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How does Alex Smith, quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs, compare to Joe Flacco, quarterback for the Baltimore Ravens? The following table shows the number of completed passes for each athlete during the 2017 NFL football season: $$ \begin{array}{ccc|ccc} \hline \multicolumn{3}{c|} {\text { Alex Smith }} & \multicolumn{3}{|c} {\text { Joe Flacco }} \\ \hline 25 & 27 & 29 & 25 & 22 & 19 \\ 23 & 25 & 27 & 29 & 34 & 31 \\ 20 & 14 & 16 & 26 & 10 & 8 \\ 19 & 25 & 21 & 20 & 27 & 25 \\ 23 & 19 & 28 & 23 & 24 & 9 \\ & & & 20 & & \\ \hline \end{array} $$ Use the Wilcoxon rank sum test to analyze the data and test to see whether the population distributions for the number of completed passes differ for the two quarterbacks. Use \(\alpha=.05 .\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
Based on the Wilcoxon Rank Sum test performed with a significance level of \(\alpha = 0.05\), we can conclude that there is a significant difference between the population distributions for the number of completed passes for Alex Smith and Joe Flacco during the 2017 football season.

Step by step solution

01

1. Combine and Rank Observations

First, combine all the completed passes from both Alex Smith and Joe Flacco into a single list and rank them. Be mindful that not all table cells have data, ignore the empty ones: $$ \{19,14,16,19,25,21,20,23,25,27,23,19,28,29,27,29,25,25,22,19,26,20,27,25,23,24,20,29,34,31,10,8,23,9\} $$ Now, rank these values from lowest to highest, assigning the average rank to any tied values: $$ \{1,2,3,4,5.5,7.5,8,10,11,12.5,14.5,16.5,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37\} $$
02

2. Calculate Sum of Ranks

Next, find the sum of the ranks for each quarterback. Separate the ranks for Alex Smith and Joe Flacco in two sets: - Alex Smith: {1, 2, 3, 4, 5.5, 7.5, 8, 10, 11, 12.5, 14.5, 16.5, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22} - Joe Flacco: {23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37} Calculate the sum of the ranks for each quarterback: - \(R_A = 254.5\) - \(R_J = 528.5\)
03

3. Calculate Test Statistic

Now, we need to calculate the test statistic, W. Since the sample size of Alex Smith's data is smaller than Joe Flacco's, we'll use \(R_A\) to calculate W: $$ W = R_A - \frac{n_A(n_A + 1)}{2} $$ Where \(n_A\) is the number of observations in Alex Smith's sample. In this case, \(n_A = 18\), so the calculation becomes: $$ W = 254.5 - \frac{18 (18 + 1)}{2} = 254.5 - 153 = 101.5 $$
04

4. Determine Critical Value

As we are given \(\alpha = 0.05\), we can look up the critical value, \(W_{crit}\), in a Wilcoxon Rank Sum test table, or use a software or online tool, for the sample sizes \(n_A=18\) and \(n_J=15\). In this case, we find that \(W_{crit} = 130\).
05

5. Compare Test Statistic and Critical Value

Now we need to compare \(W\) and \(W_{crit}\) to see if there is a significant difference between the two quarterbacks' completed passe distributions: - If \(W > W_{crit}\), there is not a significant difference between the distributions. - If \(W \leq W_{crit}\), there is a significant difference between the distributions. As we found \(W = 101.5\) and \(W_{crit} = 130\), this means: $$ 101.5 \leq 130 $$ So there is a significant difference between the population distributions for the number of completed passes for Alex Smith and Joe Flacco at a significance level of \(\alpha = 0.05\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Non-parametric Statistical Tests
Non-parametric statistical tests are a key tool in the analysis of data that does not assume a specific distribution for the population from which samples are drawn. Unlike their parametric counterparts, non-parametric methods do not require the assumption of normality. They are used when data is ordinal, when ranks are more meaningful than raw data, or when the sample size is very small, making it difficult to meet the assumptions of parametric tests.

One well-known non-parametric test is the Wilcoxon rank sum test, which is used for comparing two independent samples to determine if they come from the same distribution. This test is particularly useful when dealing with non-normal data or when the data's scale does not have the interval properties that permit the use of parametric tests like the t-test. In the exercise, the Wilcoxon rank sum test was applied to compare the number of completed passes for quarterbacks Alex Smith and Joe Flacco during the NFL season.
Probability and Statistics
Probability and statistics are branches of mathematics concerned with the laws governing random events and the collection, analysis, interpretation, and presentation of numerical data, respectively. Understanding them is essential for performing hypothesis testing and using non-parametric statistical tests effectively.

