/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 18 Your broker offers to sell you s... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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Your broker offers to sell you some shares of Bahnsen \& Co. common stock that paid a dividend of \(\$ 2\) yesterday. You expect the dividend to grow at the rate of 5 percent per year for the next 3 years, and, if you buy the stock, you plan to hold it for 3 years and then sell it. a. Find the expected dividend for each of the next 3 years; that is, calculate \(D_{1}, D_{2},\) and \(\mathrm{D}_{3} .\) Note that \(\mathrm{D}_{0}=\$ 2.00\) b. Given that the appropriate discount rate is 12 percent and that the first of these dividend payments will occur 1 year from now, find the present value of the dividend stream; that is, calculate the \(\mathrm{PV}\) of \(\mathrm{D}_{1}, \mathrm{D}_{2},\) and \(\mathrm{D}_{3},\) and then sum these \(\mathrm{PVs}\) c. You expect the price of the stock 3 years from now to be \(\$ 34.73 ;\) that is, you expect \(\hat{P}_{3}\) to equal \(\$ 34.73 .\) Discounted at a 12 percent rate, what is the present value of this expected future stock price? In other words, calculate the PV of \(\$ 34.73\) d. If you plan to buy the stock, hold it for 3 years, and then sell it for \(\$ 34.73,\) what is the most you should pay for it today?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The most you should pay for the stock today is \$29.997.

Step by step solution

01

Determine Expected Dividends

The dividends grow at a rate of 5% per year. Given \( D_0 = \\(2.00 \), we calculate dividends for the next 3 years:- \( D_1 = D_0 \times (1 + \text{growth rate}) = 2 \times 1.05 = \\)2.10 \)- \( D_2 = D_1 \times 1.05 = 2.10 \times 1.05 = \\(2.205 \)- \( D_3 = D_2 \times 1.05 = 2.205 \times 1.05 = \\)2.31525 \) Thus, the expected dividends for the next three years are \( D_1 = \\(2.10 \), \( D_2 = \\)2.205 \), and \( D_3 = \$2.31525 \).
02

Calculate Present Value of Dividends

The present value of each dividend can be found using the formula: \[ PV(D_t) = \frac{D_t}{(1 + r)^t} \]where \( r \) is the discount rate of 12%.- \( PV(D_1) = \frac{2.10}{1.12^1} = \\(1.875 \)- \( PV(D_2) = \frac{2.205}{1.12^2} = \\)1.758 \)- \( PV(D_3) = \frac{2.31525}{1.12^3} = \\(1.644 \)Sum these present values to get the total present value of the dividend stream: \[ PV_{ ext{dividends}} = 1.875 + 1.758 + 1.644 = \\)5.277 \]
03

Calculate Present Value of Expected Future Stock Price

The expected future price is \( \\(34.73 \), expected at \( t = 3 \).The present value is calculated as follows:\[ PV(\hat{P}_3) = \frac{34.73}{(1.12)^3} = \\)24.720 \]
04

Determine Maximum Price to Pay Today

To find the maximum price you should pay today, sum the present values of the expected dividends and the present value of the future stock price:\[ PV_{ ext{total}} = PV_{\text{dividends}} + PV(\hat{P}_3) = 5.277 + 24.720 = \\(29.997 \]Thus, the most you should pay for the stock today is approximately \\)29.997.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Dividend Growth Model
The Dividend Growth Model is a crucial concept in stock valuation. It helps investors determine the intrinsic value of a stock based on its expected future dividends. When a company pays dividends, and those dividends are expected to grow steadily over time, the Dividend Growth Model is particularly useful. In our exercise, Bahnsen & Co. paid a dividend of $2, and the dividends grow at 5% annually. This growth percentage allows us to estimate future dividends.

Here's how it works:
  • Calculate future dividends: Start with the most recent dividend (\( D_0 \)), then apply the growth rate. For instance, \( D_1 \) is calculated by multiplying \( D_0 \) by 1 plus the growth rate (\( 1.05 \)).
  • Predict dividends for multiple years: Use the formula iteratively to project dividends for subsequent years, taking previous calculated dividends as the base.
This model provides a simple method to forecast future income from dividends, assuming the growth rate remains consistent. It allows investors to valuate stocks efficiently and make informed decisions.
Present Value
The Present Value (PV) is a financial concept that represents the current worth of a future sum of money, given a specific discount rate. It translates future earnings or payouts into their equivalent value today, making it easier to compare investment opportunities.

For Bahnsen & Co., the future dividends are worth less in today's dollars due to compounding effects. This is where calculating their present value is essential. You'll use the formula:
  • \[ PV(D_t) = \frac{D_t}{(1 + r)^t} \]
  • where \( D_t \) is the expected dividend at time \( t \), and \( r \) is the discount rate.
By applying this formula, the future dividends are converted to present values, making them comparable and allowing for more accurate investment analysis.Ul>{{concept_headline}}Discount Rate{{/concept_heading}}This concept is a critical part of determining the present value of future cash flows. The discount rate reflects the time value of money and the risk associated with future cash flows. In our exercise, the discount rate is given as 12%. This rate is what you'd use to discount expected future dividends and stock prices to get their present values.

