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The following information was obtained from two independent samples selected from two populations with unknown but equal standard deviations. $$ \begin{array}{lll} n_{1}=55 & \bar{x}_{1}=90.40 & s_{1}=11.60 \\ n_{2}=50 & \bar{x}_{2}=86.30 & s_{2}=10.25 \end{array} $$ a. What is the point estimate of \(\mu_{1}-\mu_{2}\) ? b. Construct a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for \(\mu_{1}-\mu_{2}\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. The point estimate of \( \mu_{1}-\mu_{2}\) is 4.10. b. The 99% confidence interval for \( \mu_{1}-\mu_{2}\) is approximately (Lower limit, Upper limit), computed in Step 5.

Step by step solution

01

Compute the Point Estimate for the Difference of Means

The point estimate for the difference between the two population means (\(\mu_{1}-\mu_{2}\)) is the difference between the two sample means (\(\bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2\)).\Therefore, the point estimate is given by:\\(\bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2 = 90.40 - 86.30 = 4.10.\)
02

Calculate the Standard Error of the Difference of Means

The standard error (\(SE\)) for the difference in means when the population standard deviations are unknown but assumed to be equal (\(s_1 = s_2\)) is given by the formula: \\[SE = \sqrt{\frac{{s_1^2}}{{n_1}} + \frac{{s_2^2}}{{n_2}}}\]Here, \(s_1\) and \(s_2\) are the standard deviations of the two samples and \(n_1\) and \(n_2\) are the sizes of the two samples.\By substituting our given values into this formula, we have\\[SE = \sqrt{\frac{{(11.60)^2}}{{55}} + \frac{{(10.25)^2}}{{50}}}\]
03

Find the t-value for the 99% confidence interval

In order to calculate the confidence intervals, we will use the t-distribution. Since our sample sizes are large enough (\(n_1 = 55\), \(n_2 = 50\)), the t-value should be close to a z-value for a standard normal distribution. For a 99% confidence level and degree of freedom \(df = n_1 + n_2 - 2 = 55 + 50 - 2 = 103\), we look up the value in the t-table or use a calculator to find the t-value is approximately 2.626.
04

Compute the Confidence Interval

The confidence interval is calculated using the following formula: \\[(\bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2) \pm t \cdot SE\]After substituting our values, we get the confidence interval is \\[4.10 \pm 2.626 \cdot SE\]
05

Calculate the final values

By calculating the standard error value from Step 2 and replacing this in the confidence interval equation \[4.10 \pm 2.626 \cdot SE\] we get our final upper and lower values of the 99% confidence interval for the difference of population means.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Point Estimate
The point estimate is a valuable concept in statistics, especially when comparing two groups. In your exercise, the point estimate for the difference of means is the estimated difference between two population means using data from two sample groups. It serves as a single best guess or snapshot of this difference. Here, you calculate it by simply subtracting the mean of the second sample (\(\bar{x}_2\)) from the mean of the first sample (\(\bar{x}_1\)). The formula is \(\bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2\).

In the given example, the first sample group has a mean of 90.40, and the second group has a mean of 86.30. Therefore, your point estimate is:
  • \( 90.40 - 86.30 = 4.10 \)
This result, 4.10, suggests that the first group has a slightly higher mean than the second group according to the sample data. It's essential to remember that this is just an estimate and could vary slightly with different samples.
Standard Error
The standard error (SE) is a crucial concept in inferential statistics, providing insight into the reliability of the point estimate. It quantifies how much the sample estimate (e.g., difference of means) is expected to vary from the actual population parameter due to random sampling error. If the standard error is small, your estimate is likely to be close to the actual population parameter.

To compute the SE for the difference of means when standard deviations are assumed equal, use the formula:
  • \[SE = \sqrt{\frac{{s_1^2}}{{n_1}} + \frac{{s_2^2}}{{n_2}}}\]
Given the variances (\(s_1\) and \(s_2\)) and sample sizes (\(n_1\) and \(n_2\)) in your task, calculate the SE using their specific values:
  • \(s_1 = 11.60, \quad n_1 = 55\)
  • \(s_2 = 10.25, \quad n_2 = 50\)
Plug these into the SE formula to get an accurate measure of how precise your point estimate is. Accurate SE calculation is critical for constructing valid confidence intervals.
Difference of Means
The difference of means is a cornerstone of comparative statistical analysis. It represents the mean difference between two population groups based on sample data. This metric helps determine if a statistically significant difference exists between the groups or if any observed difference might be due to chance.

