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Use the following information to answer the next seven exercises: A ballet instructor is interested in knowing what percent of each year's class will continue on to the next, so that she can plan what classes to offer. Over the years, she has established the following probability distribution. \(\bullet\) Let \(X=\) the number of years a student will study ballet with the teacher. \(\bullet\) Let \(P(x)=\) the probability that a student will study ballet \(x\) years. On average, how many years would you expect a child to study ballet with this teacher?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Calculate the expected value using the formula \(E(X) = \sum x_i \cdot P(x_i)\).

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Probability Distribution

The given probability distribution is for a discrete random variable \(X\), which represents the number of years a student studies ballet. This probability distribution provides the probability \(P(x)\) for each possible value of \(x\).
02

Recall the Formula for Expected Value

The expected value (mean) of a discrete random variable \(X\) is calculated using the formula \[E(X) = \sum x_i \cdot P(x_i)\], where \(x_i\) is a possible value of \(X\) and \(P(x_i)\) is the probability of \(x_i\).
03

Apply the Formula to Find the Expected Value

Substitute the given values and their probabilities into the expected value formula. Compute the sum of the products of each value and its corresponding probability: \[E(X) = \sum x_i \cdot P(x_i)\].
04

Perform the Calculations

For each \(x_i\), calculate \(x_i \cdot P(x_i)\) and then sum all these results to get \(E(X)\). Ensure all calculations are done accurately.
05

Interpret the Result

The result from your calculation in Step 4 is the expected number of years a child will study ballet with the teacher. This value is the weighted average of all potential outcomes, weighted by their probabilities.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Discrete Random Variable
A discrete random variable is a type of variable that can only take on a finite or countable number of distinct values. In the context of the ballet instructor's exercise, the discrete random variable represents the number of years a student will study ballet, denoted as \( X \). Discrete random variables are often used to model scenarios where outcomes are countable. For example, the number of times a die rolls a three or the number of people in line at a grocery store.
When working with discrete random variables, each possible value has a specific probability associated with it. This is crucial, as it allows us to calculate various characteristics of the variable, such as its expected value. Understanding discrete random variables helps in analyzing and making predictions for situations that can be numerically quantified, such as anticipating how many students will continue ballet each year.
Probability Distribution
A probability distribution is a mathematical function that provides the probabilities of occurrence for each possible outcome of a random variable. In our case, the probability distribution for the ballet class scenario gives the likelihood of students studying for a different number of years, i.e., \( P(x) \)
This distribution is built by assigning a probability to each value the random variable can take. To ensure it is a valid distribution, the sum of all probabilities must equal 1. For instance, if the probability that a student continues ballet for 1 year is 0.2, for 2 years is 0.3, and so on, the total of all these probabilities must add up to 1.
  • Defines all possible outcomes
  • Assigns probabilities to each outcome
  • Ensures total probability equals 1
Probability distributions help explain how a random variable behaves, provide insights into likely outcomes, and allow for analysis using statistical measures such as the mean of the distribution.
Mean of a Discrete Random Variable
The mean of a discrete random variable, also known as the expected value, is a measure of its central tendency. It tells you the average outcome you can expect if an experiment was repeated many times. For a discrete random variable \( X \), with possible values \( x_i \) and corresponding probabilities \( P(x_i) \), the mean \( E(X) \) is calculated as follows:
\[E(X) = \sum x_i \cdot P(x_i)\]
This formula involves multiplying each possible value of the random variable by its associated probability and then summing these products. In the ballet scenario, this would mean taking each possible number of years a student can study and weighing it by the probability that the student studies for those years.
For instance, if the probabilities and years are as follows, 1 year (0.2), 2 years (0.3), 3 years (0.4), etc., calculating \( E(X) \) gives you the expected number of years a student might study, which helps in planning future classes.
  • Represents average or expected value
  • Calculated using a weighted sum method
  • Provides practical insights for decision-making
Probability Calculation
Probability calculation is a fundamental part of understanding random variables and their distributions. In the exercise for the ballet class, finding the expected number of years a child studies ballet involves calculating probabilities of different years, represented by \( P(x) \).
Each probability calculation gives the chance that a particular outcome occurs, such as a student studying for a given number of years. The calculation involves:
  • Listing all possible outcomes
  • Assigning a probability to each outcome, based on historical data or assumptions
When you calculate the probabilities associated with each possible number of years, you help build an accurate model of what typically happens. The results of these calculations, when used within the expected value formula, illustrate the long-term average outcome for many students. Gaining competency in probability calculations allows better forecasting and strategic planning, especially when combined with other statistical tools in decision-making.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Use the following information to answer the next eight exercises: The Higher Education Research Institute at UCLA collected data from 203,967 incoming first-time, full-time freshmen from 270 four year colleges and universities in the U.S. 71.3% of those students replied that, yes, they believe that same-sex couples should have the right to legal marital status. Suppose that you randomly pick eight first-time, full-time freshmen from the survey. You are interested in the number that believes that same sex-couples should have the right to legal marital status. What values does the random variable \(X\) take on?

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Use the following information to answer the next six exercises: The Higher Education Research Institute at UCLA collected data from 203,967 incoming first-time, full-time freshmen from 270 four-year colleges and universities in the U.S. 71.3% of those students replied that, yes, they believe that same-sex couples should have the right to legal marital status. Suppose that you randomly select freshman from the study until you find one who replies 鈥測es.鈥 You are interested in the number of freshmen you must ask. In words, define the random variable \(X.\)

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