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Use the following information to answer the next twelve exercises. In the recent Census, three percent of the U.S. population reported being of two or more races. However, the percent varies tremendously from state to state. Suppose that two random surveys are conducted. In the first random survey, out of 1,000 North Dakotans, only nine people reported being of two or more races. In the second random survey, out of 500 Nevadans, 17 people reported being of two or more races. Conduct a hypothesis test to determine if the population percents are the same for the two states or if the percent for Nevada is statistically higher than for North Dakota. State the null and alternative hypotheses. a. \(H 0 :\) b. \(H_{a} :\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. \(H_0: p_{ND} = p_{NV}\), b. \(H_a: p_{NV} > p_{ND}\)

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Population Percentages

We are given that 3% of the U.S. population reports being of two or more races. However, we need to test if the percentage in Nevada is statistically higher than in North Dakota. We have sample data from two surveys: 9 out of 1,000 people in North Dakota and 17 out of 500 people in Nevada.
02

Define the Null Hypothesis

The null hypothesis (H 0 ) is a statement that there is no effect or difference. In this case, we hypothesize that the percentage of people reporting being of two or more races is the same in both North Dakota and Nevada. Mathematically, this can be expressed as: \[ H_0: p_{ND} = p_{NV} \] where p_ {ND} and p_ {NV} are the proportions of two or more races in North Dakota and Nevada, respectively.
03

Define the Alternative Hypothesis

The alternative hypothesis (H_{a} ) is what you want to test for. In this scenario, you are checking if Nevada has a statistically higher percentage of people reporting being of two or more races compared to North Dakota. This hypothesis is expressed as: \[ H_a: p_{NV} > p_{ND} \] This indicates that we are conducting a one-tailed test to see if the proportion in Nevada is greater than in North Dakota.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
The concept of a "null hypothesis" is foundational in statistics. It is a type of hypothesis used in statistics that proposes there is no statistical significance in a set of given observations. Generally represented as \( H_0 \), the null hypothesis in our context states that the population proportions are the same across different groups or treatments.
In this specific problem, the null hypothesis asserts that the proportion of people identifying as two or more races is the same in both North Dakota and Nevada. Expressed mathematically, it is written as:
  • \( H_0: p_{ND} = p_{NV} \)
Here, \( p_{ND} \) is the proportion in North Dakota, and \( p_{NV} \) is the proportion in Nevada. The null hypothesis assumes no difference between these two groups. Thus, it provides a baseline or default position to be tested against the actual data.
Before proceeding with further analysis, it is crucial to clearly understand what the null hypothesis predicates, as it informs the basis for all subsequent tests and interpretations.
Alternative Hypothesis
An alternative hypothesis factors in any outcome that is not explained by the null hypothesis. Denoted by \( H_a \), it proposes a specific aspect of interest that deviates from the null. In our example, the alternative hypothesis suggests that Nevada has a higher proportion of individuals who identify as two or more races compared to North Dakota.
This intention is articulated as:
  • \( H_a: p_{NV} > p_{ND} \)
This hypothesis leads to a one-tailed test, focusing solely on testing whether the proportion in Nevada is statistically larger. One-tailed tests are used when deviations in one specific direction are of interest.
The significance of alternative hypotheses arises from their capacity to drive inquiry into areas where actual deviations could occur, should the null hypothesis be false. It is particularly valuable for identifying and confirming differences that might exist between comparative groups.
Survey Data
Survey data forms the backbone of empirical research and statistical analysis. It consists of information gathered from participants via various modes like questionnaires, interviews, or observation. In this case, surveys were conducted in North Dakota and Nevada to gather data about racial identification.
Surveys need careful planning to ensure they adequately represent the larger population they are drawn from. Important considerations include sample size, randomness, and methodology. Here, the survey reported:
  • 9 out of 1,000 respondents in North Dakota identified as two or more races.
  • 17 out of 500 respondents in Nevada identified similarly.
Interpreting survey data involves analyzing these figures to identify any statistically significant differences, using statistical tools and hypothesis testing. Understanding survey data's integrity and reliability is paramount in drawing conclusions or making predictions about broader population attributes.
Population Proportions
"Population proportions" offer a way to express parts of a whole in terms of statistical data. In population surveys, they are used to represent the fraction of the population possessing a particular characteristic, like identifying as multiple races.
In analyzing the survey data, population proportions were calculated for both states:
  • For North Dakota: \( p_{ND} = \frac{9}{1000} \)
  • For Nevada: \( p_{NV} = \frac{17}{500} \)
Recognizing these proportions helps identify potential hypotheses about the populations, facilitating comparisons across demographic groups.
A key aspect of proportion testing involves establishing whether observed differences (like more individuals of certain categories) are statistically significant. This adds value by clarifying whether variations in survey responses signify true demographic differences or are mere coincidences due to random sampling variability.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A recent drug survey showed an increase in the use of drugs and alcohol among local high school seniors as compared to the national percent. Suppose that a survey of 100 local seniors and 100 national seniors is conducted to see if the proportion of drug and alcohol use is higher locally than nationally. Locally, 65 seniors reported using drugs or alcohol within the past month, while 60 national seniors reported using them.

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