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Explain the meaning of the probability distribution of a discrete random variable. Give one example of such a probability distribution. What are the three ways to present the probability distribution of a discrete random variable?

Short Answer

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A probability distribution describes how probabilities are distributed among the values of a discrete random variable. An example is the probability distribution of a fair die, which assigns probability \(\frac{1}{6}\) to each of the outcomes 1 through 6. The three ways to present the probability distribution are through a table, a formula, and a visual representation such as a histogram.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding Discrete Random Variable

A discrete random variable can take on a finite or countably infinite set of values. These variables are usually the result of a count, such as the number of emails you receive in a day or the number of people in a room.
02

Understanding Probability Distribution

The probability distribution of a discrete random variable is a list of probabilities associated with each of its possible values. It is also sometimes called the probability function or the probability mass function. An example of such a distribution might be the statistical result of a fair die roll, where the discrete random variable could take on one of six values {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}, and each of these outcomes has a probability of \(\frac{1}{6}\). This is because a fair die has six faces, each equally likely to occur when the die is rolled.
03

Ways to Present the Probability Distribution

The three ways to present the probability distribution of a discrete random variable are: (1) Formulate it in a table showing each outcome and its associated probability. (2) Express it using a formula that calculates the probability for a given outcome. (3) Depict it visually using a histogram or a probability mass function graph, where the probability of each outcome is represented by the height of a bar at that outcome's value.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Discrete Random Variable
A discrete random variable is an essential concept in probability theory and statistics. It represents outcomes that can be counted individually, such as the number of heads when flipping a coin several times, or how many textbooks a student buys in a semester. These are not continuous figures but rather specific values that you can list out.

Discrete random variables are characterized by gaps or intervals between each value. For instance, when rolling a six-sided die, the potential outcomes are 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6. You cannot roll a 3.5 or any fraction. This set of possible values is what defines its discrete nature. In practice, you'll recognize discrete random variables when dealing with items you can count without ambiguity.
Probability Mass Function
The probability mass function (PMF) is a crucial tool for understanding the likelihood of outcomes for a discrete random variable. It provides you with a map of how probable each potential outcome is. Think of it as a blueprint that outlines the distribution of probabilities across the possible results.

The PMF is defined mathematically as a function that gives the probability that a discrete random variable equals a particular value. For instance, in the case of a fair die, the PMF assigns a probability of \(\frac{1}{6}\) to each outcome from 1 to 6 because each face of the die is equally likely. This setup allows you to see quickly and clearly which results are more likely or less likely.
Visual Representation of Probability Distributions
Creating a visual representation of a probability distribution greatly aids in comprehending how the different outcomes of a discrete random variable relate to each other.

One popular method is to use a histogram. A histogram represents the probability of each outcome by the height of a bar. The x-axis lists all possible outcomes, and the bar heights reflect the probability given by the PMF.
Alternatively, a graph of the PMF can be used, where the vertical axis displays probability, and each potential outcome is marked on the horizontal axis. This type of graph highlights how probabilities are spread across different outcomes, providing a quick visual summary.
Example of Probability Distribution
Let's explore a classic example of a probability distribution involving a fair six-sided die. Here, the dice roll numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6 are the possible outcomes of our discrete random variable.

For this die, each number should appear once in six rolls on average, granting each outcome an equal probability of \(\frac{1}{6}\) as determined by its PMF. This uniform distribution is an excellent demonstration of even probability allocation among discrete variables, perfect for illustrating the balance of chance in games and experiments where fairness is key.
Ways to Present Probability Distributions
There are several methods to present the probability distribution of a discrete random variable, offering flexibility depending on needs and resources:

  • Tabular Format: List out each possible outcome alongside its corresponding probability. This method is clear and concise, especially useful in textbooks and reports.

  • Formulaic Expression: Write a mathematical formula that defines the probability for any given outcome. This approach is adept for computations and can be integrated into algorithms for simulations.

  • Visual Display: Use graphs such as histograms or probability mass function plots. Visual displays are engaging and straightforward, providing a quick way to understand probability distributions at a glance.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Scott offers you the following game: You will roll two fair dice. If the sum of the two numbers obtained is \(2,3,4,9,10,11\), or 12, Scott will pay you \(\$ 20\). However, if the sum of the two numbers is 5 , 6,7, or 8 , you will pay Scott \(\$ 20\). Scott points out that you have seven winning numbers and only four losing numbers. Is this game fair to you? Should you accept this offer? Support your conclusion with appropriate calculations.

A high school history teacher gives a 50 -question multiple-choice examination in which each question has four choices. The scoring includes a penalty for guessing. Each correct answer is worth I point, and each wrong answer costs \(1 / 2\) point. For example, if a student answers 35 questions correctly, 8 questions incorrectly, and does not answer 7 questions, the total score for this student will be \(35-(1 / 2)(8)=31\) a. What is the expected score of a student who answers 38 questions correctly and guesses on the other 12 questions? Assume that the student randomly chooses one of the four answers for each of the 12 guessed questions. b. Does a student increase his expected score by guessing on a question if he has no idea what the correct answer is? Explain. c. Does a student increase her expected score by guessing on a question for which she can eliminate one of the wrong answers? Explain.

What are the conditions that must be satisfied to apply the Poisson probability distribution?

A contractor has submitted bids on three state jobs: an office building, a theater, and a parking garage. State rules do not allow a contractor to be offered more than one of these jobs. If this contractor is awarded any of these jobs, the profits earned from these contracts are $$\$ 10$$ million from the office building, $$\$ 5$$ million from the theater, and $$\$ 2$$ million from the parking garage. His profit is zero if he gets no contract. The contractor estimates that the probabilities of getting the office building contract, the theater contract, the parking garage contract, or nothing are \(.15, .30, .45\), and 10, respectively. Let \(x\) be the random variable that represents the contractor's profits in millions of dollars. Write the probability distribution of \(x\). Find the mean and standard deviation of \(x\). Give a brief interpretation of the values of the mean and standard deviation.

Let \(x\) be the number of cars that a randomly selected auto mechanic repairs on a given day. The following table lists the probability distribution of \(x\). $$ \begin{array}{l|ccccc} \hline x & 2 & 3 & 4 & 5 & 6 \\ \hline P(x) & .05 & .22 & .40 & 23 & .10 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ Find the mean and standard deviation of \(x\), Give a brief interpretation of the value of the mean.

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