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A Nissan Motor Corporation advertisement read, 鈥淭he average man鈥檚 I.Q. is 107. The average brown trout鈥檚 I.Q. is 4. So why can鈥檛 man catch brown trout?鈥 Suppose you believe that the brown trout鈥檚 mean I.Q. is greater than four. You catch 12 brown trout. A fish psychologist determines the I.Q.s as follows: 5; 4; 7; 3; 6; 4; 5; 3; 6; 3; 8; 5. Conduct a hypothesis test of your belief.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Reject the null hypothesis; the mean I.Q. of brown trout is likely greater than 4.

Step by step solution

01

State the Hypotheses

Start by stating the null hypothesis \(H_0\) and the alternative hypothesis \(H_a\). In this case, the null hypothesis is \(H_0: \mu = 4\) (the mean I.Q. of brown trout is 4), and the alternative hypothesis is \(H_a: \mu > 4\) (the mean I.Q. of brown trout is greater than 4).
02

Gather the Sample Data

Gather the I.Q. scores from the sample: 5, 4, 7, 3, 6, 4, 5, 3, 6, 3, 8, 5. This is a sample size of \(n = 12\).
03

Calculate the Sample Mean and Standard Deviation

Calculate the sample mean \(\bar{x}\): \(\bar{x} = \frac{5 + 4 + 7 + 3 + 6 + 4 + 5 + 3 + 6 + 3 + 8 + 5}{12} = 4.75\). Next, calculate the sample standard deviation \(s\).
04

Calculate the Test Statistic

Use the formula for the test statistic for a one-sample t-test: \(t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}}\). Substitute \(\bar{x} = 4.75\), \(\mu = 4\), \(s\), and \(n = 12\) into the formula to find \(t\).
05

Determine the Critical Value or P-Value

Find the critical value for a right-tailed t-test at a chosen significance level (e.g., 0.05) using \(df = n-1 = 11\). Alternatively, calculate the p-value for the observed test statistic.
06

Compare and Conclude

If the test statistic is greater than the critical value, or if the p-value is less than the significance level, reject the null hypothesis. Otherwise, do not reject \(H_0\). In this particular case, since \(t\) will be calculated larger than the critical t-value at a common significance level (e.g., 0.05), you would reject \(H_0\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis, often denoted as \(H_0\), plays a crucial role in hypothesis testing as it sets the starting point for statistical inference. It is a statement asserting that there is no effect or no difference, and, in this context, it suggests that the mean I.Q. of brown trout is exactly 4. Put simply, the null hypothesis is the claim that any deviation from the stated mean is merely due to random chance or sampling error rather than a real effect.
In our exercise, the null hypothesis is formulated as:
  • \(H_0: \mu = 4\)
Where \(\mu\) represents the true mean I.Q. of brown trout. The primary goal of the hypothesis test is to determine whether sufficient evidence exists in the sample data to warrant rejection of this null hypothesis.
Rejecting the null hypothesis would imply that the observed data provides strong evidence for an alternative explanation. It is important to remember that failing to reject \(H_0\) does not conclusively prove it true, but instead suggests a lack of sufficient evidence to prefer the alternative hypothesis.
Alternative Hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis, denoted as \(H_a\), suggests a different scenario from the null hypothesis, positing that there is a real effect or difference. This hypothesis represents the statement you aim to prove. In this case, it proposes that the mean I.Q. of brown trout is greater than 4.
Formally, the alternative hypothesis can be represented as:
  • \(H_a: \mu > 4\)
The alternative hypothesis is used to define the direction of the test. Here, it indicates that we are conducting a one-tailed test, specifically a right-tailed test, as we are interested in determining if the brown trout's I.Q. is above 4.
Finding enough evidence in favor of the alternative hypothesis would involve demonstrating that the sample mean is significantly greater than the hypothesized population mean under \(H_0\). In practice, supporting this hypothesis often involves comparing the calculated test statistic against a critical value determined by the chosen significance level.
One-Sample t-Test
A one-sample t-test is a statistical method used to determine whether the mean of a single sample differs significantly from a known or hypothesized population mean. It's particularly useful when dealing with small sample sizes and when the population standard deviation is unknown.
The procedural steps for conducting a one-sample t-test include:
  • Calculate the sample mean \(\bar{x}\).
  • Determine the sample standard deviation \(s\).
  • Use the test statistic formula: \(t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}}\), where \(\bar{x}\) is the sample mean, \(\mu\) is the hypothesized population mean, \(s\) is the sample standard deviation, and \(n\) is the sample size.
In this exercise, the sample mean \(\bar{x} = 4.75\) and a test statistic \(t\) are calculated based on these variables. The t-test helps in determining if there is a statistically significant deviation between the sample mean and the hypothetical mean \(\mu = 4\). Examining the resulting t-value against critical t-values (associated with the chosen significance level) enables you to draw conclusions about the hypotheses.
Significance Level
The significance level, often symbolized as \(\alpha\), is a threshold set to determine how strong the evidence must be before rejecting the null hypothesis. It reflects the probability of committing a Type I error, which is the mistake of rejecting a true null hypothesis.
A common choice for \(\alpha\) is 0.05, signifying a 5% risk of concluding that a difference exists when there is none. Choosing a significance level involves a balance between Type I and Type II errors, where a lower \(\alpha\) reduces the risk of falsely rejecting the null hypothesis but may increase the risk of failing to detect a true effect.
Once the significance level is established, it helps determine the critical value for the test statistic. If the calculated test statistic exceeds this critical value, or if the p-value (probability of observing a test statistic as extreme as, or more so, than the observed value), is less than \(\alpha\), the null hypothesis is rejected. In this study on brown trout, a common significance level like 0.05 might be used for evaluating whether the test results significantly deviate from \(H_0\).

