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Assume that the population proportion is \(.55 .\) Compute the standard error of the proportion, \(\sigma_{\bar{p}},\) for sample sizes of \(100,200,500,\) and \(1000 .\) What can you say about the size of the standard error of the proportion as the sample size is increased?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The standard error decreases as the sample size increases, becoming more accurate.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Formula for Standard Error

The standard error of the proportion, denoted as \( \sigma_{\bar{p}} \), is calculated using the formula: \( \sigma_{\bar{p}} = \sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{n}} \), where \( p \) is the population proportion and \( n \) is the sample size.
02

Calculate Standard Error for Sample Size 100

Substitute \( p = 0.55 \) and \( n = 100 \) into the formula: \[ \sigma_{\bar{p}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.55(1-0.55)}{100}} \]. Calculate this to find \( \sigma_{\bar{p}} \approx 0.0497 \).
03

Calculate Standard Error for Sample Size 200

Substitute \( n = 200 \) into the formula: \[ \sigma_{\bar{p}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.55(1-0.55)}{200}} \]. Calculate this to find \( \sigma_{\bar{p}} \approx 0.0352 \).
04

Calculate Standard Error for Sample Size 500

Substitute \( n = 500 \) into the formula: \[ \sigma_{\bar{p}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.55(1-0.55)}{500}} \]. Calculate this to find \( \sigma_{\bar{p}} \approx 0.0222 \).
05

Calculate Standard Error for Sample Size 1000

Substitute \( n = 1000 \) into the formula: \[ \sigma_{\bar{p}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.55(1-0.55)}{1000}} \]. Calculate this to find \( \sigma_{\bar{p}} \approx 0.0157 \).
06

Observe the Trend

As the sample size increases, the standard error \( \sigma_{\bar{p}} \) decreases. This indicates that larger sample sizes lead to more precise (less variable) estimates of the population proportion.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Size
In statistics, the term 'sample size' refers to the number of individual observations or data points included in a statistical sample. The sample size is crucial because it influences the reliability and accuracy of the estimates derived from the data. When conducting statistical analysis, choosing an appropriate sample size is key to achieving valid results.

As sample size increases, the estimates become more precise and closer to the actual population parameters. Here's why:
  • A larger sample size reduces the margin of error, which leads to more accurate estimates.
  • With more data, variability is reduced, stabilizing the results and leading to consistent findings.
  • A larger sample provides better coverage of the population, accounting for oddities and ensuring diverse representation.
The relationship between sample size and the precision of an estimate is evident in statistical measures like the standard error. In summary, increasing the sample size enhances the reliability of the study's conclusions.
Population Proportion
The population proportion is a measure that represents the fraction of the total population that holds a specific attribute or characteristic. It is often denoted by the symbol \( p \). Understanding and estimating this proportion is important in many fields of research, such as public opinion, health studies, and market analysis.

To accurately estimate a population proportion, a researcher typically selects a random sample and calculates the proportion within this sample. This sample proportion is then used to infer the true population proportion, considering there will always be some uncertainty.
  • The population proportion is a key input in calculating the standard error of the proportion.
  • Accurate measurement helps to draw conclusions about the population, such as assessing demographic features or estimating voting intentions.
Having a good estimate of the population proportion lays the foundation for reliable predictions and decision-making in both policy and business contexts.
Statistical Calculation
Statistical calculations form the backbone of data analysis, allowing researchers to interpret complex data sets meaningfully. Among these calculations, the assessment of the standard error of a proportion is particularly vital in understanding data variability.

The standard error of a proportion \( \sigma_{\bar{p}} \) quantifies how much a sample proportion \( \bar{p} \) might differ from the true population proportion \( p \). It calculates as follows:
\[ \sigma_{\bar{p}} = \sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{n}}\]
This equation involves:
  • The actual population proportion \( p \)
  • The sample size \( n \)
The result informs how confident one can be about the representativeness of the sample proportion.

With larger sample sizes, \( \sigma_{\bar{p}} \) decreases, showing reduced variability in estimates. Hence, statistical calculations not only help estimate parameters but also guide decisions on sample size needed for reliable analysis, ensuring conclusions drawn from data are well-founded.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

About \(28 \%\) of private companies are owned by women (The Cincinnati Enquirer, January 26,2006)\(.\) Answer the following questions based on a sample of 240 private companies. a. Show the sampling distribution of \(\bar{p},\) the sample proportion of companies that are owned by women. b. What is the probability that the sample proportion will be within ±.04 of the population proportion? c. What is the probability that the sample proportion will be within ±.02 of the population proportion?

Three firms carry inventories that differ in size. Firm A's inventory contains 2000 items, firm B's inventory contains 5000 items, and firm C's inventory contains 10,000 items. The population standard deviation for the cost of the items in each firm's inventory is \(\sigma=144\) A statistical consultant recommends that each firm take a sample of 50 items from its inventory to provide statistically valid estimates of the average cost per item. Managers of the small firm state that because it has the smallest population, it should be able to make the estimate from a much smaller sample than that required by the larger firms. However, the consultant states that to obtain the same standard error and thus the same precision in the sample results, all firms should use the same sample size regardless of population size. a. Using the finite population correction factor, compute the standard error for each of the three firms given a sample of size 50 b. What is the probability that for each firm the sample mean \(\bar{x}\) will be within ±25 of the population mean \(\mu ?\)

Suppose a simple random sample of size 50 is selected from a population with \(\sigma=10\) Find the value of the standard error of the mean in each of the following cases (use the finite population correction factor if appropriate) a. The population size is infinite. b. The population size is \(N=50,000\) c. The population size is \(N=5000\) d. The population size is \(N=500\).

The County and City Data Book, published by the Census Bureau, lists information on 3139 counties throughout the United States. Assume that a national study will collect data from 30 randomly selected counties. Use four- digit random numbers from the last column of Table 7.1 to identify the numbers corresponding to the first five counties selected for the sample. Ignore the first digits and begin with the four-digit random numbers \(9945,8364,5702,\) and so on.

After deducting grants based on need, the average cost to attend the University of Southern California (USC) is \(\$ 27,175\) (U.S. News \& World Report, America 's Best Colleges, \(2009 \text { ed. }) .\) Assume the population standard deviation is \(\$ 7400 .\) Suppose that a random sample of 60 USC students will be taken from this population. a. What is the value of the standard error of the mean? b. What is the probability that the sample mean will be more than \(\$ 27,175 ?\) c. What is the probability that the sample mean will be within \(\$ 1000\) of the population mean? d. How would the probability in part (c) change if the sample size were increased to \(100 ?\)

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