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A random sample of 36 mid-sized cars tested for fuel consumption gave a mean of \(26.4\) miles per gallon with a standard deviation of \(2.3\) miles per gallon. a. Find a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for the population mean, \(\mu\). b. Suppose the confidence interval obtained in part a is too wide. How can the width of this interval be reduced? Describe all possible alternatives. Which alternative is the best and why?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. The 99% confidence interval for the population mean, \( \mu \), is between 25.41 and 27.39 miles per gallon.\nb. To reduce the width of the confidence interval: Lower the confidence level, increase the sample size, or decrease the standard deviation. The best alternative is to increase the sample size as it improves the precision without reducing the level of confidence.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate the z-score

To calculate the z-score for a 99% confidence level, find the z-value such that the area under the standard normal curve is 0.99. This can be done using a standard normal distribution table or a z-score calculator. The z-score for a 99% confidence level is approximately 2.576.
02

Calculate the standard error

The standard error (SE) is equaled to the standard deviation divided by the square root of the sample size. Given the standard deviation as \(2.3\) miles per gallon and sample size of \(36\), the standard error becomes \(SE = \frac{2.3}{\sqrt{36}} = 0.383\) miles per gallon.
03

Calculate the confidence interval

Now construct the confidence interval using the formula \( \mu = M \pm (Z*SE) \) where \( \mu \) is the population mean, \( M \) is the sample mean, \( Z \) is the z-score and \( SE \) is the standard error. Substituting for \( M = 26.4 \), \( Z = 2.576 \) and \( SE = 0.383 \), we obtain the confidence interval \( \mu = 26.4 \pm (2.576*0.383) \) yielding to \( \mu \) between \( 25.41 \) and \( 27.39 \) miles per gallon.
04

Reduction of the confidence interval

To reduce the width of the confidence interval, one could: \n1. Decrease the confidence level: A lower confidence level will result in a smaller z-score and thus, a narrower confidence interval. However, this also implies taking more risk of being wrong.\n2. Increase the sample size: A larger sample size reduces the standard error, resulting in a more narrow interval. This can be more costly and time-consuming but doesn't compromise on the precision.\n3. Decrease the standard deviation: More consistency in data collection can lead to a lower standard deviation, thereby resulting in a more narrow confidence interval. This might not, however, always be in one's control. \nThe best alternative would be to increase the sample size because it enhances the precision of the estimate without compromising the level of confidence.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Refer to Exercise 8.92. Assume that a preliminary study has shown that \(93 \%\) of all Tony's pizzas are delivered within 30 minutes. How large should the sample size be so that the \(99 \%\) confidence interval for the population proportion has a margin of error of \(.02 ?\)

The following data give the speeds (in miles per hour), as measured by radar, of 10 cars traveling on Interstate \(\mathrm{I}-15\). \(\begin{array}{llllllllll}76 & 72 & 80 & 68 & 76 & 74 & 71 & 78 & 82 & 65\end{array}\) Assuming that the speeds of all cars traveling on this highway have a normal distribution, construct a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the mean speed of all cars traveling on this highway.

When calculating a confidence interval for the population mean \(\mu\) with a known population standard deviation \(\sigma\), describe the effects of the following two changes on the confidence interval: (1) doubling the sample size, (2) quadrupling (multiplying by 4) the sample size. Give two reasons why this relationship does not hold true if you are calculating a confidence interval for the population mean \(\mu\) with an unknown population standard deviation.

When one is attempting to determine the required sample size for estimating a population mean, and the information on the population standard deviation is not available, it may be feasible to take a small preliminary sample and use the sample standard deviation to estimate the required sample size, \(n .\) Suppose that we want to estimate \(\mu\), the mean commuting distance for students at a community college, to within 1 mile with a confidence level of \(95 \%\). A random sample of 20 students yields a standard deviation of \(4.1\) miles. Use this value of the sample standard deviation, \(s\), to estimate the required sample size, \(n\). Assume that the corresponding population has a normal distribution.

Suppose, for a sample selected from a population, \(\bar{x}=25.5\) and \(s=4.9\). a. Construct a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for \(\mu\) assuming \(n=47\). b. Construct a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for \(\mu\) assuming \(n=47\). Is the width of the \(99 \%\) confidence interval larger than the width of the \(95 \%\) confidence interval calculated in part a? If yes, explain why. c. Find a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for \(\mu\) assuming \(n=32\). Is the width of the \(95 \%\) confidence interval for \(\mu\) with \(n=32\) larger than the width of the \(95 \%\) confidence interval for \(\mu\) with \(n=47\) calculated in part a? If so, why? Explain.

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