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The geometric mean is often used in business and economics for finding average rates of change, average rates of growth, or average ratios. To find the geometric mean of \(n\) values (all of which are positive), first multiply the values, then find the \(n\) th root of the product. For a 6-year period, money deposited in annual certificates of deposit had annual interest rates of \(5.154 \%, 2.730 \%, 0.488 \%, 0.319 \%, 0.313 \%\), and \(0.268 \%\). Identify the single percentage growth rate that is the same as the five consecutive growth rates by computing the geometric mean of \(1.05154,1.02730,1.00488,1.00319,1.00313\), and \(1.00268\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
The single annual growth rate is approximately 1.5%.

Step by step solution

01

- Understand the Problem

The goal is to find the geometric mean of the given annual growth rates. This mean represents a single percentage growth rate that is equivalent to the consecutive annual growth rates.
02

- Convert the Growth Rates

Convert the percentage annual interest rates to their decimal form for calculations. The given values are already in decimal form: 1.05154, 1.02730, 1.00488, 1.00319,1.00313, and 1.00268.
03

- Multiply the Values

Multiply these six numbers together: \[ P = 1.05154 \times 1.02730 \times 1.00488 \times 1.00319 \times 1.00313 \times 1.00268 \] Using a calculator, compute the product: \[ P \text{ (approx)} = 1.093 \text{ (rounded for simplicity)} \]
04

- Compute the 6th Root

Find the 6th root of the product obtained in Step 3. \[ \text{Geometric Mean} = \root{6}{P} = \root{6}{1.093} \] Use a calculator to find the root: \[ \text{Geometric Mean} \text{ (approx)} = 1.015 \]
05

- Convert Back to Percentage

Convert the resulting decimal back to a percentage by subtracting 1 and then multiplying by 100. \[ (1.015 - 1) \times 100 = 1.5 \text{%} \]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Geometric Mean
The geometric mean is a statistical measure often used to find the average of a set of numbers in a multiplicative context. Unlike the arithmetic mean, which is suitable for additive processes, the geometric mean is ideal for rates of growth and ratios. To find the geometric mean of a set of values, you first multiply all the values together. Then, you take the nth root of the product, where n is the total number of values. In the context of the given exercise, calculating the geometric mean helps to identify a single growth rate that represents multiple years of varying rates. The formula for the geometric mean of n numbers, say, \([a_1, a_2, ..., a_n]\), is: \[\text{Geometric Mean} = (a_1 \times a_2 \times ... \times a_n)^{1/n} \]. This method smooths out fluctuations in the data and gives a more accurate average growth rate.
Average Growth Rate
The average growth rate provides an overall indication of how a quantity changes over multiple periods. It’s vital for understanding trends in finance, economics, and business. For example, if you have fluctuating investment returns over several years, the average growth rate gives you one figure that summarises the overall performance. To convert individual interest rates into a single average growth rate using the geometric mean, you avoid the distortions that might come from using the arithmetic mean for volatile data. The geometric mean ensures that each period's growth rate is proportionally accounted for, leading to a more meaningful representation of compound growth.
Interest Rates
Interest rates are the costs of borrowing money or the rewards for saving it. They are typically expressed as a percentage of the principal amount on an annual basis. When interest rates change each year, understanding the overall impact over a multi-year period can be challenging. By using the geometric mean to calculate the single equivalent interest rate over the period, you simplify this complexity. For instance, in the exercise provided, the given annual interest rates were converted into their decimal form for accurate calculations. When these values are multiplied and the nth root is taken, the result is a single rate that encapsulates the effect of the series of interest rates over time.
Statistics
Statistics involve collecting, analyzing, interpreting, and presenting data. One crucial aspect is summarizing data meaningfully, which is where measures like the geometric mean come into play. When dealing with rates of change or ratios, the geometric mean is a robust statistical tool to represent average performance accurately. It takes into account the compounding nature of percentages and growth rates, making it suitable for various fields such as finance and economics. The careful calculation of the geometric mean ensures that all data points influence the final average appropriately, providing a holistic view of the dataset's behavior over time.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Watch out for these little buggers. Each of these exercises involves some feature that is somewhat tricky. Find the (a) mean, \((b)\) median, (c) mode, (d) midrange, and then answer the given question. Listed below are prices in dollars for one night at different hotels located on Las Vegas Boulevard (the "Strip"). If you decide to stay at one of these hotels, what statistic is most relevant, other than the measures of center? Apart from price, identify one other important factor that would affect your choice. $$ \begin{array}{llllllll} 212 & 77 & 121 & 104 & 153 & 264 & 195 & 244 \end{array} $$

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The 20 subjects used in Data Set 8 "IQ and Brain Size" in Appendix B have weights with a standard deviation of \(20.0414 \mathrm{~kg}\). What is the variance of their weights? Be sure to include the appropriate units with the result.

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