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Consider the null hypothesis \(H_{0}: \mu=12.80 .\) A random sample of 58 observations is taken from this population to perform this test. Using \(\alpha=.05\), show the rejection and nonrejection regions on the sampling distribution curve of the sample mean and find the critical value(s) of \(t\) for the following. a. a right-tailed test b. a left-tailed test c. a two-tailed test

Short Answer

Expert verified
The critical values for a right-tailed test, left-tailed test, and two-tailed test (with \(\alpha=0.05\)) are approximately 1.673, -1.673, and ±2.002 respectively.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the degrees of freedom

Start off by calculating the degrees of freedom, which in a t-test is typically the sample size minus 1. In this case, it would be \(58-1=57\). This is needed to determine the critical value.
02

Calculate the critical value for a right-tailed test

In a right-tailed test, the rejection region is in the extreme right of the distribution curve. It is defined by a t-value such that the area to the right of it under the curve equals the significance level \(\alpha\). Using a t-table or online calculator, find the t-value corresponding to \(\alpha = .05\) and degrees of freedom = 57, which would be approximately 1.673.
03

Calculate the critical value for a left-tailed test

In a left-tailed test, the rejection region is in the extreme left of the distribution curve. Again, find the t-value corresponding to \(\alpha = .05\) and degrees of freedom = 57, but because it's a left-tailed test, this value would be the negative of the one found before, i.e., -1.673.
04

Calculate the critical values for a two-tailed test

In a two-tailed test, the rejection region is divided equally in the two extremes of the distribution curve. Therefore, \(\alpha\) is divided by 2, and the t-values corresponding to \(\alpha/2 = .025\) in a t-table or online calculator is found. With 57 degrees of freedom, the absolute values of these critical values would be approximately ±2.002.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Degrees of Freedom
The concept of degrees of freedom is crucial when performing hypothesis tests, especially with the t-distribution. When you're conducting a t-test, the degrees of freedom (often denoted as \( df \)) usually refer to the number of values that are free to vary in a data set. In the case of a simple t-test, this is generally the sample size minus one. For example, if a sample size of 58 is selected, then the degrees of freedom would be \( 58 - 1 = 57 \).

Degrees of freedom are important because they allow us to correctly interpret the variability in our data. In simple terms, with more degrees of freedom, the t-distribution becomes closer to the normal distribution, which is useful for drawing more accurate conclusions from data samples.

This plays a crucial role in finding the critical value of a t-test, which is specific to the sample size and confidence level desired.
T-Distribution
The t-distribution is a type of probability distribution that is symmetric around zero. It's used specifically when dealing with small sample sizes, typically less than 30, or when the population standard deviation is unknown.

Think of it as a version of the normal distribution to account for small sample sizes, which tend to show more variation. It has thicker tails, meaning more probability in the tails, compared to the standard normal distribution. This characteristic allows more room for variance caused by smaller samples.

The shape of the t-distribution depends on the degrees of freedom. The more degrees of freedom you have, the closer the t-distribution looks to a standard normal distribution. When using the t-distribution, critical values can be found using either a t-table or a calculator which provides these based on your degrees of freedom and significance level \( \alpha \).
Right-Tailed Test
A right-tailed test is used when the alternative hypothesis claims that a parameter is greater than the null hypothesis suggests.

In a right-tailed test, the rejection region is on the extreme right end of the distribution curve. This area represents the outcomes that support rejecting the null hypothesis \( H_0 \). For a significance level \( \alpha = 0.05 \), you will find the t-value that leaves exactly 5% of the probability in the tail.

For example, if you have 57 degrees of freedom, as in this exercise, and use a standard t-table or calculator, you might determine that this critical value is approximately 1.673. If the test statistic exceeds this value, you would reject the null hypothesis, supporting the claim of a right-tailed prediction.
Left-Tailed Test
A left-tailed test is used when the alternative hypothesis suggests that a parameter is less than the null hypothesis suggests.

With a left-tailed test, the rejection region sits on the extreme left of the distribution curve. The outcomes in this region lead us to reject the null hypothesis \( H_0 \). For a significance level \( \alpha = 0.05 \), the corresponding negative critical value needs to be found.

For this specific task, utilizing 57 degrees of freedom, the critical value would typically be \(-1.673\). If the calculated test statistic is less than this critical value, the null hypothesis is rejected in favor of the alternative, indicating a significant difference in the left direction.
Two-Tailed Test
Two-tailed tests are used when the alternative hypothesis suggests that a certain parameter is simply different, whether higher or lower, from the null hypothesis.

The rejection regions in a two-tailed test are split between both ends of the sampling distribution curve. That means the significance level \( \alpha \) is divided by 2 between the two tails. For this example, with \( \alpha = 0.05 \), each tail of the distribution would have an area of \( 0.025 \).

Given 57 degrees of freedom, the critical values are approximately \( \pm 2.002 \). Thus, if the test statistic falls below or above these critical values, the null hypothesis will be rejected, indicating an evidence of a statistically significant difference.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Professor Hansen believes that some people have the ability to predict in advance the outcome of a spin of a roulette wheel. He takes 100 student volunteers to a casino. The roulette wheel has 38 numbers, each of which is equally likely to occur. Of these 38 numbers, 18 are red, 18 are black, and 2 are green. Each student is to place a serics of five bets, choosing either a red or a black number before each spin of the wheel. Thus, a student who bets on red has an \(18 / 38\) chance of winning that bet. The same is true of betting on black. a. Assuming random guessing, what is the probability that a particular student will win all five of his or her bets? b. Suppose for each student we formulate the hypothesis test \(H_{0}:\) The student is guessing \(H_{1}:\) The student has some predictive ability Suppose we reject \(H_{0}\) only if the student wins all five bets. What is the significance level? c. Suppose that 2 of the 100 students win all five of their bets. Professor Hansen says, "For these two students we can reject \(H_{0}\) and conclude that we have found two students with some ability to predict." What do you make of Professor Hansen's conclusion?

Records in a three-county area show that in the last few years, Girl Scouts sell an average of \(47.93\) boxes of cookies per year, with a population standard deviation of \(8.45\) boxes per year. Fifty randomly selected Girl Scouts from the region sold an average of \(46.54\) boxes this year. Scout leaders are concerned that the demand for Girl Scout cookies may have decreased. a. Test at the \(10 \%\) significance level whether the average number of boxes of cookies sold by all Girl Scouts in the three-county area is lower than the historical average. b. What will your decision be in part a if the probability of a Type I error is zero? Explain.

A tool manufacturing company claims that its top-of-the-line machine that is used to manufacture bolts produces an average of 88 or more bolts per hour. A company that is interested in buying this machine wants to check this claim. Suppose you are asked to conduct this test. Briefly explain how you would do so when \(\sigma\) is not known.

Consider the null hypothesis \(H_{0}: \mu=100\). Suppose that a random sample of 35 observations is taken from this population to perform this test. Using a significance level of \(.01\), show the rejection and nonrejection regions and find the critical value(s) of \(t\) when the alternative hypothesis is as follows. a. \(H_{1}: \mu \neq 100\) b. \(H_{1}: \mu>100\) c. \(H_{1}: \mu<100\)

For each of the following examples of tests of hypothesis about \(\mu\), show the rejection and nonrejection regions on the \(t\) distribution curve. a. A two-tailed test with \(\alpha=.02\) and \(n=20\) b. A left-tailed test with \(\alpha=.01\) and \(n=16\) c. A right-tailed test with \(\alpha=.05\) and \(n=18\)

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