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Given that \(A\) and \(B\) are two mutually exclusive events, find \(P(A\) or \(B\) ) for the following. a. \(P(A)=.25\) and \(P(B)=.27\) b. \(P(A)=.58\) and \(P(B)=.09\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. The probability of either event A or B occurring is .52, b. The probability of either event A or B occurring is .67

Step by step solution

01

Understand the concept of mutually exclusive events

Mutually exclusive events are events that cannot occur at the same time. In other words, the occurrence of one event excludes the occurrence of the other. In this scenario, events A and B are mutually exclusive.
02

Use the probability rule for mutually exclusive events for part A

If two events are mutually exclusive, the probability of either event A or B occurring is the sum of their individual probabilities. Here, \(P(A)=.25\) and \(P(B)=.27\). Hence, for either A or B happening, \(P(A \text{ or } B)=P(A)+P(B)=.25+.27=.52\)
03

Repeat the use of rule for part B

On similar lines, for the case where \(P(A)= .58\) and \(P(B)= .09\), the probability of either A or B occurring is \(P(A \text{ or } B)=P(A)+P(B)=.58 + .09 = .67\)

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Rule
Probability rules help us determine the chances of an event happening. For mutually exclusive events, there is a special rule to find the probability of one event or another happening. If events A and B are mutually exclusive, meaning they cannot happen at the same time, the probability that either A or B will happen is the sum of their individual probabilities. This is expressed mathematically as:
  • \(P(A \text{ or } B) = P(A) + P(B)\)
This rule simplifies the process of calculation because we don't have to consider the possibility of both events happening together. In our exercise, we applied this rule to different sets of probabilities for events A and B. It’s important to remember, this rule only applies when the events in question are mutually exclusive.
Event A or B
When tackling problems involving probabilities, understanding what it means for event A or B to occur is crucial. "Event A or B" refers to either one, or potentially both (if not mutually exclusive), of the events happening. However, with mutually exclusive events, you only need to consider one event happening at a time.
For instance, in the initial exercise, we are given two scenarios where events A and B have certain probabilities. Since they are mutually exclusive, when event A happens, event B cannot, and vice versa. When asked to find \(P(A \text{ or } B)\), the question essentially is about finding the collective probability of either one happening, but not both. It's this clear understanding that makes calculating their probabilities straightforward.
Individual Probabilities
The concept of individual probabilities deals with finding the chance of a single event occurring, separate from others. When we know the probability of events A and B individually, we can use this information to find the probability of compound events.
  • In the exercise, \(P(A)=0.25\) and \(P(B)=0.27\) for one case, and \(P(A)=0.58\) and \(P(B)=0.09\) for another.
These probabilities are the foundational elements needed when applying the rule for mutually exclusive events. Understanding each event’s individual probability is essential before moving on to combine them using probability rules. This is a key step in statistics, as it transforms raw probability measures into actionable insights for broader decision-making.
Introductory Statistics
Statistics is all about making sense of data and uncertainty. In introductory statistics, students begin exploring the basics of probability, which is a core component of the field.
Understanding the probability of events, especially concepts like mutually exclusive events, sets the groundwork for deeper statistical analysis.
  • Through exercises like the one discussed here, students learn fundamental rules of probability, such as how to handle scenarios where events cannot happen simultaneously.
  • Grasping these basic concepts aids in building the critical thinking skills necessary to analyze and interpret data in various real-world contexts.
Being adept at these foundational ideas allows learners to progress into more complex statistical methodologies with confidence.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose a randomly selected passenger is about to go through the metal detector at JFK Airport in New York City. Consider the following two outcomes: The passenger sets off the metal detector, and the passenger does not set off the metal detector. Are these two outcomes equally likely? Explain why or why not. If you are to find the probability of these two outcomes, would you use the classical approach or the relative frequency approach? Explain why

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A random sample of 2000 adults showed that 1320 of them have shopped at least once on the Internet. What is the (approximate) probability that a randomly selected adult has shopped on the Internet?

A consumer agency randomly selected 1700 flights for two major airlines, \(\mathrm{A}\) and \(\mathrm{B}\). The following table gives the two-way classification of these flights based on airline and arrival time. Note that "less than 30 minutes late" includes flights that arrived early or on time. $$\begin{array}{lccc} \hline & \begin{array}{c} \text { Less Than 30 } \\ \text { Minutes Late } \end{array} & \begin{array}{c} \text { 30 Minutes to } \\ \text { 1 Hour Late } \end{array} & \begin{array}{c} \text { More Than } \\ \text { 1 Hour Late } \end{array} \\ \hline \text { Airline A } & 429 & 390 & 92 \\ \text { Airline B } & 393 & 316 & 80 \\ \hline \end{array}$$ a. If one flight is selected at random from these 1700 flights, find the probability that this flight is \(\mathrm{i}\), more than 1 hour late ii. less than 30 minutes late iii. a flight on airline A given that it is 30 minutes to 1 hour late iv. more than 1 hour late given that it is a flight on airline \(\mathrm{B}\) b. Are the events "airline A" and "more than 1 hour late" mutually exclusive? What about the events "less than 30 minutes late" and "more than 1 hour late?" Why or why not? c. Are the events "airline \(\mathrm{B}\) " and " 30 minutes to 1 hour late" independent? Why or why not?

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