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Researchers asked each child in a sample of 411 school-age children if they were more or less likely to purchase a lottery ticket at a store if lottery tickets were visible on the counter. The percentage that said that they were more likely to purchase a ticket by grade level are as follows (R\&) Child Development Consultants, Quebec. 2001): \begin{tabular}{cc} Grade & Percentage That Said They Were More Likely to Purchase \\ \hline 6 & \(32.7\) \\ 8 & \(46.1\) \\ 10 & \(75.0\) \\ 12 & \(83.6\) \\ \hline \end{tabular} a. Construct a scatterplot of \(y=\) percentage who said they were more likely to purchase and \(x=\) grade. Does there appear to be a linear relationship between \(x\) and \(y\) ? b. Find the equation of the least-squares line.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Drawing the scatterplot, we can observe a positive linear relationship between the grade level and likelihood to purchase a lottery ticket. The least-squares line will then provide a mathematical model for representing this data, for prediction purposes.

Step by step solution

01

Draw the scatterplot

The scatterplot is a graphical representation where the two variables are plotted on a graph. The grade will form the x-axis and the percentage of students more likely to purchase lottery tickets will form the y-axis. One can plot the points corresponding to the given data on the graph and visualize the structure and relationship between the two variables. This is relatively straightforward with a graphing tool or software such as Excel, Google Sheets or a graphing calculator. Plot the points (6,32.7), (8,46.1), (10,75.0), (12,83.6). After observing the scatterplot, the data seems to indicate a positive linear relationship between the grade level and likelihood to purchase a ticket.
02

Calculate the least-squares line

To estimate the equation of the least squares line, one has to calculate the slope and intercept. For a linear equation \(y = mx + c\), m is the slope and c is the y-intercept. The slope can be calculated using the formula \(m = (n(Σxy) - Σx*Σy) / (n*Σx^2 - (Σx)^2)\), where n is the number of data pairs, Σxy is the sum of the products of corresponding x and y values, Σx is the sum of x values, and Σx2 is the sum of squared x values. The y-intercept can be calculated using the formula \(c = (Σy - m*Σx) / n\). An online calculator or programming software such as Python or R can simplify the calculations.
03

Interpret the results

After getting the slope and the y-intercept, substitute their respective values in the equation to get the least-squares line. The least-squares line is the best fitting line which minimizes the sum of squared vertical distances from each data point to the line. This resulting line then becomes our model to predict the likelihood of purchasing the ticket based on grade.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Scatterplot
A scatterplot is a type of data visualization that shows the relationship between two numerical variables. Each point on the graph represents an observation from the data set. To create a scatterplot, one variable is plotted along the x-axis (horizontal) and the other along the y-axis (vertical).

For instance, to visualize data about school-age children's likelihood of purchasing lottery tickets based on their grade level, we plot the grade on the x-axis and the percentage likely to purchase on the y-axis. Scatterplots are particularly useful for identifying trends or patterns in data, which can indicate relationships between variables. They can also bring to light any outliers or unusual points that may warrant further investigation.
Linear Relationship
A linear relationship between two variables exists when a change in one variable is associated with a proportional change in the other variable. In essence, if we can best describe the relationship with a straight line, then it is linear.

In the case of our example with children's likelihood to purchase a lottery ticket based on their grade level, a linear relationship would suggest that as the students progress through grades, the likelihood of purchasing a ticket increases at a consistent rate. This type of analysis is foundational in understanding patterns in data and predicting future outcomes. When a scatterplot shows a cloud of points that are roughly arranged along a straight line, it indicates the possibility of a linear relationship.
Statistics and Data Analysis
Statistics and data analysis involve collecting, organizing, analyzing, and interpreting numerical information. It is a critical field for making informed decisions based on data. For example, in analyzing whether visibility of lottery tickets in a store influences children's likelihood to purchase, statistical methods like constructing scatterplots and computing the least-squares regression line help to understand and quantify the relationship between exposure to lottery tickets and the interest in purchasing them.

Through statistics, we can determine the strength and direction of relationships between variables, test hypotheses, and predict outcomes. It enables us to draw meaningful conclusions from data and turn raw numbers into actionable intelligence.
Regression Analysis
Regression analysis is a statistical tool used to determine the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables. The most common form is linear regression, where we seek the equation of a straight line that best fits a set of data points. This line is known as the least-squares line.