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Most popular questions from this chapter

An article in the San Jose Mercury News stated that students in the California state university system take 4.5 years, on average, to finish their undergraduate degrees. Suppose you believe that the mean time is longer. You conduct a survey of 49 students and obtain a sample mean of 5.1 with a sample standard deviation of 1.2. Do the data support your claim at the 1% level?

The National Institute of Mental Health published an article stating that in any one-year period, approximately 9.5 percent of American adults suffer from depression or a depressive illness. Suppose that in a survey of 100 people in a certain town, seven of them suffered from depression or a depressive illness. Conduct a hypothesis test to determine if the true proportion of people in that town suffering from depression or a depressive illness is lower than the percent in the general adult American population. a. Is this a test of one mean or proportion? b. State the null and alternative hypotheses. \(H_{0} : \qquad \qquad \qquad H_{a} :\) c. Is this a right-tailed, left-tailed, or two-tailed test? d. What symbol represents the random variable for this test? e. In words, define the random variable for this test. f. Calculate the following: $$ \begin{array}{l}{\text { i. } x=} \\ {\text { ii. } \quad n=} \\ {\text { iil. } p^{\prime}=}\end{array} $$ g. Calculate \(\sigma_{x}=\qquad .\) Show the formula set-up. h. State the distribution to use for the hypothesis test. i. Find the \(p\) -value. j. At a pre-conceived \(\alpha=0.05,\) what is your: i. Decision: ii. Reason for the decision: iii. Conclusion (write out in a complete sentence):

"Dalmatian Darnation," by Kathy Sparling A greedy dog breeder named Spreckles Bred puppies with numerous freckles The Dalmatians he sought Possessed spot upon spot The more spots, he thought, the more shekels. His competitors did not agree That freckles would increase the fee. They said, 鈥淪pots are quite nice But they don't affect price; One should breed for improved pedigree.鈥 The breeders decided to prove This strategy was a wrong move. Breeding only for spots Would wreak havoc, they thought. His theory they want to disprove. They proposed a contest to Spreckles Comparing dog prices to freckles. In records they looked up One hundred one pups: Dalmatians that fetched the most shekels. They asked Mr. Spreckles to name An average spot count he'd claim To bring in big bucks. Said Spreckles, 鈥淲ell, shucks, It's for one hundred one that I aim.鈥 Said an amateur statistician Who wanted to help with this mission. 鈥淭wenty-one for the sample Standard deviation's ample: They examined one hundred and one Dalmatians that fetched a good sum. They counted each spot, Mark, freckle and dot And tallied up every one. Instead of one hundred one spots They averaged ninety six dots Can they muzzle Spreckles鈥 Obsession with freckles Based on all the dog data they've got?

Instructions: For the following ten exercises, Hypothesis testing: For the following ten exercises, answer each question. a. State the null and alternate hypothesis. b. State the p-value. c. State alpha. d. What is your decision? e. Write a conclusion. f. Answer any other questions asked in the problem. According to the Center for Disease Control website, in 2011 at least 18% of high school students have smoked a cigarette. An Introduction to Statistics class in Davies County, KY conducted a hypothesis test at the local high school (a medium sized鈥揳pproximately 1,200 students鈥搒mall city demographic) to determine if the local high school鈥檚 percentage was lower. One hundred fifty students were chosen at random and surveyed. Of the 150 students surveyed, 82 have smoked. Use a significance level of 0.05 and using appropriate statistical evidence, conduct a hypothesis test and state the conclusions.

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