/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 59 A fast food chain store conducte... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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A fast food chain store conducted a taste survey before marketing a new hamburger. The results of the survey showed that \(70 \%\) of the people who tried this hamburger liked it. Encouraged by this result, the company decided to market the new hamburger. Assume that \(70 \%\) of all people like this hamburger. On a certain day, eight customers bought it for the first time. a. L.et \(x\) denote the number of customers in this sample of eight who will like this hamburger. Using the binomial probabilities table, obtain the probability distribution of \(x\) and draw a graph of the probability distribution. Determine the mean and standard deviation of \(x\). b. Using the probability distribution of part a, find the probability that exactly three of the eight customers will like this hamburger.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability distribution of \(x\), the number of customers out of 8 who will like the hamburger, can be calculated using the Probability mass function formula for binomial distribution. The mean \( \mu = np = 8 * 0.7 = 5.6 \) and standard deviation \( \sigma = \sqrt{np(1-p)} = \sqrt{8*0.7*0.3} \approx 1.34 \). The probability that exactly 3 customers will like the hamburger is calculated as \(P(X=3) = C(8, 3) * (0.7)^3 * (0.3)^5\).

Step by step solution

01

Calculate Binomial Distribution probabilities for each \(x\)

Firstly, the PMF for the binomial distribution is given by: \(P(X=k)= C(n, k) p^k(1-p)^{n-k}\), where n is the number of trials (in this case 8), p is the probability of success (in this case 0.7), and k is the number of successful trials. Calculate the probability for each value of x from 0 to 8.
02

Plot Distribution

Next, plot the probabilities against the number of customers which gives the distribution. This can be achieved using a bar graph with the number of customers who like the burger on x-axis and their probabilities on the y-axis.
03

Calculate Mean and Standard Deviation

The mean of a binomial distribution is given by \(\mu = np\) and the standard deviation is given by \(\sigma = \sqrt{np(1-p)}\). Substitute \(n=8\) and \(p=0.7\) into the formulas to find the mean and standard deviation.
04

Find the probability of exactly 3 customers liking the burger

Using the formula for the PMF of the binomial distribution, plug in the values \(k=3, n=8\), and \(p=0.7\) to find the exact probability.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Mass Function
The Probability Mass Function, or PMF, is a vital concept in understanding binomial distributions. It gives us the probability of obtaining a specific number of successes in a fixed number of independent trials. In our exercise about the new hamburger taste test, the PMF helps calculate the chances that exactly a certain number of customers out of eight would like the burger.
For the binomial distribution, the PMF is represented as: \[P(X=k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k} \] where:
  • \(n\) = number of trials (8, in our case)
  • \(p\) = probability of success (0.7, as 70% of people like the burger)
  • \(k\) = number of successful trials
So, to find the probability of exactly three customers liking the burger, we substitute these values into the formula. This calculation is crucial in determining specific outcomes within the entire sample space.
Probability Distribution
Probability Distribution is how we map out all the possible outcomes of a random experiment and their corresponding probabilities. In our hamburger scenario, the probability distribution of customers who like the burger means listing each number of customers (from 0 to 8) and attaching the probability determined by the PMF to each.
Once we've calculated the probabilities using the PMF for all values from 0 through 8, we can create a visual representation. This is often done using a bar graph. The x-axis will show the number of customers who liked the hamburger, while the y-axis indicates the probability of each outcome.
This distribution allows us to clearly see the likelihood of different numbers of success in our sample, revealing insights such as which outcomes are most probable.
Mean and Standard Deviation
In any probability distribution, understanding the mean and standard deviation provides invaluable insights into the data. For a binomial distribution, the mean (\(\mu\)) is calculated as:\[\mu = np\]where \(n\) is the number of trials and \(p\) is the probability of success per trial. In our hamburger example, this becomes \(8 \times 0.7 = 5.6\).
The mean signifies the expected number of customers who will like the burger. On the other hand, the standard deviation tells us how much variability exists around this mean. It's calculated as:\[\sigma = \sqrt{np(1-p)}\]Substituting our parameters, we get:\[\sigma = \sqrt{8 \times 0.7 \times 0.3} = \sqrt{1.68} \approx 1.3\]This shows that while we expect around 5 to 6 customers to like the burger, there's a noticeable spread in this number, allowing for good estimations in the planning and decision-making process.
Binomial Probabilities Table
The Binomial Probabilities Table is an excellent tool to find various binomial probabilities quickly without extensive calculations. Think of it as a ready-reference guide where you can quickly look up the probability of a certain number of successes, like receiving a certain number of likes for the burger.
To use the table, you typically need the number of trials and the probability of success, similar to our situation with \(n = 8\) and \(p = 0.7\). The table lists probabilities for different values of \(k\), simplifying the process.
Instead of computing the PMF manually every time, this table offers an efficient way to find these probabilities. For instance, if our exercise needs the probability of exactly three customers liking the hamburger, we'd simply locate the correct row and column intersection in the table, making statistical analysis both swift and accurate.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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