The Wilcoxon rank sum test is deeply grounded in statistical theory and principles of probability. Probability is utilized to describe the likelihood of a particular outcome occurring under the null hypothesis, while statistics help us describe and infer from our collected data. In the exercise, the outcomes of completed passes could be influenced by many unpredictable factors, which makes probability an essential concept in interpreting these outcomes statistically.
Hypothesis Testing
Hypothesis testing is a statistical method used to make decisions about a population based on sample data. It typically starts with a null hypothesis (\( H_0 \)), which states that there is no effect or difference between groups or conditions, and an alternative hypothesis (\( H_A \text{ or } H_1 \text{) that signifies a significant effect or difference.

In the context of the Wilcoxon rank sum test, the null hypothesis could be that there is no difference between the distribution of completed passes for Alex Smith and Joe Flacco. The alternative hypothesis would be that there is a difference. We compare the test statistic, in this case the sum of ranks for one group, to a critical value that corresponds to the desired level of significance, typically \text{0.05, to make a decision about whether to reject the null hypothesis. If the test statistic falls below this critical value, the null hypothesis is rejected, indicating a statistically significant difference. In the exercise, the conclusion was that there was a significant difference between the quarterbacks' performance at a significance level of \text{0.05, leading to the rejection of the null hypothesis.}}

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In an investigation of the visual scanning behavior of deaf children, measurements of eye movement were taken on nine deaf and nine hearing children. The table gives the eye movement rates and their ranks (in parentheses). Does it appear that the distributions of eye-movement rates for deaf children and hearing children differ? $$ \begin{array}{llc} \hline & \text { Deaf Children } & \text { Hearing Children } \\ \hline & 2.75(15) & .89(1) \\ & 2.14(11) & 1.43(7) \\ & 3.23(18) & 1.06(4) \\ & 2.07(10) & 1.01(3) \\ & 2.49(14) & .94(2) \\ & 2.18(12) & 1.79(8) \\ & 3.16(17) & 1.12(5.5) \\ & 2.93(16) & 2.01(9) \\ & 2.20(13) & 1.12(5.5) \\ \hline \text { Rank Sum } & 126 & 45 & \\ \hline \end{array} $$

The weights of turtles caught in two different lakes were measured to compare the effects of the two lake environments on turtle growth. All the turtles were the same age and were tagged before being released into the lakes. The weights for \(n_{1}=10\) tagged turtles caught in lake 1 and \(n_{2}=8\) caught in lake 2 are listed here: $$ \begin{array}{lllllllllll} \hline \text { Lake } & \multicolumn{7}{c} {\text { Weight (grams) }} \\ \hline 1 & 399 & 430 & 394 & 411 & 416 & 391 & 396 & 456 & 360 & 433 \\ 2 & 345 & 368 & 399 & 385 & 351 & 337 & 354 & 391 & & \\ \hline \end{array} $$ Do the data provide sufficient evidence to indicate a difference in the distributions of weights for the tagged turtles exposed to the two lake environments? Use the Wilcoxon rank sum test with \(\alpha=.05 .\)

An experiment was conducted to study the relationship between the ratings of a tobacco leaf grader and the moisture content of the tobacco leaves. Twelve leaves were rated by the grader on a scale of \(1-10\), and corresponding readings of moisture content were made. $$\begin{array}{ccc}\hline \text { Leaf } & \text { Grader's Rating } & \text { Moisture Content } \\\\\hline 1 & 9 & .22 \\\2 & 6 & .16 \\\3 &7 & .17 \\\4 & 7 & .14 \\\5 & 5 & .12 \\\6 & 8 & .19 \\\7 & 2 & .10 \\\8 & 6 & .12 \\\9 & 1 & .05 \\\10 & 10 & .20 \\\11 & 9 & .16 \\\12 & 3 & .09 \\\\\hline\end{array}$$ a. Calculate \(r_{s}\) b. Do the data provide sufficient evidence to indicate an association between the grader's ratings and the moisture contents of the leaves?

Decide whether the alternative hypothesis for the Wilcoxon signed-rank test is one- or two-tailed. Then give the null and alternative hypotheses for the test. You want to decide whether distribution 1 lies to the left of distribution 2 .

Word-Association Experiments A comparison of reaction times for two different stimuli in a word-association experiment produced the accompanying results when applied to a random sample of 16 people: Do the data present sufficient evidence to indicate a difference in mean reaction times for the two stimuli? Use the Wilcoxon rank sum test and explain your conclusions.

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