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Consider the following sample of 25 observations on the diameter \(x\) (in centimeters) of a disk used in a certain system: \(\begin{array}{lllllll}16.01 & 16.08 & 16.13 & 15.94 & 16.05 & 16.27 & 15.89 \\\ 15.84 & 15.95 & 16.10 & 15.92 & 16.04 & 15.82 & 16.15 \\ 16.06 & 15.66 & 15.78 & 15.99 & 16.29 & 16.15 & 16.19 \\ 16.22 & 16.07 & 16.13 & 16.11 & & & \end{array}\) The 13 largest normal scores for a sample of size 25 are \(1.965,1.524,1.263,1.067,0.905,0.764,0.637,0.519\) \(0.409,0.303,0.200,0.100\), and \(0 .\) The 12 smallest scores result from placing a negative sign in front of each of the given nonzero scores. Construct a normal probability plot. Does it appear plausible that disk diameter is normally distributed? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Without the graphical representation, a definite conclusion can't be made. However, if the plot results in points that form a straight line, it would be plausible that the disk diameter is normally distributed. If the points deviate significantly from a straight line, then it would not be plausible that the disk diameter follows a Normal distribution.

Step by step solution

01

Understand Normal Probability Plot

A normal probability plot, also known as a normal quantile or QQ plot, is used to visually check if the data can be approximated by a normal distribution. If the data is normally distributed, the plot would show approximately a straight line.
02

Arrange the Observations and Normal Scores

Arrange the observations and normal scores in ascending order. The 12 smallest scores are obtained by placing a negative sign in front of each of the nonzero normal scores. Append these values, in order, to the beginning of the normal scores array.
03

Plot the Data

A normal probability plot can be created by plotting the sorted observations against the corresponding sorted normal scores. This can be done using graphing software like R or Python (matplotlib). Each observation (disk diameter) is plotted against its corresponding normal score.
04

Analyze the Normal Probability Plot

If the points in the plot roughly form a straight line, then it can be assumed that the data follows a Normal distribution. If the points deviate significantly from a straight line, then the data does not follow a Normal distribution.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Normal Distribution
Understanding the normal distribution is essential for interpreting a wide range of data encountered in natural and social sciences. Simply put, the normal distribution is a bell-shaped curve that is symmetrical about the mean. It is characterized by its mean (average value) and standard deviation (measure of spread).

Mathematically, the normal distribution is expressed as the probability density function (PDF):
\[ f(x) = \frac{1}{\sigma \sqrt{2\pi}} e^{-\frac{1}{2}(\frac{x-\mu}{\sigma})^2} \]
where \( \mu \) is the mean, \( \sigma \) is the standard deviation, and \( e \) is the base of the natural logarithm.

Data that follow a normal distribution have several important properties. About 68% of data within one standard deviation of the mean, 95% within two standard deviations, and 99.7% within three standard deviations. This is often referred to as the 68-95-99.7 (or empirical) rule. Knowledge of these properties aids in making predictions and decisions based on statistical data.
Quantile-Quantile (QQ) Plot
The quantile-quantile (QQ) plot is a graphical tool used in statistical data analysis to assess if a set of data comes from a particular theoretical distribution. For instance, when comparing to the normal distribution, it is often called a normal QQ plot. This plot displays the quantiles of the data against the quantiles of the theoretical distribution. If the two sets of quantiles come from the same distribution, the points on the QQ plot will lie approximately on a straight line.

A QQ plot is particularly useful when you have a sample of data and you want to see if it is reasonable to model it with a normal distribution. Deviations from the straight line hint at possible skewness or outliers that could influence the analysis. Interpretation of the plot requires careful consideration of the pattern of points. If the sample points systematically deviate in a certain pattern, this may suggest skewness, heavy tails, or other deviations from the theoretical distribution.
Statistical Data Analysis
Statistical data analysis is the process of examining, cleaning, transforming, and modeling data with the goal of discovering useful information, making conclusions, and supporting decision-making. It involves summarizing data by descriptive statistics, estimating parameters, testing hypotheses, and making predictions.

Statistical analysis can be divided into descriptive and inferential statistics. Descriptive statistics summarize the sample data using measures like the mean, median, mode, and standard deviation. Inferential statistics, on the other hand, make predictions or inferences about a population based on a sample of data drawn from it. A well-known tool of inferential statistics is hypothesis testing, which assists in determining whether any observed effects in the data are real or just random variations.
Normal Scores
Normal scores, often referred to as z-scores in statistics, represent the number of standard deviations an observation is from the mean. A normal score transforms raw data into standardized values allowing for comparison across different datasets or variables.

For a single data point, its normal score is calculated as: \[ z = \frac{(x - \mu)}{\sigma} \]
where \( x \) is the datapoint, \( \mu \) the mean, and \( \sigma \) the standard deviation of the population from where x was drawn. In the context of normal probability plots, sorted normal scores are used to check whether the data matches the expected values from a normal distribution. The process also involves reflecting the positive scores as negative for the corresponding lower end of the data, thus creating symmetry in the plot.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose that in a certain metropolitan area, nine out of 10 households have cable TV. Let \(x\) denote the number among four randomly selected households that have cable TV, so \(x\) is a binomial random variable with \(n=4\) and \(p=.9\). a. Calculate \(p(2)=P(x=2)\), and interpret this probability. b. Calculate \(p(4)\), the probability that all four selected households have cable TV. c. Determine \(P(x \leq 3)\).

A grocery store has an express line for customers purchasing at most five items. Let \(x\) be the number of items purchased by a randomly selected customer using this line. Give examples of two different assignments of probabilities such that the resulting distributions have the same mean but quite different standard deviations.

The probability distribution of \(x\), the number of defective tires on a randomly selected automobile checked at a certain inspection station, is given in the following table: $$ \begin{array}{cccccc} x & 0 & 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 \\ p(x) & .54 & .16 & .06 & .04 & .20 \end{array} $$ a. Calculate the mean value of \(x\). b. What is the probability that \(x\) exceeds its mean value?

The article on polygraph testing of FBI agents referenced in Exercise \(7.51\) indicated that the probability of a false-positive (a trustworthy person who nonetheless fails the test) is 15 . Let \(x\) be the number of trustworthy FBI agents tested until someone fails the test. a. What is the probability distribution of \(x\) ? b. What is the probability that the first false-positive will occur when the third person is tested? c. What is the probability that fewer than four are tested before the first false-positive occurs? d. What is the probability that more than three agents are tested before the first false-positive occurs?

Let \(z\) denote a random variable having a normal distribution with \(\mu=0\) and \(\sigma=1 .\) Determine each of the following probabilities: a. \(P(z<0.10)\) b. \(P(z<-0.10)\) c. \(P(0.40-1.25)\) g. \(P(z<-1.50\) or \(z>2.50\) )

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