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A statistician performs the test \(H_{0}: \mu=15\) versus \(H_{1}: \mu \neq 15\) and finds the \(p\) -value to be \(.4546\). a. The statistician performing the test does not tell you the value of the sample mean and the value of the test statistic. Despite this, you have enough information to determine the pair of \(p\) -values associated with the following alternative hypotheses. i. \(H_{1}: \mu<15\) ii. \(H_{1}: \mu>15\) Note that you will need more information to determine which \(p\) -value goes with which alternative. Determine the pair of \(p\) -values. Here the value of the sample mean is the same in both cases. b. Suppose the statistician tells you that the value of the test statistic is negative. Match the \(p\) -values with the alternative hypotheses. Note that the result for one of the two alternatives implies that the sample mean is not on the same side of \(\mu=15\) as the rejection region. Although we have not discussed this scenario in the book, it is important to recognize that there are many real-world scenarios in which this type of situation does occur. For example, suppose the EPA is to test whether or not a company is exceeding a specific pollution level. If the average discharge level obtained from the sample falls below the threshold (mentioned in the null hypothesis), then there would be no need to perform the hypothesis test.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The pair of p-values corresponding to the alternative hypotheses \(H_{1}: \mu<15\) and \(H_{1}: \mu>15\) are both 0.2273. However, given that the test statistic value is negative, the p-value corresponding to \(H_{1}: \mu<15\) is 0.2273, while the p-value corresponding to \(H_{1}: \mu>15\) would be higher (not significant), i.e. more than 0.2273.

Step by step solution

01

Analyzing the given p-value

In the given problem, a two-tailed test is performed. In this test, the null hypothesis \(H_{0}: \mu=15\) is tested against \(H_{1}: \mu \neq 15\), and it's found that the p-value is 0.4546 for the test. The p-value for a two-tailed test is the probability of observing a test statistic as extreme as, or more extreme than, the observed statistic under the null hypothesis. It’s divided equally and assigned to both tails of the distribution.
02

Finding the P-values for the alternative hypotheses

For a two-tailed test, the p-values for either of the one-tailed tests (\(H_{1}: \mu<15\) or \(H_{1}: \mu>15\)) would be half of the p-value calculated in the two-tailed test. Thus, the p-value for both alternative hypotheses would be \(0.4546/2 = 0.2273\).
03

Matching the p-values with the alternative hypotheses given the test statistic

It's mentioned that the test statistic value is negative. In hypothesis testing, a negative test statistic indicates that the sample mean is less than the assumed population mean in the null hypothesis. That hints towards the alternative hypothesis \(H_{1}: \mu<15\). Hence, the p-value 0.2273 corresponds to this alternative hypothesis. For the alternative \(H_{1}: \mu>15\), since the sample mean is not on the same side of \(\mu=15\) as the rejection region, the corresponding p-value would not be significant, i.e. it would be greater than 0.2273.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Two-Tailed Test
A two-tailed test is a method used in hypothesis testing where the area of interest for the test statistic is in both tails of the probability distribution. This means it investigates whether a parameter is either greater than or less than a certain value, rather than focusing on just one direction.

In a two-tailed test, the null hypothesis (\(H_0\)) is tested against the alternative that the parameter is not equal to a specific value, such as \(H_1: \mu eq 15\). Because it considers both tails, a two-tailed test examines for deviations on either side of the specified parameter.

When you conduct this type of test, you split the significance level (\(\alpha\)) between the two tails of the distribution. For example, if \(\alpha = 0.05\), each tail would contain 0.025. The resultant \(p\)-value must be less than \(\alpha\) to reject the null hypothesis.
P-Value Interpretation
The interpretation of the \(p\)-value is central to hypothesis testing. It represents the probability of obtaining test results as extreme as the observed results, under the assumption that the null hypothesis (\(H_0\)) is true.