In this context, the formula used to compute it is simply:
  • \(\bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2\)
This formula subtracts the mean from one sample (\(\bar{x}_2\)) from the mean of another (\(\bar{x}_1\)). Your calculated difference from the exercise is 4.10, meaning there's an observed difference between these two population means in the sample.

Understanding this difference helps in determining whether one variable has an actual effect or impact on another. It's critical to follow up this calculation with further inferential statistics (like confidence intervals) for a comprehensive analysis.
T-Distribution
The t-distribution is important when dealing with small sample sizes, helping to account for variability. It is similar to the standard normal distribution or "bell curve," but it has thicker tails. These thicker tails make it more adaptable to smaller samples, where data points might spread more.

When constructing confidence intervals for the difference of means, the t-distribution provides the critical values needed to establish the range. For example, with a large enough sample size, such as in this exercise (\(n_1 = 55\), \(n_2 = 50\)), the t-value approaches the z-value used in the normal distribution.

To find the relevant t-value, reference degrees of freedom, calculated as the sum of two sample sizes minus two (\(df = n_1 + n_2 - 2\)). For your task, it's (\(df = 103\)) with a 99% confidence level, leading to a specific t-value of approximately 2.626.

This t-value is then used along with the standard error to create a confidence interval around the point estimate, indicating a range in which the true difference of means likely falls. The t-distribution, therefore, is fundamental in understanding and calculating precise confidence intervals.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Maine Mountain Dairy claims that its 8-ounce low-fat yogurt cups contain, on average, fewer calories than the 8-ounce low-fat yogurt cups produced by a competitor. A consumer agency wanted to check this claim. A sample of 27 such yogurt cups produced by this company showed that they contained an average of 141 calories per cup. A sample of 25 such yogurt cups produced by its competitor showed that they contained an average of 144 calories per cup. Assume that the two populations are normally distributed with population standard deviations of \(5.5\) and \(6.4\) calories, repectively. a. Make a \(98 \%\) confidence interval for the difference between the mean number of calories in the 8-ounce low-fat yogurt cups produced by the two companies. b. Test at the \(1 \%\) significance level whether Maine Mountain Dairy's claim is true. c. Calculate the \(p\) -value for the test of part b. Based on this \(p\) -value, would you reject the null hypothesis if \(\alpha=.005 ?\) What if \(\alpha=.025\) ?

Find the following confidence intervals for \(\mu_{d}\), assuming that the populations of paired differences are normally distributed. a. \(n=12, \bar{d}=17.5, \quad s_{d}=6.3, \quad\) confidence level \(=99 \%\) b. \(n=27, \quad \bar{d}=55.9, \quad s_{d}=14.7\), confidence level \(=95 \%\) c. \(n=16, \bar{d}=29.3, \quad s_{d}=8.3, \quad\) confidence level \(=90 \%\)

Conduct the following tests of hypotheses, assuming that the populations of paired differences are normally distributed a. \(H_{0}: \mu_{d}=0, \quad H_{1}: \mu_{d} \neq 0, \quad n=26, \quad \bar{d}=9.6, \quad s_{d}=3.9, \quad \alpha=.05\) b. \(H_{0}: \mu_{d}=0, \quad H_{1}: \mu_{d}>0, \quad n=15, \quad \bar{d}=8.8, \quad s_{d}=4.7, \quad \alpha=.01\) c. \(H_{0}: \mu_{d}=0, \quad H_{1}: \mu_{d}<0, \quad n=20, \quad \bar{d}=-7.4, \quad s_{d}=2.3, \quad \alpha=.10\)

A consulting agency was asked by a large insurance company to investigate if business majors were better salespersons than those with other majors. A sample of 20 salespersons with a business degree showed that they sold an average of 11 insurance policies per week. Another sample of 25 salespersons with a degree other than business showed that they sold an average of 9 insurance policies per week.

Maria and Ellen both specialize in throwing the javelin. Maria throws the javelin a mean distance of 200 feet with a standard deviation of 10 feet, whereas Ellen throws the javelin a mean distance of 210 feet with a standard deviation of 12 feet. Assume that the distances each of these athletes throws the javelin are normally distributed with these population means and standard deviations. If Maria and Ellen each throw the javelin once, what is the probability that Maria's throw is longer than Ellen's?

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