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Assume that a randomly selected subject is given a bone density test. Those test scores are normally distributed with a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of \(1 .\) In each case, draw a graph, then find the probability of the given bone density test scores. If using technology instead of Table A-2, round answers to four decimal places. $$ \text { Less than } 2.56 $$

Short Answer

Expert verified
0.9948

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Problem

We need to find the probability that a randomly selected subject's bone density test score is less than 2.56. The test scores follow a normal distribution with a mean (\(\mu\)) of 0 and a standard deviation (\(\sigma\)) of 1.
02

Standard Normal Distribution

Since the mean is 0 and the standard deviation is 1, the distribution is known as the standard normal distribution. We need to find the cumulative probability up to 2.56.
03

Use Z-Table or Technology

Using a Z-table or technology (like a calculator or software), we can find the cumulative probability for a z-score of 2.56.
04

Interpret the Result

Looking up 2.56 in the Z-table or using technology, we find the cumulative probability to be approximately 0.9948.
05

Draw the Graph

Draw a normal distribution curve with the mean at 0 and a standard deviation of 1. Shade the area to the left of z = 2.56 to represent the probability we found.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

bone density test
A bone density test is a medical procedure that measures the strength and density of bones. It is often used to diagnose osteoporosis and assess the risk of fractures. During this test, a machine measures the amount of calcium and other minerals in a segment of bone, typically the spine, hip, and forearm.

Bone density tests produce scores that indicate the bone's density compared to a healthy young adult's average density. These scores are usually presented as z-scores, which we'll explain later. The results can help doctors make decisions about the necessity of medication or lifestyle changes to strengthen bones.

In our exercise, the bone density test scores are given with a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1, which allows us to use the standard normal distribution to find probabilities related to different scores.
standard normal distribution
The standard normal distribution is a special type of normal distribution. It has a mean (\( \mu \))) of 0 and a standard deviation (\( \sigma \))) of 1. A normal distribution is symmetrical, meaning it forms a perfect bell curve when graphed.

This distribution allows us to use z-scores to find probabilities and percentages for different values within the distribution. In other words, if we know a particular z-score, we can determine how far that score is from the mean and what percentage of the distribution lies below that score.

For our bone density test example, since the scores are normally distributed with a mean of 0 and standard deviation of 1, we can directly use the standard normal distribution to find the probability of a given score. Specifically, to find the probability of a score less than 2.56, we use the cumulative distribution function (CDF) for the standard normal distribution.
z-score
A z-score, also known as a standard score, indicates how many standard deviations an element is from the mean. It is calculated using the formula:
\[ z = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma} \]
where \( x \) is the value in question, \( \mu \) is the mean, and \( \sigma \) is the standard deviation.

In the context of the bone density test, we use the z-score to find out how far a particular test score is from the mean (which is 0) in terms of standard deviations. By doing this, we can use the standard normal distribution to find the probability associated with that z-score.

For example, a z-score of 2.56 means the bone density score is 2.56 standard deviations above the mean. Using the standard normal distribution (or z-table), we can find the cumulative probability for this z-score, which in this case is 0.9948. This means there is a 99.48% probability that a randomly selected bone density test score will be less than 2.56.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Example 2 referred to an elevator with a maximum capacity of \(4000 \mathrm{lb}\). When rating elevators, it is common to use a \(25 \%\) safety factor, so the elevator should actually be able to carry a load that is \(25 \%\) greater than the stated limit. The maximum capacity of \(4000 \mathrm{lb}\) becomes \(5000 \mathrm{lb}\) after it is increased by \(25 \%\), so 27 adult male passengers can have a mean weight of up to \(185 \mathrm{lb}\). If the elevator is loaded with 27 adult male passengers, find the probability that it is overloaded because they have a mean weight greater than \(185 \mathrm{lb}\). (As in Example 2, assume that weights of males are normally distributed with a mean of \(189 \mathrm{lb}\) and a standard deviation of 39 lb.) Does this elevator appear to be safe?

The University of Maryland Medical Center considers "low birth weights" to be those that are less than \(5.5 \mathrm{lb}\) or \(2495 \mathrm{~g} .\) Birth weights are normally distributed with a mean of \(3152.0 \mathrm{~g}\) and a standard deviation of \(693.4 \mathrm{~g}\) (based on Data Set 4 "Births" in Appendix B). a. If a birth weight is randomly selected, what is the probability that it is a "low birth weight"? b. Find the weights considered to be significantly low, using the criterion of a birth weight having a probability of \(0.05\) or less. c. Compare the results from parts (a) and (b).

Assume that females have pulserates that are normally distributed with a mean of 74.0 beats per minute and a standard deviation of 12.5 beats per minute (based on Data Set 1 鈥淏ody Data鈥 in Appendix B). a. If 1 adult female is randomly selected, find the probability that her pulse rate is greater than 70 beats per minute. b. If 25 adult females are randomly selected, find the probability that they have pulse rates with a mean greater than 70 beats per minute. c. Why can the normal distribution be used in part (b), even though the sample size does not exceed \(30 ?\)

Assume that females have pulserates that are normally distributed with a mean of 74.0 beats per minute and a standard deviation of 12.5 beats per minute (based on Data Set 1 鈥淏ody Data鈥 in Appendix B). a. If 1 adult female is randomly selected, find the probability that her pulse rate is between 78 beats per minute and 90 beats per minute. b. If 16 adult females are randomly selected, find the probability that they have pulse rates with a mean between 78 beats per minute and 90 beats per minute. c. Why can the normal distribution be used in part (b), even though the sample size does not exceed \(30 ?\)

Use the data in the table below for sitting adult males and females (based on anthropometric survey data from Gordon, Churchill, et al.). These data are used often in the design of different seats, including aircraft seats, train seats, theater seats, and classroom seats. (Hint: Draw a graph in each case.) $$ \begin{aligned} &\text { Sitting Back-to-Knee Length (inches) }\\\ &\begin{array}{l|c|c|c} \hline & \text { Mean } & \text { St. Dev. } & \text { Distribution } \\ \hline \text { Males } & 23.5 \text { in. } & 1.1 \text { in. } & \text { Normal } \\ \hline \text { Females } & 22.7 \text { in. } & 1.0 \text { in. } & \text { Normal } \\ \hline \end{array} \end{aligned} $$ For males, find \(P_{90}\), which is the length separating the bottom \(90 \%\) from the top \(10 \%\).

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