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Investors require a 15 percent rate of return on Levine Company's stock \(\left(\mathrm{k}_{\mathrm{s}}=15 \%\right)\) a. What will be Levine's stock value if the previous dividend was \(D_{0}=\$ 2\) and if investors expect dividends to grow at a constant compound annual rate of \((1)-5\) percent, (2) 0 percent, (3) 5 percent, and (4) 10 percent? b. Using data from part a, what is the Gordon (constant growth) model value for Levine's stock if the required rate of return is 15 percent and the expected growth rate is (1) 15 percent or (2) 20 percent? Are these reasonable results? Explain. c. Is it reasonable to expect that a constant growth stock would have \(g>k_{s}\) ?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Stock values: $9.50, $13.33, $21.00, $44.00 for growth rates -5%, 0%, 5%, 10% respectively. Undefined or unrealistic for g=15% or 20%. Unreasonable to have g > k_s.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Problem

We are required to calculate the value of Levine Company's stock using the Gordon Growth Model formula. The exercise provides different scenarios for the growth rate (g). This involves finding the value of future dividends based on different expected growth rates and comparing with the required rate of return of 15%.
02

- Gordon Growth Formula

The Gordon Growth Model or Dividend Discount Model is calculated using the formula: \[ P_0 = \frac{D_1}{k_s - g} \]where \( P_0 \) is the price of the stock today, \( D_1 \) is the dividend next year, \( k_s \) is the required rate of return, and \( g \) is the growth rate. First, we determine \( D_1 = D_0 \times (1 + g) \).
03

- Calculate Dividends for g= -5%

\( D_1 = 2 \times (1 + (-0.05)) = 2 \times 0.95 = 1.90 \). Using the Gordon Growth Model, \[ P_0 = \frac{1.90}{0.15 - (-0.05)} = \frac{1.90}{0.20} = 9.50 \].Thus, the stock value at \( g = -5 \% \) is $9.50.
04

- Calculate Dividends for g= 0%

\( D_1 = 2 \times (1 + 0) = 2 \). Using the Gordon Growth Model, \[ P_0 = \frac{2}{0.15 - 0} = \frac{2}{0.15} = 13.33 \].Thus, the stock value at \( g = 0 \% \) is $13.33.
05

- Calculate Dividends for g= 5%

\( D_1 = 2 \times (1 + 0.05) = 2.10 \). Using the Gordon Growth Model, \[ P_0 = \frac{2.10}{0.15 - 0.05} = \frac{2.10}{0.10} = 21.00 \].Thus, the stock value at \( g = 5 \% \) is $21.00.
06

- Calculate Dividends for g= 10%

\( D_1 = 2 \times (1 + 0.10) = 2.20 \). Using the Gordon Growth Model, \[ P_0 = \frac{2.20}{0.15 - 0.10} = \frac{2.20}{0.05} = 44.00 \].Thus, the stock value at \( g = 10 \% \) is $44.00.
07

- Calculate Stock Value for g= 15%

When \( g = 15 \% \) and \( k_s = 15 \% \), the formula results in division by zero (as \( k_s - g = 0 \)). This leads to an undefined stock value, indicating no feasible valuation under this model.
08

- Calculate Stock Value for g= 20%

When \( g = 20 \% \) and \( k_s = 15 \% \), the required return is less than the growth rate, resulting in a negative denominator. This indicates that according to Gordon's model, the stock price trends towards infinity, which is not a realistic or reasonable result.
09

