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Let \(N=16, r=10\), and \(n=5 .\) Using the hypergeometric probability distribution formula, find a. \(P(x=5)\) b. \(P(x=0) \quad\) c. \(P(x \leq 1)\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The results are the calculated values for the three separate probabilities of \(P(x=5)\), \(P(x=0)\), and \(P(x \leq 1)\) using the hypergeometric probability distribution formula.

Step by step solution

01

Compute \(P(x=5)\)

The first scenario to calculate is when \(x=5\). By substituting \(N=16, r=10\), \(n=5\), and \(x=5\) into the hypergeometric probability formula, we get: \(P(x=5)= \frac{{^{10}C_{5} \cdot ^{6}C_{0}}}{{^{16}C_{5}}}\). This can be solved using combination formulas and simplified to obtain the first probability.
02

Compute \(P(x=0)\)

The second scenario is when \(x=0\). This time, substitute \(N=16, r=10\), \(n=5\), and \(x=0\) into the formula to get: \(P(x=0)= \frac{{^{10}C_{0} \cdot ^{6}C_{5}}}{{^{16}C_{5}}}\). Again, solve this combination formula to get the second probability.
03

Compute \(P(x \leq 1)\)

In this scenario, take \(x=1\) and \(x=0\) (since \(x \leq 1\)). The cumulative probability \(P(x \leq 1)\) is the sum of individual probabilities for \(x=0\) and \(x=1\). Therefore, first compute \(P(x=1)= \frac{{^{10}C_{1} \cdot ^{6}C_{4}}}{{^{16}C_{5}}}\) and then add the previously computed \(P(x=0)\) to get \(P(x \leq 1) = P(x=0) + P(x=1)\). Solve these calculations to get the final probability.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Combinations
In order to work effectively with the hypergeometric probability distribution, understanding combinations is crucial. Combinations help us calculate the number of ways to choose a group of items from a larger set without regard to the order. For example, let's consider the mathematical notation \(^nC_k\), which represents the number of combinations of choosing \(k\) items from \(n\) items.Combinations are calculated using the formula:
  • \( ^nC_k = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} \)
The "!" symbol denotes a factorial, meaning you multiply all whole numbers from the given number down to 1. In the given problem, combinations are used to find different ways to choose successful and unsuccessful outcomes from both the group of successes and failures in the whole population. Understanding and applying the combination formula allows us to compute precise probabilities in the hypergeometric distribution problems.
Probability
Probability is the measure of how likely an event is to occur. For any event, the probability ranges between 0 and 1. A probability of 0 signifies an impossible event, while a probability of 1 means the event is certain to happen.In the hypergeometric distribution, the probability of an outcome is calculated by taking the number of ways to have the desired outcomes over the total number of possible outcomes. For example, in the context of the problem, the formula relates the probability of selecting a predefined number of items from two groups:
  • \(P(x=k)= \frac{{^{r}C_{k} \cdot ^{N-r}C_{n-k}}}{{^{N}C_{n}}} \)
This formula is used to get the exact probability of choosing \(k\) successes in \(n\) draws without replacement, from a finite population of \(N\) with \(r\) successes.
Cumulative Distribution
Cumulative distribution, in the context of probability, refers to the cumulative effect where probabilities are added over a range of values. For example, in the hypergeometric probability distribution, when calculating \(P(x \leq 1)\), it includes the sum of probabilities where \(x=0\) and \(x=1\).The cumulative distribution function (CDF) gives us the probability that a random variable \(X\), drawn from the distribution, is less than or equal to a certain value. It's a handy way to calculate the probability of \(X\) being within a specific range:
  • \(P(x \leq 1) = P(x=0) + P(x=1)\)
This cumulative aspect helps in dealing with problems where a range of outcomes is of interest rather than a single specific one.
Statistics
Statistics is the broad field that deals with analysis, interpretation, presentation, and organization of data. In this context, statistical methods allow us to make inferences or predictions about a population from samples. The hypergeometric distribution is a statistical tool used to model situations where samples are drawn without replacement. This is common in quality control, ecological studies, and lottery, where the finite population matters. In the problem provided, statistics help to determine the probabilities and interpret them to understand the sampled population. These calculations support a statistical understanding of event frequencies and their likelihood across different possible outcomes, which are pivotal in real-world applications.
Discrete Probability Distributions
Discrete probability distributions are used for random variables that have countable outcomes. They describe probabilities for countable outcomes like rolling dice or flipping a coin. In such distributions, each value has a certain probability associated with it. The hypergeometric distribution is an example of a discrete probability distribution. It's specifically used when sampling is done without replacement from a finite population, making it different from binomial distributions (those involve replacement). In this context, you analyze a set number of outcomes (or "successes") within a defined sample size. The hypergeometric distribution is used to model scenarios like the provided exercise where items cannot be replaced once drawn, demonstrating the likelihood of specific combinations and outcomes based on statistical experiments.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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