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Express all probabilities as fractions. Your professor has just collected eight different statistics exams. If these exams are graded in random order, what is the probability that they are graded in alphabetical order of the students who took the exam?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability is \( \frac{1}{40320} \).

Step by step solution

01

- Identify the total number of possible orders

There are 8 statistics exams, and they can be graded in any order. The total number of possible orders can be calculated as the number of permutations of the 8 exams, which is given by the factorial of 8. Mathematically, this is represented as \[ 8! = 8 \times 7 \times 6 \times 5 \times 4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1 \]
02

- Calculate the total number of permutations

Calculate the factorial of 8. \[ 8! = 40320 \] So, there are 40320 different ways to grade the 8 exams in any order.
03

- Identify the number of favorable outcomes

There is only one way for the exams to be graded in alphabetical order by the students' names. Thus, there is only one favorable outcome.
04

- Calculate the probability

The probability is calculated by dividing the number of favorable outcomes by the total number of possible outcomes. \[ P(\text{alphabetical order}) = \frac{1}{8!} = \frac{1}{40320} \]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Permutations
When dealing with permutations, we are interested in all possible ways to arrange a set of items. If you have a set of 8 different statistics exams, the number of ways to arrange them in order is found using permutations.

Permutations consider the sequence in which elements appear. For example, the arrangement ABCD is different from BACD, although they use the same elements. That's why, when calculating permutations, every distinct arrangement counts. In permutations, order matters and each unique order is considered separately.

The total number of permutations of 8 distinct items is calculated using the factorial operation. This is represented by 8! (8 factorial), which tells us how many ways we can arrange these 8 exams.
Factorial Calculation
The factorial operation is crucial for finding permutations. The symbol '!' denotes factorial, and it means multiplying a series of descending natural numbers. For example, factorial 8 (written as 8!) is calculated by multiplying all whole numbers from 8 down to 1.

Mathematically, this looks like:
\[8! = 8 \times 7 \times 6 \times 5 \times 4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1 = 40320\]

This means there are 40,320 different ways to arrange 8 exams. Each specific sequence (like grading in alphabetical order) is just one of these 40,320 ways.
Probability Calculation
Probability helps us measure how likely an event is to occur. To find the probability of grading exams in alphabetical order, we need to consider both the total number of possible arrangements and the number of favorable outcomes.

From the previous sections, we know that there are 40,320 possible ways to grade the 8 exams.

Now, the favorable outcome is grading the exams in exactly alphabetical order, which is unique. There is only one such order.

The probability P of a favorable event happening is calculated as:
\[P = \frac{\text{Number of Favorable Outcomes}}{\text{Total Number of Possible Outcomes}}\]

Applying this to our problem:
\[P(\text{Alphabetical Order}) = \frac{1}{8!} = \frac{1}{40320}\]

So, the probability of grading all exams in alphabetical order by the students' names is \[ \frac{1}{40320}.\]

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Express all probabilities as fractions. A thief steals an ATM card and must randomly guess the correct pin code that consists of four digits (each 0 through 9 ) that must be entered in the correct order. Repetition of digits is allowed. What is the probability of a correct guess on the first try?

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