- Analysis of g > k_s

It is unreasonable to expect \( g > k_s \) because the model indicates either division by zero or an infinite stock price, both suggesting the stock cannot sustain such high growth indefinitely.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Dividend Discount Model
The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is a powerful tool for valuing stocks. It revolves around the concept that the value of a stock can be estimated by the present value of all its expected future dividends. This model is popular among investors as it provides a fundamental approach to determine the price one should be willing to pay for a stock. The formula at the core of the Dividend Discount Model is as follows:\[ P_0 = \frac{D_1}{k_s - g} \]Where:
  • \( P_0 \) is the current stock price.
  • \( D_1 \) is the expected dividend one year from now.
  • \( k_s \) is the required rate of return or discount rate.
  • \( g \) is the constant growth rate of dividends.
By using this model, investors can make informed decisions by determining if a stock is overvalued or undervalued based on its future dividend potential.
required rate of return
The concept of required rate of return is crucial in understanding stock valuation. It represents the minimum annual percentage return an investor expects to earn from an investment to make it worthwhile.In the context of the Dividend Discount Model, the required rate of return \( k_s \) is used as the discount rate. It serves to convert future dividend payments into their present value. This rate is influenced by various factors:
  • The risk associated with the investment. Higher risk generally requires a higher rate of return.
  • Market conditions and prevailing interest rates.
  • The investor's own risk tolerance and investment strategy.
For Levine Company's stock, a 15% required rate of return was used. It is pivotal because any valuation must reflect this requisite return to fulfill investor expectations.
constant growth stock
A constant growth stock is one whose dividends are expected to grow at a steady, unchanging rate indefinitely. This is a key assumption in the Gordon Growth Model. The idea behind a constant growth stock is that the company's earnings and dividends grow at a consistent rate year over year. In this particular exercise, the growth rates range from -5% to 10%. Such expectations are often based on the company's historic performance, industry benchmarks, or strategic forecasts. It's important to note that the assumption of constant growth may not be realistic in practice, as companies often experience variable growth rates due to market fluctuations and business cycles. However, it serves as a simplified approach to estimate a stock's intrinsic value.
stock valuation
Stock valuation is the process of determining the intrinsic value of a stock. The aim is to understand whether the stock is priced fairly in the market compared to its true value. Valuation methods such as the Gordon Growth Model use future dividends as a basis to estimate stock prices. As demonstrated in the exercise, stock values were calculated under different growth scenarios:
  • A growth rate less than the required rate of return, like -5% or 0%, results in lower stock prices.
  • Growth rates that equal the required rate of return, such as 15%, result in undefined valuations, as it indicates dividends grow at a rate too close to the expected returns.
  • A growth rate greater than the required rate, like 20%, is unreasonable as it suggests perpetual growth exceeding return expectations, a scenario rarely sustainable.
Understanding these principles allows investors to make better decisions, aligning stock purchases with financial goals and market conditions.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Martell Mining Company's ore reserves are being depleted, so its sales are falling. Also, its pit is getting deeper each year, so its costs are rising. As a result, the company's earnings and dividends are declining at the constant rate of 5 percent per year. If \(\mathrm{D}_{0}=\$ 5\) and \(\mathrm{k}_{\mathrm{s}}=15 \%,\) what is the value of Martell Mining's stock?

Thomas Brothers is expected to pay a \(\$ 0.50\) per share dividend at the end of the year (i.e., \(D_{1}=\$ 0.50\) ). The dividend is expected to grow at a constant rate of 7 percent a year. The required rate of return on the stock, \(\mathrm{k}_{\mathrm{s}}\), is 15 percent. What is the value per share of the company's stock?

Taussig Technologies Corporation (TTC) has been growing at a rate of 20 percent per year in recent years. This same growth rate is expected to last for another 2 years. a. If \(\mathrm{D}_{0}=\$ 1.60, \mathrm{k}=10 \%,\) and \(\mathrm{g}_{\mathrm{n}}=6 \%,\) what is TTC's stock worth today? What are its expected dividend yield and capital gains yield at this time? b. Now assume that TTC's period of supernormal growth is to last for 5 years rather than 2 years. How would this affect its price, dividend yield, and capital gains yield? Answer in words only. c. What will be TTC's dividend yield and capital gains yield once its period of supernormal growth ends? (Hint: These values will be the same regardless of whether you examine the case of 2 or 5 years of supernormal growth; the calculations are very easy. d. Of what interest to investors is the changing relationship between dividend yield and capital gains yield over time?

Microtech Corporation is expanding rapidly, and it currently needs to retain all of its earnings, hence it does not pay any dividends. However, investors expect Microtech to begin paying dividends, with the first dividend of \(\$ 1.00\) coming 3 years from today. The dividend should grow rapidly \(-\) at a rate of 50 percent per year - during Years 4 and 5 After Year \(5,\) the company should grow at a constant rate of 8 percent per year. If the required return on the stock is 15 percent, what is the value of the stock today?

Your broker offers to sell you some shares of Bahnsen \& Co. common stock that paid a dividend of \(\$ 2\) yesterday. You expect the dividend to grow at the rate of 5 percent per year for the next 3 years, and, if you buy the stock, you plan to hold it for 3 years and then sell it. a. Find the expected dividend for each of the next 3 years; that is, calculate \(D_{1}, D_{2},\) and \(\mathrm{D}_{3} .\) Note that \(\mathrm{D}_{0}=\$ 2.00\) b. Given that the appropriate discount rate is 12 percent and that the first of these dividend payments will occur 1 year from now, find the present value of the dividend stream; that is, calculate the \(\mathrm{PV}\) of \(\mathrm{D}_{1}, \mathrm{D}_{2},\) and \(\mathrm{D}_{3},\) and then sum these \(\mathrm{PVs}\) c. You expect the price of the stock 3 years from now to be \(\$ 34.73 ;\) that is, you expect \(\hat{P}_{3}\) to equal \(\$ 34.73 .\) Discounted at a 12 percent rate, what is the present value of this expected future stock price? In other words, calculate the PV of \(\$ 34.73\) d. If you plan to buy the stock, hold it for 3 years, and then sell it for \(\$ 34.73,\) what is the most you should pay for it today?

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