/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 73 One of the problems with the cap... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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One of the problems with the capture-recapture method is that in some animal populations there are individuals that are trap-happy (easy to trap) and others that are more cagey and hard to trap. Too many trap-happy individuals can skew the data (see Exercise 62 ). A removal method is a method for estimating the \(N\) -value of a population that takes into account the existence of trap-happy individuals by trapping them and removing them. In the first "capture," individuals from the general population are trapped, counted, and removed from the habitat so that they can't be trapped again. In the "recapture," individuals from the remaining population (those that had not been trapped before) are trapped and counted. The number of individuals trapped in the capture can be denoted by \(p N,\) where \(p\) denotes the fraction of the population trapped and \(N\) is the size of the population. The number of individuals left after the removal is \((1-p) N\). If we assume that the number of individuals trapped in each capture represents the same fraction of the population, then the number of individuals trapped in the recapture should be \(p(1-p) N\). From the two equations \((p N=\) number of individuals trapped in the capture; \(p(1-p) N=\) number of individuals trapped in the recapture) we can solve for \(N\) and get an estimate of the population. Suppose 250 individuals are trapped in the capture stage and removed from the population, and 150 individuals are trapped in the recapture stage. Estimate the size of the population.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The estimated population size \(N\) is 625.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the initial capture number

We are given the information that 250 individuals are captured and removed from the population during the initial capture. This is our first equation where the number of individuals captured is denoted by the term \(pN\), which can be written as \(pN = 250\).
02

Identify the recapture number

After the removal of the initially captured individuals, 150 individuals are then captured during the recapture stage. According to the problem, this represents the same fraction \(p\) of the remaining population, which can be written as the equation \(p(1-p)N = 150\).
03

Express \(p\) in terms of \(N\)

From the first capture, we have that \(pN = 250\). To express \(p\) in terms of \(N\), we can rearrange this equation to solve for \(p\) as \(p = \frac{250}{N}\).
04

Substitute \(p\) into the recapture equation

Now that we have an expression for \(p\), we substitute it into the recapture equation. The recapture equation is \(p(1-p)N = 150\). Substituting \(p\) we get \(\frac{250}{N}(1 - \frac{250}{N})N = 150\).
05

Simplify and solve the equation for \(N\)

Upon substitution, we simplify the equation to solve for \(N\). The equation \(\frac{250}{N}(N - 250) = 150\) simplifies to \(250(1 - \frac{250}{N}) = 150\). Multiplying through by \(N\) we get \(250N - 250^2 = 150N\). Then, \(250N - 150N = 250^2\) gives us \(100N = 250^2\), and solving for \(N\) gives us \(N = \frac{250^2}{100}\).
06

Calculate the population size, \(N\)

To find the population size \(N\), we calculate \(N = \frac{250^2}{100}\). \(250^2\) equals 62500, and 62500 divided by 100 gives us \(N = 625\). Thus, the estimated size of the population is 625.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Capture-Recapture Method

The capture-recapture method is a widely-used technique in biological field studies for estimating the size of a population. It's especially useful when it's not practical to count all individuals. The cornerstone of this method hinges on the principle of sampling. Biologists will capture a random sample of individuals from a population, mark them in some harmless way, release them back into their environment, and then, after some time, capture another sample. By looking at the proportion of marked individuals in the second sample, scientists can estimate the total population size using statistical models.

  • Capture a sample of individuals and mark them.
  • Release the marked individuals back into the population.
  • Capture a second sample of individuals after some time.
  • Count how many individuals in the second sample are marked.
  • Use the ratio of marked to unmarked individuals to estimate total population size.

It's important that between the releases and recaptures, individuals mix evenly again into the population, and that marks are not lost or overlooked. Otherwise, the resulting estimate could be biased.

Removal Method

The removal method is another estimation technique that helps overcome biases that might arise from individuals' varying behavior towards trapping, such as some being 'trap-happy' and others being more elusive. In this approach, researchers capture and permanently remove a subset of the population. If trapping continues, the catch per unit effort typically reduces as there are fewer individuals to trap.

  • Initially capture and permanently remove a fraction of the population.
  • Conduct successive captures to gather data on the reduced population.
  • Assess the change in capture rates over time to estimate population size.

By systematically analyzing this depletion of the population through successive captures, the removal method calculates an estimate of the original population size before removals began. This method can correct for some forms of trap-related bias but may not be suitable or ethical for all populations, particularly if they are rare or endangered.

Mathematical Biology

Mathematical biology involves applying mathematical techniques and principles to understand and solve problems in biology. It spans various scales, from molecules to ecosystems, and includes aspects like population dynamics, disease spread, and genetic evolution. The goal is to create models that can explain biological observations and predict future outcomes.

  • Development of equations and models to represent biological processes.
  • Use of statistics and probabilities to analyze biological data.
  • Simulation of biological systems to predict changes over time.

Methods such as the capture-recapture and removal are practical applications of mathematical biology that utilize statistical models to make sense of biological data. Mathematical biology makes it possible to abstract complex systems into manageable forms, enabling scientists to gain insight and make informed decisions based on model predictions.

