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Cigarette smoking has important health consequences and is positively associated with heart and lung diseases. Less well known are the consequences of quitting smoking. A group of 10 nurses, from the Nurses' Health Study, ages \(50-54\) years, had smoked at least 1 pack per day and quit for at least 6 years. The nurses reported their weight before and 6 years after quitting smoking. A commonly used measure of obesity that takes height and weight into account is \(\mathrm{BMl}=\mathrm{wt} / \mathrm{ht}^{2}\) (in units of \(\mathrm{kg} / \mathrm{m}^{2}\) ). The BMI of the 10 women before and 6 years after quitting smoking are given in the last 2 columns of Table 8.32 What test can be used to assess whether the mean BMI changed significantly among heavy-smoking women 6 years after quitting smoking?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Use a paired t-test to assess changes in mean BMI before and after quitting smoking.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Type of Data

In this problem, we have paired data consisting of BMI measurements before and after quitting smoking for a group of women. Since each BMI measurement before quitting is directly paired with a BMI measurement after quitting, this forms what we call 'paired samples.'
02

Choose the Appropriate Statistical Test

For comparing means of paired samples, we use the paired t-test, which is designed to determine whether there is a statistically significant difference between the means of two related groups.
03

Formulate the Hypotheses

In the context of this problem, our null hypothesis ( H_0 ) is that there is no change in BMI after quitting smoking, i.e., the mean BMI before and after quitting smoking are the same. The alternative hypothesis ( H_a ) is that there is a significant change in BMI after quitting smoking, i.e., the mean BMI are different before and after quitting.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

BMI
Body Mass Index, or BMI, is a simple and widely used method for estimating whether a person is underweight, normal weight, or overweight. It uses two primary measurements: weight and height. The formula is given by \( \text{BMI} = \frac{\text{weight (kg)}}{\text{height (m)}^2} \).
For example, if someone weighs 70 kg and is 1.75 m tall, their BMI would be calculated as \( \frac{70}{1.75^2} \approx 22.86 \), placing them in the normal weight category for most BMI charts. While easy to calculate, it's crucial to remember that BMI doesn't measure body fat directly. Factors like muscle mass or bone structure can yield less precise results. Despite these limitations, BMI remains a useful tool in tracking weight-associated health risks for large populations.
Nurses' Health Study
The Nurses' Health Study is one of the most prolonged and detailed studies focused on women's health. Initiated in 1976, this research project tracks the health and lifestyle habits of over 120,000 nurses in the U.S. It's designed to explore risk factors for significant health concerns, particularly diseases affecting women.
The study provides invaluable insights into various topics, such as how diet, lifestyle, and environment impact the risk of diseases like cancer and cardiovascular ailments. Given its ongoing nature, it helps identify long-term effects and trends, making significant contributions to public health guidelines and preventive care strategies. In the context of our exercise, it provides a rich dataset for examining the health impacts of lifestyle changes, such as quitting smoking, on BMI.
hypothesis testing
Hypothesis testing is a crucial statistical method used to determine if there's enough evidence to support a specific claim about a population parameter. This process involves several key steps:
  • Formulating the null hypothesis \(H_0\), which represents no effect or difference, against the alternative hypothesis \(H_a\), which posits a meaningful effect or difference.
  • Performing a suitable statistical test based on the type of data and structure, which in our case is the paired t-test.
  • Comparing the test statistic to a critical value or using a p-value to decide whether to reject \(H_0\).
For our exercise, the null hypothesis states that the mean BMI before and after quitting smoking is equal. The alternative claims there's a significant difference. If evidence supports \(H_a\), we conclude a significant change in BMI occurred.
paired samples
Paired samples refer to data where observations in one sample are naturally related to observations in another sample. This pairing is inherent in the design of the study.
In our exercise, BMI measurements before and after quitting smoking are paired for each individual nurse, hence forming paired samples. This is critical because it controls for inter-subject variability by focusing only on the changes within the same subjects. This matched design allows more precise measurements of the impact being studied—here, the impact of quitting smoking on BMI.
Using paired samples and the paired t-test, researchers can account for individual variances and more effectively determine if mean differences in paired observations are statistically significant.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A possible important environmental determinant of lung function in children is the amount of cigarette smoking in the home. Suppose this question is studied by selecting two groups: Group 1 consists of 23 nonsmoking children 5-9 years of age, both of whose parents smoke, who have a mean forced expiratory volume (FEV) of 2.1 L and a standard deviation of \(0.7 \mathrm{L} ;\) group 2 consists of 20 nonsmoking children of comparable age, neither of whose parents smoke, who have a mean FEV of \(2.3 \mathrm{L}\) and a standard deviation of \(0.4 \mathrm{L}\). Provide a 95\% Cl for the true mean difference in FEV between \(5-\) to 9 -year- old children whose parents smoke and comparable children whose parents do not smoke.

What test can be used to determine whether the mean change in FEV differs between the high-ozone and low-ozone days?

The mean ±1 sd of In [calcium intake (mg)] among 25 females, 12 to 14 years of age, below the poverty level is \(6.56 \pm 0.64 .\) Similarly, the mean ±1 sd of In [calcium intake (mg)] among 40 females, 12 to 14 years of age, above the poverty level is \(6.80 \pm 0.76\) What is the appropriate procedure to test for a significant difference in means between the two groups?

Lipolysis is a regulator of energy metabolism. Genes encoding proteins that regulate energy metabolism through lipolysis are likely to play an important role in determining susceptibility to metabolic disorders. A study was performed sequencing 12 lipolytepathway genes in an Amish population (Albert et al. [11] ). A 19 base pair (bp) deletion was identified in one of the genes that was present in approximately \(5 \%\) of the Amish population and \(0.2 \%\) of the non-Amish population of European descent. The deletion was genotyped in 2738 Amish persons, of whom 140 were heterozygous for the deletion (i.e., the ID genotype), 1 was homozygous (i.e., the DD genotype), and 2597 persons did not have the deletion (i.e., the II genotype). In Table 8.19, we compare the mean HDL cholesterol between subjects with the ID vs. Il genotypes. What test can be performed to compare the variances of the two genotype groups?

A study was conducted of genetic and environmental influences on cholesterol levels. The data set used for the study were obtained from a twin registry in Sweden [10]. Specifically, four populations of adult twins were studied: (1) monozygotic (MZ) twins reared apart, (2) MZ twins reared together, (3) dizygotic (DZ) twins reared apart, and (4) DZ twins reared together. One issue is whether it is necessary to correct for gender before performing more complex genetic analyses. The data in Table 8.17 were presented for total cholesterol levels for \(\mathrm{MZ}\) twins reared apart, by gender. If we assume (a) serum cholesterol is normally distributed, (b) the cholesterol levels within each sample consist of independent observations, and (c) the standard deviations for men and women are the same, then what is the name of the statistical procedure that can be used to compare the two groups?

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