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Use the following information to answer the next ten exercises. Forty-eight percent of all Californians registered voters prefer life in prison without parole over the death penalty for a person convicted of first degree murder. Among Latino California registered voters, 55% prefer life in prison without parole over the death penalty for a person convicted of first degree murder. 37.6% of all Californians are Latino. In this problem, let: 鈥 C = Californians (registered voters) preferring life in prison without parole over the death penalty for a person convicted of first degree murder. 鈥 L = Latino Californians Suppose that one Californian is randomly selected. Find P(C|L).

Short Answer

Expert verified
P(C|L) = 0.55

Step by step solution

01

Define Conditional Probability

Conditional probability is the probability of an event occurring given that another event has already occurred. It is denoted as \( P(A|B) \), which represents the probability of event \( A \) occurring given that \( B \) has occurred. In this exercise, we need to calculate \( P(C|L) \): the probability that a Californian prefers life in prison without parole over the death penalty given that they are Latino.
02

Identify Given Information

From the information provided, we know that 55% of Latino Californian registered voters prefer life in prison without parole over the death penalty. This is directly given as 55% or \( P(C|L) = 0.55 \).
03

Confirm Calculation Requirements

Since the problem directly provides the necessary information to express \( P(C|L) \) (the probability of preferring life without parole given Latino), no further calculations are needed. The value is already given as 0.55.
04

Conclude with the Solution

Therefore, no further steps are required beyond confirming that \( P(C|L) = 0.55 \) based on the information that 55% of Latinos prefer life in prison without parole over the death penalty.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Theory
Probability theory is a fundamental component of understanding how likely events are to occur. A key concept in this field is conditional probability, which examines the likelihood of an event given that another event has already happened. Consider the example provided: among Latino Californian registered voters, 55% prefer life in prison without parole over the death penalty. This percentage is an expression of conditional probability.

Conditional probability is mathematically expressed as \( P(A|B) \), where \( A \) is the event of interest, and \( B \) is the condition or the event that has already occurred. In simpler terms, it is calculated by dividing the probability of both events occurring by the probability of the condition.
  • \( P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)} \)
In our case, where you are given that 55% of Latino Californians prefer a certain legal sentence, the conditional probability is directly stated: \( P(C|L) = 0.55 \).

Understanding this helps in real-life decision-making and statistical evaluations by allowing predictions based on known data aspects.
Statistical Analysis
Statistical analysis often relies on probability to interpret data and make informed decisions. In the study of datasets involving populations, like the case of Californian voters, statistical methods are used to uncover insights and draw conclusions.

Here, statistical analysis helped identify that among Latino Californians voters, a specific percentage has a particular preference regarding a legal issue. Statistical methods not only allow calculating and verifying such percentages but also offer insights into the broader population.

In practice, statistical analysis:
  • Provides methods for collecting, summarizing, and analyzing data
  • Helps in hypothesis testing and decision-making
  • Enables prediction and inferences on the entire population based on sample data
The 55% figure used for conditional probability is obtained through such rigorous statistical analysis. It simplifies complex datasets into understandable insights, guiding decisions and policy-making.
Mathematics Education
Mathematics education equips students with the skills to interpret and analyze data using various mathematical principles, including probability. Understanding concepts like conditional probability and related calculations is essential for mathematical literacy.

When learning about probability in a classroom setting, students explore diverse scenarios that involve determining the likelihood of events. They learn techniques for dealing with conditional probability, like those discussed in this exercise. Incorporating real-world contexts, such as voter preferences in societal issues, makes learning relevant.

Mathematics education aims to:
  • Develop critical thinking through problem-solving
  • Strengthen decision-making skills based on numerical data
  • Encourage analytical capabilities by simplifying complex problems
By connecting mathematical concepts with real-life applications, students better understand the impact and relevance of these concepts. This prepares them for practical challenges and informed decision-making in varied situations.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Approximately 86.5% of Americans commute to work by car, truck, or van. Out of that group, 84.6% drive alone and 15.4% drive in a carpool. Approximately 3.9% walk to work and approximately 5.3% take public transportation. a. Construct a table or a tree diagram of the situation. Include a branch for all other modes of transportation to work. b. Assuming that the walkers walk alone, what percent of all commuters travel alone to work? c. Suppose that 1,000 workers are randomly selected. How many would you expect to travel alone to work? d. Suppose that 1,000 workers are randomly selected. How many would you expect to drive in a carpool?

Use the following information to answer the next ten exercises. On a baseball team, there are infielders and outfielders. Some players are great hitters, and some players are not great hitters. Let I = the event that a player in an infielder. Let O = the event that a player is an outfielder. Let H = the event that a player is a great hitter. Let N = the event that a player is not a great hitter Write the symbols for the probability that a player is not an outfielder.

Use the following information to answer the next six exercises. A jar of 150 jelly beans contains 22 red jelly beans, 38 yellow, 20 green, 28 purple, 26 blue, and the rest are orange. Find \(P(Y)\)

Use the following information to answer the next seven exercises. An article in the New England Journal of Medicine, reported about a study of smokers in California and Hawaii. In one part of the report, the self-reported ethnicity and smoking levels per day were given. Of the people smoking at most ten cigarettes per day, there were 9,886 African Americans, 2,745 Native Hawaiians, 12,831 Latinos, 8,378 Japanese Americans, and 7,650 Whites. Of the people smoking 11 to 20 cigarettes per day, there were 6,514 African Americans, 3,062 Native Hawaiians, 4,932 Latinos, 10,680 Japanese Americans, and 9,877 Whites. Of the people smoking 21 to 30 cigarettes per day, there were 1,671 African Americans, 1,419 Native Hawaiians, 1,406 Latinos, 4,715 Japanese Americans, and 6,062 Whites. Of the people smoking at least 31 cigarettes per day, there were 759 African Americans, 788 Native Hawaiians, 800 Latinos, 2,305 Japanese Americans, and 3,970 Whites. In words, explain what it means to pick one person from the study who is 鈥淛apanese American OR smokes 21 to 30 cigarettes per day.鈥 Also, find the probability.

An experiment consists of first rolling a die and then tossing a coin. a. List the sample space. b. Let A be the event that either a three or a four is rolled first, followed by landing a head on the coin toss. Find P(A). c. Let B be the event that the first and second tosses land on heads. Are the events A and B mutually exclusive? Explain your answer in one to three complete sentences, including numerical justification.

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