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A random sample of \(n=500\) observations from a binomial population produced \(x=240\) successes. a. Find a point estimate for \(p\), and find the margin of error for your estimator. b. Find a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for \(p\). Interpret this interval.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Answer: The 90% confidence interval for the population proportion (p) of successes is (0.4438, 0.5162).

Step by step solution

01

Find the point estimate for p

To find the point estimate for p (the proportion of successes in the population), we need to divide the number of successes (x) by the total number of observations (n). So, the point estimate for p is: $$ \hat{p} = \frac{x}{n} = \frac{240}{500} = 0.48 $$
02

Calculate the standard error for the point estimate

The standard error for the point estimate of a proportion is given by the formula: $$ SE(\hat{p}) = \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})}{n}} $$ Plugging in the values, we get: $$ SE(\hat{p}) = \sqrt{\frac{0.48(1-0.48)}{500}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.48(0.52)}{500}} = 0.022 $$
03

Find the critical value for a 90% confidence level

To find the critical value for a 90% confidence level (z-score), we can look it up in a standard normal distribution table or use statistical software. The critical value (z) for a 90% confidence level is 1.645.
04

Calculate the margin of error

The margin of error is calculated by multiplying the standard error by the critical value (z-score): $$ ME = SE(\hat{p}) \times z = 0.022 \times 1.645 = 0.0362 $$
05

Find the 90% confidence interval for p

To find the 90% confidence interval for p, we need to subtract and add the margin of error to the point estimate: $$ CI = (\hat{p} - ME, \hat{p} + ME) = (0.48 - 0.0362, 0.48 + 0.0362) = (0.4438, 0.5162) $$
06

Interpret the confidence interval

The 90% confidence interval for the population proportion (p) is (0.4438, 0.5162). This means that we are 90% confident that the true proportion of successes in the population is between 44.38% and 51.62%.

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