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Here is a sample of measured radiation emissions \((\mathrm{cW} / \mathrm{kg})\) for cell phones (based on data from the Environmental Working Group): \(38,55,86,145\). Here are ten bootstrapsamples: \(\\{38,145,55,86\\},\\{86,38,145,145\\},\\{145,86,55,55\\},\\{55,55,55,145\\}\), \(\\{86,86,55,55\\},\\{38,38,86,86\\},\\{145,38,86,55\\},\\{55,86,86,86\\},\\{145,86,55,86\\}\), \(\\{38,145,86,55\\}\) a. Using only the ten given bootstrap samples, construct an \(80 \%\) confidence interval estimate of the population mean. b. Using only the ten given bootstrap samples, construct an \(80 \%\) confidence interval estimate of the population standard deviation.

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. The 80% confidence interval for the mean is \([62, 103.5]\). b. The 80% confidence interval for the standard deviation is \([14.38, 53.37]\).

Step by step solution

01

- Calculate sample mean for each bootstrap sample

Find the mean of each given bootstrap sample to later use in constructing the confidence interval. Calculate the mean for each sample: Sample 1: \{38,145,55,86\} Mean = \( \frac{38 + 145 + 55 + 86}{4} = 81\) Sample 2: \{86,38,145,145\} Mean = \( \frac{86 + 38 + 145 + 145}{4} = 103.5\) Sample 3: \{145,86,55,55\} Mean = \( \frac{145 + 86 + 55 + 55}{4} = 85.25\) Sample 4: \{55,55,55,145\} Mean = \( \frac{55 + 55 + 55 + 145}{4} = 77.5\) Sample 5: \{86,86,55,55\} Mean = \( \frac{86 + 86 + 55 + 55}{4} = 70.5\) Sample 6: \{38,38,86,86\} Mean = \( \frac{38 + 38 + 86 + 86}{4} = 62\) Sample 7: \{145,38,86,55\} Mean = \( \frac{145 + 38 + 86 + 55}{4} = 81\) Sample 8: \{55,86,86,86\} Mean = \( \frac{55 + 86 + 86 + 86}{4} = 78.25\) Sample 9: \{145,86,55,86\} Mean = \( \frac{145 + 86 + 55 + 86}{4} = 93\) Sample 10: \{38,145,86,55\} Mean = \( \frac{38 + 145 + 86 + 55}{4} = 81\)
02

- Calculate the mean of the bootstrap sample means

Compute the average of the sample means calculated in Step 1 to find an overall estimate of the population mean. Mean of sample means: \( \frac{81 + 103.5 + 85.25 + 77.5 + 70.5 + 62 + 81 + 78.25 + 93 + 81}{10} = 81.8\)
03

- Determine the 80% confidence interval for the mean

For a small sample size like 10, the 80% confidence interval often corresponds to the 10th and 90th percentiles of the bootstrap distribution. From sorting the means: [62, 70.5, 77.5, 78.25, 81, 81, 81, 85.25, 93, 103.5], 10th percentile (1st element): 62, 90th percentile (last element): 103.5. Therefore, the 80% confidence interval for the mean is \([62, 103.5]\).
04

