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Use the formula for the binomial probability distribution to calculate the values of \(p(x)\) and construct the probability histogram for \(x\) when \(n=6\) and \(p=.2\). [HINT: Calculate \(P(x=k\) ) for seven different values of \(k\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
Question: Calculate the values of \(p(x)\) and construct a probability histogram for a binomial distribution with \(n=6\) trials and a probability of success \(p=0.2\). Answer: The probabilities for each value of \(k\) are as follows: \(P(x=0) ≈ 0.2621\) \(P(x=1) ≈ 0.3932\) \(P(x=2) ≈ 0.2458\) \(P(x=3) ≈ 0.0819\) \(P(x=4) ≈ 0.0154\) \(P(x=5) ≈ 0.0015\) \(P(x=6) ≈ 0.0001\) To construct the probability histogram, plot the values of \(k\) (0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6) on the x-axis and the corresponding calculated probabilities as the heights of the bars. The bars should be the same width and arranged next to each other without gaps, indicating a discrete probability distribution.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the binomial probability distribution formula

The formula for the binomial probability distribution is: $$P(x=k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}$$ where \(P(x=k)\) is the probability of having \(k\) successes in \(n\) trials, \(n\) is the number of trials, \(k\) is the number of successes, and \(p\) is the probability of success in a single trial.
02

Calculate the probabilities for each value of k

Using the binomial probability distribution formula, we will calculate the probabilities for each value of k from 0 to 6, with given \(n=6\) and \(p=0.2\). \(P(x=0) = \binom{6}{0} (0.2)^0 (1-0.2)^{6-0}\) \(P(x=1) = \binom{6}{1} (0.2)^1 (1-0.2)^{6-1}\) \(P(x=2) = \binom{6}{2} (0.2)^2 (1-0.2)^{6-2}\) \(P(x=3) = \binom{6}{3} (0.2)^3 (1-0.2)^{6-3}\) \(P(x=4) = \binom{6}{4} (0.2)^4 (1-0.2)^{6-4}\) \(P(x=5) = \binom{6}{5} (0.2)^5 (1-0.2)^{6-5}\) \(P(x=6) = \binom{6}{6} (0.2)^6 (1-0.2)^{6-6}\) Calculate the values and round to 4 decimal places.
03

Construct the probability histogram

Now that we have calculated the probabilities for each value of \(k\), we can construct the probability histogram. Plot the values of \(k\) on the x-axis and the corresponding calculated probabilities on the y-axis. Label the x-axis with "Number of Successes (k)" and the y-axis with "Probability". For each bar, make sure that they are the same width and the height corresponds to the calculated probability. Finally, plot the bars next to each other without any gaps, as this represents a discrete probability distribution.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Binomial Distribution Formula
The binomial distribution formula is a cornerstone concept for understanding various probability scenarios. It describes the likelihood of obtaining a fixed number of successful outcomes, denoted as 'k', in a certain number of trials, 'n', when the outcome is binary—meaning there are only two possible results such as 'success' or 'failure'. The basic form of the binomial formula is:
\[ P(x=k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k} \]
Here, \( p \) represents the probability of success on a single trial, and \( 1-p \) is the probability of failure. The term \( \binom{n}{k} \) is the binomial coefficient, calculated by the formula \( \binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} \), where ‘!’ denotes the factorial operation. It's crucial to deeply understand this formula because it sets the foundation for calculating the probabilities of different outcomes.

When solving problems using this formula, as seen in the exercise, the process involves calculating the probability for each potential number of successes (from 0 up to the number of trials 'n'). These calculations can help describe how likely it is to achieve exactly 'k' successes in a given scenario. For instance, when flipping a coin several times, one could use the binomial distribution formula to find out the probability of getting exactly three heads.
Probability Histogram
A probability histogram is a graphical representation illustrating the probability distribution of a discrete random variable. Building upon the binomial distribution formula, the results can be visualized in a clear and comprehensible way using a histogram. In constructing a probability histogram, the x-axis represents the possible outcomes, in our case, the number of successes, and the y-axis shows the probability associated with each outcome.

