/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 12 A random sample of \(n=50\) obse... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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A random sample of \(n=50\) observations from a quantitative population produced \(\bar{x}=56.4\) and \(s^{2}=2.6\). Give the best point estimate for the population mean \(\mu\), and calculate the margin of error.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Answer: The best point estimate for the population mean is 56.4, and the margin of error is approximately 0.74.

Step by step solution

01

Find the point estimate of the population mean

Since the point estimate for the population mean is the sample mean, we have: \(\mu \approx \bar{x} = 56.4\)
02

Calculate the margin of error

For a 95% confidence level, we will use \(z=1.96\). Now we can plug in the given values and calculate the margin of error: \(ME = z\cdot(\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}})\) \(ME = 1.96\cdot(\frac{\sqrt{2.6}}{\sqrt{50}})\) \(ME \approx 0.74\) So, the margin of error is approximately 0.74. With these results, we can now conclude that the best point estimate for the population mean \(\mu\) is 56.4, and the margin of error for this estimate is about 0.74.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Population Mean
The population mean, denoted by \( \mu \), is a fundamental concept in statistics. It represents the average of all data points in a population. A population encompasses all possible outcomes or individuals of interest, making \( \mu \) a specific fixed value, even though it is often unknown to us in practice. Understanding the population mean is crucial because it provides us with the central tendency of the entire population. Imagine wanting to know the average height of all adults in a country; the population mean would represent this specific average height. In real-world scenarios, calculating the exact population mean is often challenging, if not impossible, due to the size and accessibility of populations. That's where the concept of a sample mean comes into play, allowing us to make educated guesses about the population mean.
Sample Mean
The sample mean, symbolized by \( \bar{x} \), is our best estimate of the population mean (\( \mu \)) when dealing with large populations. It is calculated by taking the average of a randomly selected sample from the population. In the context of our exercise, the sample consists of 50 observations, and the sample mean is given as 56.4.The sample mean helps statisticians make inferences about the population without having to measure every single individual. Here are key reasons why the sample mean is used:
  • It is a practical solution when collecting data from the entire population is not feasible.
  • It provides a point estimate of the population mean, aiding critical decision-making in fields like marketing, healthcare, and public policy.
By understanding the sample mean, we can predict the population mean and estimate other population parameters through various statistical methods.
Margin of Error
The margin of error quantifies the uncertainty or potential error in our estimation of the population mean. It tells us how much we can expect our sample mean to vary from the true population mean. In statistical practice, the margin of error is crucial because it gives context to the sample mean, thereby improving our confidence in the estimates we make.To calculate the margin of error, the formula used is:\[ ME = z \cdot \left( \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \right) \]where:- \( z \) is the z-score corresponding to the confidence level- \( s \) is the standard deviation of the sample- \( n \) is the sample sizeIn our example, using a 95% confidence level, a z-score of 1.96 was used, and the calculated margin of error was approximately 0.74. This indicates that the true population mean is likely within 0.74 units of our sample mean, reinforcing the reliability of our estimate.
Confidence Interval
A confidence interval provides a range within which we can expect the true population mean to lie, given a specified level of confidence (typically 95% or 99%). It is made up of two components: the sample mean and the margin of error.The confidence interval can be expressed as:\[ (\bar{x} - ME, \bar{x} + ME) \]In our problem, the sample mean is 56.4, and the margin of error is approximately 0.74. Therefore, the 95% confidence interval is:\[ (56.4 - 0.74, 56.4 + 0.74) \]which simplifies to approximately \( (55.66, 57.14) \).This interval suggests that we are 95% confident that the population mean falls within this range. Confidence intervals are essential as they provide more informative insights than a single point estimate, allowing us a better understanding of the variability and reliability of our statistics.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose you wish to estimate a population mean based on a random sample of \(n\) observations, and prior experience suggests that \(\sigma=12.7\). If you wish to estimate \(\mu\) correct to within 1.6 , with probability equal to .95, how many observations should be included in your sample?

In an experiment to assess the strength of the hunger drive in rats, 30 previously trained animals were deprived of food for 24 hours. At the end of the 24 -hour period, each animal was put into a cage where food was dispensed if the animal pressed a lever. The length of time the animal continued pressing the bar (although receiving no food) was recorded for each animal. If the data yielded a sample mean of 19.3 minutes with a standard deviation of 5.2 minutes, estimate the true mean time and calculate the margin of error.

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How likely are you to vote in the next national election? In a survey by \(P e w\) Research, \(^{10}\) fully \(77 \%\) of the registered Republican voters are absolutely going to vote this year while only \(65 \%\) of Democrats are absolutely going to vote in the next election. The sample consisted of 469 registered Republicans, 490 registered Democrats, and 480 registered Independents. a. Construct a \(98 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of registered Republicans who say they are absolutely going to vote in the next election. If a Republican senator predicts that at least \(85 \%\) of registered Republicans will absolutely vote in the next election, is this figure realistic? b. Construct a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of registered Democrats who say they are absolutely going to vote in the next election.

What is normal, when it comes to people's body temperatures? A random sample of 130 human body temperatures, provided by Allen Shoemaker \(^{9}\) in the Journal of Statistical Education, had a mean of \(98.25^{\circ}\) and a standard deviation of \(0.73^{\circ} .\) a. Construct a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for the average body temperature of healthy people. b. Does the confidence interval constructed in part a contain the value \(98.6^{\circ},\) the usual average temperature cited by physicians and others? If not, what conclusions can you draw?

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