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A gasoline tank for a certain car is designed to hold 15 gallons of gas. Suppose that the variable \(x=\) actual capacity of a randomly selected tank has a distribution that is well approximated by a normal curve with mean \(15.0\) gallons and standard deviation \(0.1\) gallon. a. What is the probability that a randomly selected tank will hold at most \(14.8\) gallons? b. What is the probability that a randomly selected tank will hold between \(14.7\) and \(15.1\) gallons? c. If two such tanks are independently selected, what is the probability that both hold at most 15 gallons?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. The probability that a randomly selected tank will hold at most 14.8 gallons is found by calculating the Z-score and looking it up in a Z-table or using a calculator. b. The probability that a randomly selected tank will hold between 14.7 and 15.1 gallons is found by calculating the difference between the probabilities of the two Z-scores. c. The probability that both independently selected tanks hold at most 15 gallons is found by squaring the calculated probability (Z-score) for one tank.

Step by step solution

01

Problem Identification

First, identify the problem and what is given: In this case, a gasoline tank follows a normal distribution with mean 15.0 gallons and standard deviation 0.1 gallon.
02

Calculation of probability for 14.8 gallons using Z-score

The formula for Z-score is \(Z = \frac{(X - μ)}{σ}\). To calculate the probability that a randomly selected tank will hold at most 14.8 gallons, calculate the Z-score with \(X = 14.8, μ = 15, σ = 0.1\). After finding the Z-score, it's possible to use statistical tables or calculators to find the area under curve which represents the probability.
03

Calculation of probability between 14.7 and 15.1 gallons using Z-score

To calculate the probability that a randomly selected tank will hold between 14.7 and 15.1 gallons, calculate the Z-scores for \(X = 14.7\) and \(X = 15.1\) then find the area under curve between these two Z-scores.
04

Calculation of probability for two tanks holding at most 15 gallons

As the tanks are independently selected, the combined probability is the product of the individual probabilities (Law of multiplication). Calculate Z-score for \(X = 15\), find its corresponding probability and then square it to get the probability for two tanks.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Z-score Calculation
Understanding the concept of a Z-score is fundamental in statistics, especially when dealing with normal distributions. A Z-score, also known as a standard score, is a numerical measurement used in statistics to describe a value's relationship to the mean of a group of values. It's calculated using the formula:
\[ Z = \frac{(X - \text{mean})}{\text{standard deviation}} \]
In the context of our gasoline tank problem, the mean (\(\text{mean}\)) is 15 gallons, and the standard deviation (\(\text{standard deviation}\)) is 0.1 gallon. To find the Z-score for a tank that holds at most 14.8 gallons, we substitute the actual capacity (\(X\)) with 14.8 and perform the calculation. The Z-score then represents how many standard deviations away from the mean our actual capacity is.
A negative Z-score means the actual capacity is below the mean, while a positive Z-score means the capacity is above the mean. Through Z-scores, we can compare different values on a standard scale, even if the original data points have different units or scales.
Area Under the Normal Curve
The normal distribution, which is symmetric and bell-shaped, represents the distribution of various data across many fields. An important feature of the normal distribution is that the total area under the curve is equal to 1, or 100%, which embodies all possible outcomes.
When we talk about the 'area under the normal curve', we are referring to the probability of a random variable falling within a particular range. This region is found using the calculated Z-scores, which correspond to specific probabilities according to the standard normal distribution table or can be computed using a calculator with statistical functions.
In the gasoline tank exercise, after calculating the Z-score for 14.8 gallons, we can use the standard normal distribution table to find the area to the left of this Z-score, representing the probability of selecting a tank with at most 14.8 gallons. The result is the likelihood that a randomly selected tank from the population will meet this specific condition.
Probability for Range of Values
Probability for a range of values in a normal distribution involves finding the likelihood that a variable falls between two different points. For instance, with our gasoline tank example, to determine the probability that a tank will hold between 14.7 and 15.1 gallons, we calculate the Z-scores for each gallon measurement and then find the areas corresponding to these Z-scores.
You can think of it as shading the area under the normal curve between two Z-scores. The probability is the amount of that shaded region. The area for a single point on the curve is zero since the curve is continuous and has infinitely many points. That's why we look at ranges—it's the way we can measure an event's likelihood in continuous distributions.
For problems involving multiple independent events—like selecting two tanks and wanting them both to hold at most 15 gallons—we calculate the probability of one event and then use the rules of multiplication for independent events to find the combined probability. The independence of the tanks' capacities means that the filling of one tank does not influence the other, which is a key assumption for our calculations to be correct.

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