For the given exercise, after calculating the probability of each potential outcome from 0 to 6, these probabilities are represented as bars on a graph. Each bar's height corresponds to the probability of that specific number of successes, providing a visual insight into how likely each outcome is. Probability histograms help students to visually compare the likelihoods and are instrumental in analyzing the given discrete probability distribution. It's important to remember that in a probability histogram, the bars should be directly adjacent to each other, because the outcomes are discrete, not continuous.
Discrete Probability Distribution
Discrete probability distributions are pivotal in statistics, dealing with outcomes that can be counted and listed. In a discrete setting, each possible outcome has a specific probability. This is distinct from continuous probability distributions where outcomes can take on any value within a range and are described using probability density functions.

The binomial distribution is an example of a discrete distribution, as it describes the number of successes in a series of independent and identically distributed Bernoulli trials. Each trial has two possible outcomes, success or failure, which is why the distribution of probabilities is discrete. In the context of our exercise, the distribution would consist of the probabilities computed for the number of successes (from 0 to 6), when flipping a coin multiple times with a known probability of getting a head. Understanding discrete probability distributions allows students to model and analyze scenarios where outcomes are definite and quantifiable. It is essential for identifying how likely it is for a particular event to occur and how these probabilities are distributed among possible outcomes.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose that 1 out of every 10 homeowners in the state of California has invested in earthquake insurance. If 15 homeowners are randomly chosen to be interviewed, a. What is the probability that at least one had earthquake insurance? b. What is the probability that four or more have earthquake insurance? c. Within what limits would you expect the number of homeowners insured against earthquakes to fall?

Voter Registration A city ward consists of 200 registered voters of whom 125 are registered Republicans and 75 are registered with other parties. On voting day, \(n=10\) people are selected at random for an exit poll in this ward. a. What is the probability distribution, \(p(x),\) for \(x,\) the number of Republicans in the poll? b. Find \(p(10)\). c. Find \(p(0)\).

Draw three cards randomly from a standard deck of 52 cards and let \(x\) be the number of kings in the draw. Evaluate the probabilities and answer the questions in Exercises \(26-28\) \(P(x=3)\)

Talking or texting on your cell phone can be hazardous to your health! A snapshot in USA Today reports that approximately \(23 \%\) of cell phone owners have walked into someone or something while talking on their phones. A random sample of \(n=8\) cell phone owners were asked if they had ever walked into something or someone while talking on their cell phone. The following printout shows the cumulative and individual probabilities for a binomial random variable with \(n=8\) and \(p=.23 .\) Cumulative Distribution Function Binomial with \(\mathrm{n}=8\) and \(\mathrm{p}=0.23\) $$ \begin{array}{rl} \text { X } & P(X \leq X) \\ \hline 0 & 0.12357 \\ 1 & 0.41887 \\ 2 & 0.72758 \\ 3 & 0.91201 \\ 4 & 0.98087 \\ 5 & 0.99732 \\ 6 & 0.99978 \\ 7 & 0.99999 \\ 8 & 1.00000 \end{array} $$ Probability Density Function Binomial with \(n=8\) and \(p=0.23\) $$ \begin{aligned} &\begin{array}{cc} x & P(X=x) \\ \hline 0 & 0.123574 \end{array}\\\ &\begin{array}{l} 0 & 0.123574 \\ 1 & 0.295293 \\ 2 & 0.308715 \\ 3 & 0.184427 \\ 4 & 0.068861 \\ 5 & 0.016455 \\ 6 & 0.002458 \\ 7 & 0.000210 \\ 8 & 0.000008 \end{array} \end{aligned} $$ a. Use the binomial formula to find the probability that one of the eight have walked into someone or something while talking on their cell phone. b. Confirm the results of part a using the printout. c. What is the probability that at least two of the eight have walked into someone or something while talking on their cell phone.

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