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An article titled "Teen Boys Forget Whatever It Was" appeared in the Australian newspaper The Mercury (April 21, 1997). It described a study of academic performance and attention span and reported that the mean time to distraction for teenage boys working on an independent task was 4 min. Although the sample size was not given in the article, suppose that this mean was based on a random sample of 50 teenage Australian boys and that the sample standard deviation was \(1.4\) min. Is there convincing evidence that the average attention span for teenage boys is less than 5 min? Test the relevant hypotheses using \(\alpha=.01\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
The short answer will depend on the calculated p-value. If p-value < .01, then the average attention span for teenage boys is less than 5 minutes. Otherwise, there is not enough convincing evidence that the average attention span for teenage boys is less than 5 minutes.

Step by step solution

01

Formulate the Hypotheses

The null hypothesis \(H_0\) is the statement that the average attention span for teenage boys equals 5 minutes. Mathematically, this can be written as \(H_0: \mu = 5\). The alternative hypothesis \(H_A\) is the statement that the average attention span of teenage boys is less than 5 minutes (H_A: \mu < 5).
02

Perform the t-test

The test statistic for a one-sample t-test is: \(t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{s / \sqrt{n}}\) where \(\bar{x}\) is the sample mean, \(\mu_0\) is the hypothesized population mean, \(s\) is the sample standard deviation, and \(n\) is the sample size. Substituting, we have: \(t = \frac{4 - 5}{1.4 / \sqrt{50}}\)
03

Compute the p-value

Find the p-value associated with the observed value of the test statistic (t) using a statistics software or t-distribution table.
04

Make a decision

If the p-value is less than the significance level (0.01), reject the null hypothesis. Otherwise, fail to reject the null hypothesis.
05

Interpret the result

If the null hypothesis is rejected, it suggests that there is convincing evidence that the average attention span for teenage boys is less than 5 minutes. If the null hypothesis is not rejected, it suggests that there is not enough evidence to conclude that the average attention span for teenage boys is less than 5 minutes.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

One-Sample t-Test
The one-sample t-test is a common statistical method used to determine if there is a significant difference between the mean of a sample and a known population mean. It's particularly useful when the sample size is small and the population standard deviation is unknown. Here’s how it works: - The test involves calculating a test statistic, which tells us how far, in standard deviation units, our sample mean is from the population mean. - We then compare this statistic to a critical value from the t-distribution to determine whether to reject the null hypothesis. In the example of teenage boys’ attention span, the sample mean was 4 minutes, while the population mean under the null hypothesis is 5 minutes. The one-sample t-test helps us decide if the observed difference (1 minute) is statistically significant.
Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis, often denoted as \(H_0\), is the statement we initially assume to be true. It acts as a starting point for statistical testing. In hypothesis testing, we try to gather evidence against the null hypothesis.- For the study on attention span, the null hypothesis is that the average time to distraction is 5 minutes \((H_0: \mu = 5)\).- The null hypothesis assumes that any variation observed between the sample mean and the proposed mean is due to random chance alone.The goal of the hypothesis test is to determine whether there is enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis and accept the alternative hypothesis instead.
Alternative Hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis, denoted as \(H_A\) or \(H_1\), is what researchers usually want to prove. It provides an alternative to the null hypothesis.- In the case of the study about teenage boys, the alternative hypothesis is that the mean attention span is less than 5 minutes \((H_A: \mu < 5)\).- This hypothesis reflects what the study proposed or what the researchers suspect – that teenage boys become distracted faster than 5 minutes while doing a task.The alternative hypothesis is significant in guiding the direction of the test and delineating what constitutes convincing evidence to reject \(H_0\).
p-value
The p-value is a critical component in hypothesis testing. It is the probability, assuming the null hypothesis is true, of obtaining a result equal to or more extreme than what was actually observed.- A small p-value (typically ≤ 0.05) indicates strong evidence against the null hypothesis, so you reject the null hypothesis.- Conversely, a large p-value suggests weak evidence against the null hypothesis, so you fail to reject it.In this exercise, a p-value less than the chosen significance level of 0.01 would lead researchers to conclude that there is convincing evidence that the average attention span is indeed less than 5 minutes. This result would suggest that the observed data is highly unlikely under the assumption that \(H_0\) is true.

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