The least-squares line minimizes the sum of the squares of the vertical deviations from each data point to the line. By calculating this line, we can predict the value of the dependent variable for any given value of the independent variable. So, for children and lottery tickets, once we've calculated the least-squares line from the data, we can predict the likelihood of a child at a certain grade level being influenced to purchase a ticket, thus providing valuable insights that could shape responsible marketing strategies.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The accompanying data were read from graphs that appeared in the article "Bush Timber Proposal Runs Counter to the Record" (San Luis Obispo Tribune, September 22,2002 ). The variables shown are the number of acres burned in forest fires in the western United States and timber sales. \begin{tabular}{lcc} & Number of Acres Burned (thousands) & Timber Sales (billions of board feet) \\\ \hline 1945 & 200 & \(2.0\) \\ 1950 & 250 & \(3.7\) \\ 1955 & 260 & \(4.4\) \\ 1960 & 380 & \(6.8\) \\ 1965 & 80 & \(9.7\) \\ 1970 & 450 & \(11.0\) \\ 1975 & 180 & \(11.0\) \\ 1980 & 240 & \(10.2\) \\ 1985 & 440 & \(10.0\) \\ 1990 & 400 & \(11.0\) \\ 1995 & 180 & \(3.8\) \\ \hline \end{tabular} a. Is there a correlation between timber sales and acres burned in forest fires? Compute and interpret the value of the correlation coefficient. b. The article concludes that "heavier logging led to large forest fires." Do you think this conclusion is justified based on the given data? Explain.

As part of a study of the effects of timber management strategies (Ecological Applications [2003]: IIIOII123) investigators used satellite imagery to study abundance of the lichen Lobaria oregano at different elevations. Abundance of a species was classified as "common" if there were more than 10 individuals in a plot of land. In the table below, approximate proportions of plots in which Lobaria oregano were common are given. Proportions of Plots Where Lobaria oregano Are Common \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrr} \hline Elevation (m) & 400 & 600 & 800 & 1000 & 1200 & 1400 & 1600 \\ Prop. of plots & \(0.99\) & \(0.96\) & \(0.75\) & \(0.29\) & \(0.077\) & \(0.035\) & \(0.01\) \\ with lichen & & & & \end{tabular} with lichen \begin{tabular}{l} with lichen \\ common \\ \hline \end{tabular} a. As elevation increases, does the proportion of plots for which lichen is common become larger or smaller? What aspect(s) of the table support your answer? b. Using the techniques introduced in this section, calculate \(y^{\prime}=\ln \left(\frac{p}{1-p}\right)\) for each of the elevations and fit the line \(y^{\prime}=a+b(\) Elevation). What is the equation of the best-fit line? c. Using the best-fit line from Part (b), estimate the proportion of plots of land on which Lobaria oregano are classified as "common" at an elevation of \(900 \mathrm{~m} .\)

The relationship between hospital patient-tonurse ratio and various characteristics of job satisfaction and patient care has been the focus of a number of research studies. Suppose \(x=\) patient-to-nurse ratio is the predictor variable. For each of the following potential dependent variables, indicate whether you expect the slope of the least-squares line to be positive or negative and give a brief explanation for your choice. a. \(y=\) a measure of nurse's job satisfaction (higher values indicate higher satisfaction) b. \(y=\) a measure of patient satisfaction with hospital care (higher values indicate higher satisfaction) c. \(y=\) a measure of patient quality of care.

In a study of 200 Division I athletes, variables related to academic performance were examined. The paper "Noncognitive Predictors of Student Athletes' Academic Performance"' (journal of College Reading and Learning [2000]: el67) reported that the correlation coefficient for college GPA and a measure of academic self-worth was \(r=0.48\). Also reported were the correlation coefficient for college GPA and high school GPA \((r=0.46)\) and the correlation coefficient for college GPA and a measure of tendency to procrastinate \((r=-0.36) .\) Higher scores on the measure of self-worth indicate higher self-worth, and higher scores on the measure of procrastination indicate a higher tendency to procrastinate. Write a few sentences summarizing what these correlation coefficients tell you about the academic performance of the 200 athletes in the sample.

An auction house released a list of 25 recently sold paintings. Eight artists were represented in these sales. The sale price of each painting also appears on the list. Would the correlation coefficient be an appropriate way to summarize the relationship between artist \((x)\) and sale price \((y)\) ? Why or why not?

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