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A review of emergency room records at rural Millard Fellmore Memorial Hospital was performed to determine the probability distribution of the number of patients entering the emergency room during a 1-hour period. The following table lists the distribution. $$ \begin{array}{l|ccccccc} \hline \text { Patients per hour } & 0 & 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 & 5 & 6 \\ \hline \text { Probability } & .2725 & .3543 & .2303 & .0998 & .0324 & .0084 & .0023 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ a. Graph the probability distribution. b. Determine the probability that the number of patients entering the emergency room during a randomly selected 1 -hour period is in 2 or more ii. exactly 5 iii. fewer than 3 iv. at most 1

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that 2 or more patients arrive in an hour is \(0.3732\), that exactly 5 patients enter the ER per hour is \(0.0084\), that fewer than 3 patients arrive in an hour is \(0.8571\) and that at most 1 patient arrives in an hour is \(0.6268\).

Step by step solution

01

Graphing the probability distribution

To create a graph of the distribution, use the number of patients per hour as the x-axis and the probabilities as the y-axis. Each pair (number of patients, probability) from the table represents a point in the graph, plot them accordingly.
02

Calculating the probability for 2 or more patients

To find the probability that 2 or more patients arrive in an hour, sum up the probabilities associated with 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6 patients per hour, i.e., \(0.2303 + 0.0998 + 0.0324 + 0.0084 + 0.0023 = 0.3732\).
03

Calculating the probability for exactly 5 patients

The probability that exactly 5 patients enter the ER per hour is directly given as 0.0084.
04

Calculating the probability for fewer than 3 patients

To find the probability that fewer than 3 patients arrive in an hour, sum up the probabilities for 0, 1, and 2 patients per hour, i.e., \(0.2725 + 0.3543 + 0.2303 = 0.8571\).
05

Calculating the probability for at most 1 patient

To find the probability that at most 1 patient arrives in an hour, sum up the probabilities for 0 and 1 patients per hour, i.e., \(0.2725 + 0.3543 = 0.6268\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Graphing Probability Distribution
When graphing a probability distribution, it is crucial to understand what the axes represent. The horizontal axis, often referred to as the x-axis, represents the different outcomes or events. In this case, the outcomes are the number of patients entering the emergency room. The vertical axis, or y-axis, represents the probability of each event occurring.
To create a graph for the given distribution, plot each event along the x-axis against its corresponding probability on the y-axis. For instance, the number of patients (0, 1, 2, etc.) are plotted on the x-axis, and their associated probabilities (0.2725, 0.3543, etc.) are plotted on the y-axis.
  • Begin by marking the x-axis at evenly spaced intervals for 0 through 6 patients.
  • Next, mark the y-axis to accommodate probabilities ranging from 0 to 0.4 for clarity.
  • Plot each point by aligning its number of patients with its probability.
This type of graph is called a probability mass function (PMF) since it shows the probability distribution for a discrete random variable.
Calculating Probability
Calculating probabilities for specific events involves identifying the exact probability or summing probabilities for a range of events. This task often involves basic arithmetic to add or identify values directly from the probability table.
Consider different scenarios:
  • "2 or more" implies summing probabilities of events occurring at or above that threshold. Here, calculate by adding probabilities of 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6 patients.
  • "Exactly 5" is straightforward: use the probability given for exactly 5 patients.
  • "Fewer than 3" means adding probabilities for 0, 1, and 2 patients, which captures all events less than 3.
  • "At most 1" involves summing probabilities for 0 and 1 patients since these are the only scenarios fitting the description of being at most one.
Understanding how to identify the right probabilities to use is key to answering such questions accurately.
Discrete Probability
Discrete probability is concerned with outcomes that are countable and distinct. In this context, the number of patients admitted to the emergency room is a discrete variable because it can only take on certain values (0, 1, 2,..., 6) without any intermediate or fractional values.
A primary feature of discrete probabilities is that each potential outcome has a specific probability associated with it. Here, we see:
  • Each probability value represents the likelihood of a corresponding event.
  • The sum of all discrete probabilities must equal 1.
In practical terms, discrete probability is used to model and analyze systems where events have distinct outcomes, like flipping a coin, rolling dice, or in this case, counting patients.
Probability Sums
When dealing with probability sums, the goal is often to determine the combined probability of multiple events occurring. This can involve calculating cumulative probabilities by summing individual probabilities for events that fall within a specified range.
To do this:
  • Identify the range of interest — for example, the probability of 2 or more patients.
  • Use addition to compute the total probability of all events within that range. In our exercise, this is demonstrated with the sum: 0.2303 + 0.0998 + 0.0324 + 0.0084 + 0.0023, yielding a cumulative probability for 2 or more patients.
Such calculations are foundational in probability theory, helping to quantify the likelihood of various grouped events.

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