- Calculate sample standard deviation for each bootstrap sample

Next, find the standard deviation of each bootstrap sample. Use the formula \( s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}{n-1}} \). Calculate for each sample: Sample 1: \{38,145,55,86\} Standard Deviation = \( \sqrt{\frac{(38-81)^2 + (145-81)^2 + (55-81)^2 + (86-81)^2}{3}} = 45.9\) Sample 2: \{86,38,145,145\} Standard Deviation = \( \sqrt{\frac{(86-103.5)^2 + (38-103.5)^2 + (145-103.5)^2 + (145-103.5)^2}{3}} = 53.37\) Sample 3: \{145,86,55,55\} Standard Deviation = \( \sqrt{\frac{(145-85.25)^2 + (86-85.25)^2 + (55-85.25)^2 + (55-85.25)^2}{3}} = 41.98\) Sample 4: \{55,55,55,145\} Standard Deviation = \( \sqrt{\frac{(55-77.5)^2 + (55-77.5)^2 + (55-77.5)^2 + (145-77.5)^2}{3}} = 43\) Sample 5: \{86,86,55,55\} Standard Deviation = \( \sqrt{\frac{(86-70.5)^2 + (86-70.5)^2 + (55-70.5)^2 + (55-70.5)^2}{3}} = 17.81\) Sample 6: \{38,38,86,86\} Standard Deviation = \( \sqrt{\frac{(38-62)^2 + (38-62)^2 + (86-62)^2 + (86-62)^2}{3}} = 27.63\) Sample 7: \{145,38,86,55\} Standard Deviation = \( \sqrt{\frac{(145-81)^2 + (38-81)^2 + (86-81)^2 + (55-81)^2}{3}} = 45.9\) Sample 8: \{55,86,86,86\} Standard Deviation = \( \sqrt{\frac{(55-78.25)^2 + (86-78.25)^2 + (86-78.25)^2 + (86-78.25)^2}{3}} = 14.38\) Sample 9: \{145,86,55,86\} Standard Deviation = \( \sqrt{\frac{(145-93)^2 + (86-93)^2 + (55-93)^2 + (86-93)^2}{3}} = 37.63\) Sample 10: \{38,145,86,55\} Standard Deviation = \( \sqrt{\frac{(38-81)^2 + (145-81)^2 + (86-81)^2 + (55-81)^2}{3}} = 45.9\)
05

- Calculate mean of standard deviations

Compute the average of the standard deviations found in Step 4. Mean of sample standard deviations: \( \frac{45.9 + 53.37 + 41.98 + 43 + 17.81 + 27.63 + 45.9 + 14.38 + 37.63 + 45.9}{10} = 37.75\)
06

- Determine the 80% confidence interval for standard deviation

Use the 10th and 90th percentiles of the sorted standard deviations to construct the confidence interval. From sorting the standard deviations: [14.38, 17.81, 27.63, 37.63, 41.98, 43, 45.9, 45.9, 45.9, 53.37], 10th percentile (1st element): 14.38, 90th percentile (last element): 53.37. Therefore, the 80% confidence interval for the standard deviation is \([14.38, 53.37]\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Bootstrap Sampling
Bootstrap sampling is a resampling method used in statistics. It involves repeatedly drawing samples from a dataset with replacement. Each drawn sample is called a bootstrap sample. This technique is useful for estimating the accuracy of sample statistics, such as the mean and standard deviation, by simulating multiple sample scenarios. You create many bootstrap samples, calculate the desired statistic for each sample, then aggregate these to construct confidence intervals.
Confidence Interval
A confidence interval provides an estimated range of values that is likely to include an unknown population parameter, such as the mean or standard deviation. The width of the interval gives us an idea of the uncertainty around the estimate. For example, an 80% confidence interval means we can be 80% certain the true population parameter lies within this range. To find this interval using bootstrap samples, we typically select the percentiles (e.g., 10th and 90th) of the bootstrap distribution.
Mean and Standard Deviation
The mean, or average, is a measure of central tendency, calculated by summing all values in a dataset and dividing by the number of values. The standard deviation measures the dispersion or spread of the dataset around the mean. A low standard deviation indicates the values are close to the mean, while a high one indicates more spread out data. In the provided exercise, we calculate the mean and standard deviation for each bootstrap sample to estimate these statistics for the entire population.
Statistical Analysis
Statistical analysis encompasses a variety of techniques to summarize, explore, and infer patterns in data. Key components include descriptive statistics like the mean and standard deviation, and inferential statistics, such as constructing confidence intervals using bootstrap methods. By applying these to the given sample data, we can draw conclusions about the population values. Accurate statistical analysis helps in making informed decisions based on the given data.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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