/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 14 You flip a coin 100 times and ge... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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You flip a coin 100 times and get 58 heads and 42 tails. Calculate the chi- square statistic by hand, showing your work, assuming the coin is fair.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The chi-square statistic for the observed results is 2.56.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate the expected values

For a fair coin, the probability of getting either heads or tails is the same and equals 0.5. Therefore, if the coin is flipped 100 times, the expected frequency of heads and tails is (probability * number = 0.5 * 100) 50.
02

Plugging values into the chi-square formula

Next, for each category (head and tail), find the difference between observed and expected frequencies (O-E), square the difference [(O-E)^2], then divide by the expected frequency [((O-E)^2)/E]. Add up these values. For 'heads': \[\frac{(58-50)^2}{50} = 1.28\] For 'tails': \[\frac{(42-50)^2}{50} = 1.28\] The chi-square statistic is sum of these values: \[\chi^2 = 1.28 + 1.28 = 2.56\]
03

Conclude the solution

The chi-square statistic is a number that you compare to a chi-square distribution to assess your null hypothesis. The null hypothesis is that there is no association between the variables, or in this case, that there is no difference between the outcome of flipping a coin (heads or tails). In this case, the calculated chi-square statistic is 2.56. Whether or not this statistic provides evidence to reject the null hypothesis of a fair coin can be determined if compared with a relevant chi-square distribution, which is not requested in this exercise.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Expected Frequency
When conducting a chi-square test, understanding expected frequency is essential. This refers to the frequency you would expect to find in a data set if the null hypothesis were true. It acts like a theoretical benchmark, representing perfect balance in your test circumstances.
For example, when flipping a fair coin 100 times, we anticipate it landing on heads 50 times and tails 50 times. This is because the likelihood of either outcome is the same: 50%. The expected frequency here is calculated by multiplying the probability of the outcome by the total number of trials, which in this case is 0.5 * 100. Therefore, the expected frequency for both heads and tails is 50.
Identifying expected frequencies allows comparisons against actual results, a crucial step in determining the chi-square statistic.
Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis is a fundamental starting point in statistical tests. It's essentially an assumption that there is no significant difference or effect. When dealing with a chi-square test, the null hypothesis suggests there is no association or difference between the observed and expected frequencies.
In the scenario where we flip a coin 100 times and get values of 58 heads and 42 tails, the null hypothesis affirms that the variations are purely by chance, indicating that the coin is fair. It's a neutral assumption, claiming that if you repeated the test, you'd still expect to see no systematic deviation from chance.
By calculating the chi-square statistic and comparing it to a threshold found on the chi-square distribution table, we can decide whether to reject this null hypothesis.
Chi-Square Formula
The chi-square formula is central to evaluating deviations between observed and expected frequencies. It helps quantify how much your data departs from expectations under the null hypothesis.
The formula is expressed as: \[\chi^2 = \sum \frac{(O - E)^2}{E}\]where:- \(O\) represents observed frequencies,- \(E\) denotes expected frequencies.Every category's deviation is squared to eliminate negative discrepancies and divided by the respective expected frequency to normalize the differences. These normalized differences are then summed up.
Applying this to our coin flip example, the calculations for heads and tails are:
  • For heads: \(\frac{(58 - 50)^2}{50} = 1.28\)
  • For tails: \(\frac{(42 - 50)^2}{50} = 1.28\)
The chi-square value 2.56 (1.28 + 1.28) becomes a statistical measure of how likely differences are to have occurred by chance.
Observed Frequency
Observed frequency refers to the actual data obtained from your experiment or study. It's what truly happened when you gathered your data, contrasting the anticipated perfect balance.
In the context of flipping a coin 100 times, your observed frequencies were 58 heads and 42 tails. These numbers showcase real occurrences, not model predictions. Observed frequencies are the key players in the chi-square test, representing the deviations you wish to investigate against the expected frequencies.
These frequencies allow you to determine how much the real results differ from what you theorized under the null hypothesis, driving the calculations for the chi-square statistic.

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