A higher discount rate means lower present value as it accounts for greater risk or return expectation. On the other hand, a lower discount rate increases present money worth by assuming less risk or lesser return expectation. It's vital for investors to choose an appropriate discount rate to ensure an accurate stock valuation and solid financial planning.
  • Compensates for the time value of money: Money today is worth more than the same amount in the future.
  • Accounts for investment risk: Higher uncertainty requires a higher discount rate.
Financial Management
Financial Management focuses on effective and efficient use of financial resources for an organization. It involves planning, organizing, directing, and controlling financial activities like procurement and utilization of funds. In the context of our exercise, financial management pertains to evaluating shared investments to maximize returns.

Decisions made regarding stock investments involve analyzing stock value using various models to ensure good returns. For Bahnsen & Co., considerations include:
  • Valuation of investments: Use models like the Dividend Growth Model to estimate the intrinsic value of stock.
  • Evaluating risk vs. return: Consider the discount rate in relation to the expected dividend growth and potential stock price increase.
  • Maximizing shareholder value: Determining how much to pay for a stock based on future dividends and expected selling price.
Effective financial management empowers investors to make prudent decisions about buying and selling stocks, aiming to optimize their portfolios and achieve financial goals.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

What will be the nominal rate of return on a preferred stock with a \(\$ 100\) par value, a stated dividend of 8 percent of par, and a current market price of \((\mathrm{a}) \$ 60,(\mathrm{b}) \$ 80,(\mathrm{c})\) \(\$ 100,\) and \((d) \$ 140 ?\)

A company currently pays a dividend of \(\$ 2\) per share, \(D_{0}=\$ 2 .\) It is estimated that the company's dividend will grow at a rate of 20 percent per year for the next 2 years, then the dividend will grow at a constant rate of 7 percent thereafter. The company's stock has a beta equal to \(1.2,\) the risk- free rate is 7.5 percent, and the market risk premium is 4 percent. What would you estimate is the stock's current price?

Robert Balik and Carol Kiefer are senior vice-presidents of the Mutual of Chicago Insurance Company. They are co-directors of the company's pension fund management division, with Balik having responsibility for fixed income securities (primarily bonds) and Kiefer being responsible for equity investments. A major new client, the California League of Cities, has requested that Mutual of Chicago present an investment seminar to the mayors of the represented cities, and Balik and Kiefer, who will make the actual presentation, have asked you to help them. To illustrate the common stock valuation process, Balik and Kiefer have asked you to analyze the Bon Temps Company, an employment agency that supplies word processor operators and computer programmers to businesses with temporarily heavy workloads. You are to answer the following questions. a. Describe briefly the legal rights and privileges of common stockholders. b. (1) Write out a formula that can be used to value any stock, regardless of its dividend pattern. (2) What is a constant growth stock? How are constant growth stocks valued? (3) What happens if a company has a constant g that exceeds its \(\mathrm{k}_{\mathrm{s}}\) ? Will many stocks have expected \(\mathrm{g}>\mathrm{k}_{\mathrm{s}}\) in the short run (that is, for the next few years)? In the long run (that is, forever)? c. Assume that Bon Temps has a beta coefficient of \(1.2,\) that the risk-free rate (the yield on T-bonds) is 7 percent, and that the required rate of return on the market is 12 percent. What is the required rate of return on the firm's stock? d. Assume that Bon Temps is a constant growth company whose last dividend (D \(_{0},\) which was paid yesterday) was \(\$ 2.00\) and whose dividend is expected to grow indefinitely at a 6 percent rate. (1) What is the firm's expected dividend stream over the next 3 years? (2) What is the firm's current stock price? (3) What is the stock's expected value 1 year from now? (4) What are the expected dividend yield, the capital gains yield, and the total return during the first year? e. Now assume that the stock is currently selling at \(\$ 30.29\) What is the expected rate of return on the stock? f. What would the stock price be if its dividends were expected to have zero growth? g. Now assume that Bon Temps is expected to experience supernormal growth of 30 percent for the next 3 years, then to return to its long-run constant growth rate of 6 percent. What is the stock's value under these conditions? What is its expected dividend yield and capital gains yield in Year 1? Year 4? h. Suppose Bon Temps is expected to experience zero growth during the first 3 years and then to resume its steady-state growth of 6 percent in the fourth year. What is the stock's value now? What is its expected dividend yield and its capital gains yield in Year 1? Year 4? i. Finally, assume that Bon Temps' earnings and dividends are expected to decline by a constant 6 percent per year, that is, \(g=-6 \% .\) Why would anyone be willing to buy such a stock, and at what price should it sell? What would be the dividend yield and capital gains yield in each year? j. Bon Temps embarks on an aggressive expansion that requires additional capital. Management decides to finance the expansion by borrowing \(\$ 40\) million and by halting dividend payments to increase retained earnings. The projected free cash flows for the next 3 years are \(-\$ 5\) million, \(\$ 10\) million, and \(\$ 20\) million. After the third year, free cash flow is projected to grow at a constant 6 percent. The overall cost of capital is 10 percent. What is Bon Temps' total value? If it has 10 million shares of stock and \(\$ 40\) million total debt, what is the price per share? k. What does market equilibrium mean? 1\. If equilibrium does not exist, how will it be established? m. What is the Efficient Markets Hypothesis, what are its three forms, and what are its implications? n. Phyfe Company recently issued preferred stock. It pays an annual dividend of \(\$ 5,\) and the issue price was \(\$ 50\) per share. What is the expected return to an investor on this preferred stock?

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