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Axline Computers manufactures personal computers at two plants, one in Texas and the other in Hawaii. The Texas plant has 40 employees; the Hawaii plant has \(20 .\) A random sample of 10 employees is to be asked to fill out a benefits questionnaire. a. What is the probability that none of the employees in the sample work at the plant in Hawaii? b. What is the probability that one of the employees in the sample works at the plant in Hawaii? c. What is the probability that two or more of the employees in the sample work at the plant in Hawaii? d. What is the probability that nine of the employees in the sample work at the plant in Texas?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. Calculate using combinations formula. b. Substitute in probability formula for 1 from Hawaii. c. Use complement rule for 2 or more from Hawaii. d. Probability is same as part b.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the problem

We're tasked with calculating the probabilities of selecting employees from two different locations for a sample survey. Each location has a fixed number of employees.
02

Determine total number of employees

There are a total of 40 employees in Texas and 20 in Hawaii, making a combined total of 60 employees.
03

Calculate probability for no employees from Hawaii (part a)

To calculate this, we find the number of ways to select 10 employees from the 40 Texas employees and divide it by the number of ways to select any 10 employees from the 60 total employees. This is given by the formula \[P(0 \text{ from Hawaii}) = \frac{\binom{40}{10}}{\binom{60}{10}}\]
04

Calculate probability for one employee from Hawaii (part b)

For one employee from Hawaii and nine from Texas, calculate the combinations of selecting 1 employee from Hawaii and 9 from Texas, then divide by the total combinations: \[P(1 \text{ from Hawaii}) = \frac{\binom{20}{1} \cdot \binom{40}{9}}{\binom{60}{10}}\]
05

Calculate cumulative probability for two or more from Hawaii (part c)

Instead of calculating directly, it's easier to use the complement rule. Subtract the probabilities calculated in steps 3 and 4 from 1:\[P(\geq 2 \text{ from Hawaii}) = 1 - (P(0 \text{ from Hawaii}) + P(1 \text{ from Hawaii}))\]
06

Calculate probability for nine from Texas (part d)

This is similar to solving part b. Since 9 from Texas implies 1 from Hawaii, this is the same as part b:\[P(9 \text{ from Texas}) = P(1 \text{ from Hawaii})\]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Combinatorics
Combinatorics is a branch of mathematics focused on counting, arrangement, and combination of objects. It helps us figure out how to count different ways to choose items from a group. In the context of the Axline Computers problem, we're using combinatorics to figure out the number of ways to select certain employees from the total. This is where the combination formula, or "binomial coefficient," comes into play. The formula is
\[\binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!}\]
where \(n\) is the total number of items to choose from, \(k\) is the number of items to choose, and \(!\) denotes a factorial, which is the product of all positive integers up to that number.
In our scenario, when we're calculating \(\binom{40}{10}\), we're looking at how many ways we can choose 10 employees out of the 40 from Texas. Similarly, when using \(\binom{60}{10}\), we're considering all possible combinations of selecting 10 employees from the entire group of 60 employees.
With combinatorics, we can determine probabilities of different scenarios by comparing these various possible arrangements.
Random Sampling
Random sampling is a fundamental concept used when selecting a subset from a larger population. This concept ensures that each member of the population has an equal chance of being chosen. It's a way to achieve unbiased representations in surveys, tests, or any situation where you want to make inferences from a smaller group.
In the Axline Computers example, we're tasked with randomly sampling 10 employees from a total of 60 employees at two locations. This randomness is crucial, as it guarantees an equal opportunity for selecting employees from either Texas or Hawaii. It also provides all possible combinations of employee groups without preferring one group over another.
Random sampling allows us to harness the power of probability theory to make generalizations about the larger group based on the sample. It is essential in statistical calculations as it forms the unbiased basis for analysis.
Statistical Calculation
Statistical calculations involve using mathematical techniques to make conclusions or predictions based on data. In the context of probability, it’s about measuring the likelihood of various outcomes.
With the Axline Computers problem, we employed statistical calculations to determine the probability of different employee-group scenarios. By combing through different combinations of selecting employees and using the complement rule, we calculate probabilities for the specified criteria:
  • 0 employees from Hawaii
  • 1 employee from Hawaii
  • 2 or more employees from Hawaii
For example, to find the probability of having zero employees from Hawaii, we calculate the ratio of ways to choose all employees from Texas to all possible ways to choose 10 employees from the total of 60. This is why we use the combination formula for both the numerator and denominator.
Complementing these detailed statistical calculations with adaptive understanding forms a robust foundation for making accurate predictions and decisions based on probable outcomes.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The Barron \(s\) Big Money Poll asked 131 investment managers across the United States about their short-term investment outlook (Barron \(s\), October 28,2002 ). Their responses showed that \(4 \%\) were very bullish, \(39 \%\) were bullish, \(29 \%\) were neutral, \(21 \%\) were bearish, and \(7 \%\) were very bearish. Let \(x\) be the random variable reflecting the level of optimism about the market. Set \(x=5\) for very bullish down through \(x=1\) for very bearish. a. Develop a probability distribution for the level of optimism of investment managers. b. Compute the expected value for the level of optimism. c. Compute the variance and standard deviation for the level of optimism. d. Comment on what your results imply about the level of optimism and its variability.

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