/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 40 In the opinion poll of Exercise ... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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In the opinion poll of Exercise 38 , the voters were also asked to indicate their political affiliations-Democrat, Republican, or Independent. As before. let the letters \(L, M\), and \(U\) represent the low-, middle-, and upper-income groups, respectively. Let the letters \(D, R\), and \(I\) represent Democrat, Republican, and Independent, respectively. a. Describe a sample space corresponding to this poll. b. Describe the event \(E_{1}\) that a respondent is a Democrat. c. Describe the event \(E_{2}\) that a respondent belongs to the upper-income group and is a Republican. d. Describe the event \(E_{3}\) that a respondent belongs to the middle-income group and is not a Democrat.

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. The sample space for this poll consists of 9 possible outcomes, representing all combinations of income levels (low, middle, and upper) and political affiliations (Democrat, Republican, and Independent): \(S = \{(L, D), (L, R), (L, I), (M, D), (M, R), (M, I), (U, D), (U, R), (U, I)\}\). b. Event \(E_{1}\) includes all ordered pairs with a Democrat affiliation: \(E_{1} = \{(L, D), (M, D), (U, D)\}\). c. Event \(E_{2}\) includes only one ordered pair for upper-income group and Republican affiliation: \(E_{2} = \{(U, R)\}\). d. Event \(E_{3}\) includes all ordered pairs with middle-income level and not Democrat affiliation: \(E_{3} = \{(M, R), (M, I)\}\).

Step by step solution

01

1. Create a Sample Space

A sample space is a set of all possible outcomes of an experiment. In this case, the experiment is conducting a poll, and the outcomes are the different combinations of income levels and political affiliations of the respondents. We can use a Cartesian product to create the sample space. Let the set \(A\) be the income levels, \(A = \{L, M, U\}\), and let the set \(B\) be the political affiliations, \(B = \{D, R, I\}\). The sample space is the Cartesian product of these two sets, denoted as \(S = A \times B\).
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2. Calculate Cartesian Product

To calculate the Cartesian product, we find all possible ordered pairs (combinations) between the elements in set \(A\) and set \(B\). In this case, we have: \(S = \{(L, D), (L, R), (L, I), (M, D), (M, R), (M, I), (U, D), (U, R), (U, I)\}\)
03

a. Sample Space Description

Now that we have calculated the sample space, we can describe it as follows: The sample space corresponding to this poll consists of \(9\) possible outcomes, representing all combinations of income levels (low, middle, and upper) and political affiliations (Democrat, Republican, and Independent).
04

b. Describing Event E1

Event \(E_{1}\) represents a respondent being a Democrat. Therefore, it includes all the ordered pairs where the second element is "D". \(E_{1} = \{(L, D), (M, D), (U, D)\}\)
05

c. Describing Event E2

Event \(E_{2}\) represents a respondent belonging to the upper-income group and being a Republican. Therefore, it includes the ordered pair with "U" as the income level and "R" as the political affiliation. \(E_{2} = \{(U, R)\}\)
06

d. Describing Event E3

Event \(E_{3}\) represents a respondent belonging to the middle-income group and not being a Democrat. Therefore, it includes all the ordered pairs where the first element is "M" and the second element is not "D". \(E_{3} = \{(M, R), (M, I)\}\)

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Cartesian Product
The Cartesian product is a mathematical concept that helps us understand how two sets can combine to create all possible ordered pairs from the two sets. In the context of this probability exercise, we're dealing with two attributes: income levels and political affiliations. Let's break it down:
  • Set of Income Levels: Let this be denoted as \( A = \{L, M, U\} \). Each letter represents a different income group: Low (L), Middle (M), and Upper (U).

  • Set of Political Affiliations: Represent this set by \( B = \{D, R, I\} \), where Democrat (D), Republican (R), and Independent (I) are the political affiliations.
To find the sample space of a survey, we use the Cartesian product of these sets, which is denoted as \( S = A \times B \). This product results in pairs formed by taking one element from each set. The Cartesian product, in this case, yields 9 possible outcomes, such as \( (L, D) \), \( (L, R) \), all the way to \( (U, I) \). Each pair represents a respondent’s income level and political affiliation.
Events in Probability
In probability, an event is a subset of a sample space, representing one or more specific outcomes. The sample space provides a complete picture of all potential results, but events allow us to focus on particular interests.
In this exercise, we are interested in three specific events:
  • Event \( E_1 \): A person being a Democrat. This event focuses on combinations where political affiliation is "D". Consequently, the outcomes are \( \{(L, D), (M, D), (U, D)\} \).

  • Event \( E_2 \): A respondent from the upper-income group who is a Republican. This precise event results in \( \{(U, R)\} \), showing it happens only when both income and political affiliation align specifically.

  • Event \( E_3 \): A middle-income respondent who is not a Democrat. Here, we exclude combinations with "D" from the middle-income group, resulting in \( \{(M, R), (M, I)\} \).
Events in probability allow us to explore the likelihood of these specific incidents within the sample space, focusing on the nature of data subgroups.
Political Affiliations and Income Groups Study
Studies that examine relationships between different attributes, like political affiliations and income groups, are quite insightful. They delve into the intersections of various demographic factors and how these contribute to different behavioral patterns.
  • Social Demographics Insight: Understanding the sample space in the context of political affiliations ( D, R, I) and income groups ( L, M, U) helps researchers understand the spread and potential correlations between these groups.

  • Predictive Analysis: Identifying how various income groups align with political preferences can provide data instrumental in predicting electoral outcomes and tailoring political campaigns.

  • Data Segmentation: By studying subsets such as Middle-income non-Democrats or High-income Republicans, socio-economical studies can segment populations more effectively, allowing personalized and focused interventions.
This study of affiliations and income groups is central to grasping the broader dynamics within electoral surveys, enhancing our understanding of political landscapes influenced by economic strata.

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