If a test yields a small \(p\)-value (commonly below 0.05), it suggests the observed data is inconsistent with the null hypothesis, leading to its rejection favoring the alternative hypothesis. On the other hand, a large \(p\)-value indicates the data aligns well with the null hypothesis.

In two-tailed tests, the calculated \(p\)-value is always twice that of a corresponding one-tailed test. Thus, a \(p\)-value of 0.4546 in a two-tailed test would halve to 0.2273 in one-tailed applications, offering insight into the direction of the evidence relative to the null hypothesis.
One-Tailed Test
A one-tailed test is a hypothesis test used to determine if there is a statistical significance in a specific direction. This test examines only one side of the probability distribution.

One-tailed tests are appropriate when the research question posits that a parameter is either greater than or less than a certain value. For example, if you wish to test whether a parameter is specifically greater than (\(H_1: \mu > 15\)) or less than (\(H_1: \mu < 15\)) some value, a one-tailed test would be used.

The beauty of a one-tailed test is in its power to detect an effect in one direction, making it more sensitive and powerful compared to a two-tailed test, as the entirety of the \(\alpha\) level is concentrated in a single tail.
Test Statistic
The test statistic is a standardized value derived from sample data during hypothesis testing. It quantifies how much the data deviates from what is expected under the null hypothesis.

In hypothesis testing, the test statistic can either support or challenge the null hypothesis, depending on its comparison to the critical value or the given \(p\)-value. It's crucial for converting the sample data into something that can be interpreted within the hypothesis testing framework.

For example, a negative test statistic suggests that the sample mean is less than the null hypothesis population mean. In this exercise, such a statistic fits the alternative hypothesis \(H_1: \mu < 15\), steering the corresponding \(p\)-value match.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Customers often complain about long waiting times at restaurants before the food is served. A restaurant claims that it serves food to its customers, on average, within 15 minutes after the order is placed. \(A\) local newspaper journalist wanted to check if the restaurant's claim is true. A sample of 36 customers showed that the mean time taken to serve food to them was \(15.75\) minutes with a standard deviation of \(2.4\) minutes. Using the sample mean, the joumalist says that the restaurant's claim is false. Do you think the journalist's conclusion is fair to the restaurant? Use a \(1 \%\) significance level to answer this question.

According to ValuePenguin, the average annual cost of automobile insurance was \(\$ 1388\) in the state of Nevada in 2014 (www. valuepenguin.com). An insurance broker is interested to find if the current mean annual rate of automobile insurance in Nevada is more than \(\$ 1388\). She took a random sample of 100 insured automobiles from the state of Nevada and found the mean annual automobile insurance rate of \(\$ 1413\) with a standard deviation of \(\$ 122\). a. Using a \(1 \%\) significance level and the critical-value approach, can you conclude that the current mean annual automobile insurance rate in Nevada is higher than \(\$ 1388\) ? b. Find the range for the \(p\) -value for this test. What will your conclusion be using this \(p\) -value range and \(\alpha=.01\) ?

\(\quad\) Consider \(H_{0}: \mu=45\) versus \(H_{1}: \mu<45\). a. A random sample of 25 observations produced a sample mean of \(41.8 .\) Using \(\alpha=.025\), would you reject the null hypothesis? The population is known to be normally distributed with \(\sigma=6\). b. Another random sample of 25 observations taken from the same population produced a sample mean of \(43.8\). Using \(\alpha=\) \(.025\), would you reject the null hypothesis? The population is known to be normally distributed with \(\sigma=6\). Comment on the results of parts a and b.

A company claims that the mean net weight of the contents of its All Taste cereal boxes is at least 18 ounces. Suppose you want to test whether or not the claim of the company is true. Explain briefly how you would conduct this test using a large sample. Assume that \(\sigma=\) 25 ounce.

A tool manufacturing company claims that its top-of-the-line machine that is used to manufacture bolts produces an average of 88 or more bolts per hour. A company that is interested in buying this machine wants to check this claim. Suppose you are asked to conduct this test. Briefly explain how you would do so when \(\sigma\) is not known.

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