Does this GPA fall in the top \(15 \%\) of the applicant pool?

Systolic blood pressures are approximately Normal with a mean of 120 and a standard deviation of 8 . a. What percentage of people have a systolic blood pressure above \(130 ?\) b. What is the range of systolic blood pressures for the middle \(60 \%\) of the population? c. What percentage of people have a systolic blood pressure between 120 and \(130 ?\) d. Suppose people with systolic blood pressures in the top \(15 \%\) of the population have their blood pressures monitored more closely by health care professionals. What blood pressure would qualify a person for this additional monitoring?

According to the American Veterinary Medical Association, \(30 \%\) of Americans own a cat. a. Find the probability that exactly 2 out of 8 randomly selected Americans own a cat. b. In a random sample of 8 Americans, find the probability that more than 3 own a cat.

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.