Population Dynamics

Population dynamics is the branch of life sciences that studies the size and age composition of populations as dynamic systems, and the biological and environmental processes driving them, such as birth rates, death rates, and migration. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for conservation biology, epidemiology, and resource management. Researchers employ various models and methods like the capture-recapture or removal method to understand these dynamics by examining how populations change over time and space.

  • Examination of factors that influence population size and structure.
  • Analysis of reproductive rates, mortality rates, and migration patterns.
  • Application of mathematical modeling to predict population trends.

Each population is unique, facing distinct pressures and varying responses to environmental conditions. The field of population dynamics provides valuable insights into how populations can be managed sustainably and how biological communities interact with their environments.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Refer to the following story: The dean of students at Tasmania State University wants to determine how many undergraduates at TSU are familiar with a new financial aid program offered by the university. There are 15,000 undergraduates at TSU, so it is too expensive to conduct a census. The following sampling method is used to choose a representative sample of undergraduates to poll. Start with the registrar's alphabetical listing containing the names of all undergraduates. Randomly pick a number between \(l\) and \(100,\) and count that far down the list. Take that name and every I00th name after it. For example, if the random number chosen is \(73,\) then pick the \(73 \mathrm{rd}, 173 \mathrm{rd}, 273 \mathrm{rd}\) and so forth, names on the list. (The sampling method illustrated in this survey is known as systematic sampling.) (a) Explain why the method used for choosing the sample is not simple random sampling. (b) If \(100 \%\) of those responding claimed that they were not familiar with the new financial aid program offered by the university, is this result more likely due to sampling variability or to sample bias? Explain.

Refer to the following story: The manufacturer of a new vitamin (vitamin \(X\) ) decides to sponsor a shudy to determine the vitamin's effectiveness in curing the common cold. Five hundred college students having a cold were recruited from colleges in the San Diego area and were paid to participate as subjects in this study, The subjects were each given two tablets of vitamin \(X\) a day. Based on information provided by the subjects themselves, 457 of the 500 subjects were cured of their colds within 3 days. (The average number of days a cold lasts is 4.87 days.) As a result of this study, the mamufacturer launched an advertising campaign based on the claim that "vitamin \(X\) is more than \(90 \%\) effective in curing the common cold." (a) Describe as specifically as you can the target population for the study. (b) Describe the sampling frame for the study. (c) Describe the sample used for the study.

Name the sampling method that best describes each situation. Choose your answer from the following (A) simple random sampling, (B) convenience sampling, (C) quota sampling, (D) stratified sampling, (E) census. (a) George wants to know how the rest of the class did on the last quiz. He peeks at the scores of a few students sitting right next to him. Based on what he sees, he concludes that nobody did very well. (b) Eureka High School has 400 freshmen, 300 sophomores, 300 juniors, and 200 seniors. The student newspaper conducts a poll asking students if the football coach should be fired. The student newspaper randomly selects 20 freshmen, 15 sophomores, 15 juniors, and 10 seniors for the poll. (c) For the last football game of the season, the coach chooses the three captains by putting the names of all the players in a hat and drawing three names. (Maybe that's why they are trying to fire him!) (d) For the last football game of the season, the coach chooses the three captains by putting the names of all the seniors in a hat and drawing three names.

Refer to a clinical study conducted at the Houston Veterans Administration Medical Center on the effectiveness of knee surgery to cure degenerative arthritis (osteoarthritis) of the knee. Of the 324 individuals who met the inclusion criteria for the study, 144 declined to participate. The researchers randomly divided the remaining 180 subjects into three groups: One group received a type of arthroscopic knee surgery called debridement; a second group received a type of arthroscopic knee surgery called lavage; and a third group received skin incisions to make it look like they had had arthroscopic knee surgery, but no actual surgery was performed. The patients in the study did not know which group they were in and in particular did not know if they were receiving the real surgery or simulated surgery. All the patients who participated in the study were evaluated for two years after the procedure. In the two-year follow-up, all three groups said that they had slightly less pain and better knee movement, but the "fake" surgery group often reported the best results. [Source: New England Journal of Medicine, \(347,\) no. 2 (July 11 , 2002)\(: 81-88 .\) (a) Could this study be considered a randomized controlled study? Explain. (b) Was this Study blind, double blind, or neither?

Refer to a clinical trial named APPROVe designed to determine whether Vioxx, a medication used for ar. thritis and acute pain, was effective in preventing the recurrence of colorectal polyps in patients with a history of colorectal adenomas. APPROVe was conducted between 2002 and 2003 and involved 2586 participants, all of whom had a history of colorectal adenomas. The participants were randomly divided into two groups: 1287 were given 25 milligrams of Vioxx daily for the duration of the clinical trial (originally intended to last three years), and \(1299 \mathrm{pa}\) tients were given a placebo. Neither the participants nor the doctors involved in the clinical trial knew who was in which group. During the trial, 72 of the participants had cardiovascular events (mostly heart attacks or strokes). Later it was found that 46 of these people were from the group taking the Vioxx and only 26 were from the group taking the placebo. Based on these results, the clinical trial was stopped in 2003 and Vioxx was taken off the market in \(2004 .\) Describe as specifically as you can the target population for APPROVe.

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