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Just the Boys Refer to Exercise \(7.77\) for information. This data set records results just for the boys. $$\begin{array}{|lcc|}\hline & \text { Preschool } & \text { No Preschool } \\\\\hline \text { Grad HS } & 16 & 21 \\\\\hline \text { No Grad HS } & 16 & 18 \\\\\hline\end{array}$$ a. Find and compare the percentages that graduated for each group, descriptively. Does this suggest that preschool was linked with a higher graduation rate? b. Verify that the conditions for a two-proportion confidence interval are satisfied. c. Indicate which one of the following statements is correct. i. The interval does not capture 0 , suggesting that it is plausible that the proportions are the same. ii. The interval does not capture 0 , suggesting that it is not plausible that the proportions are the same. iii. The interval captures 0 , suggesting that it is plausible that the population proportions are the same. iv. The interval captures 0 , suggesting that it is not plausible that the population proportions are the same. d. Would a \(99 \%\) confidence interval be wider or narrower?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Based only on percentage comparison, attending preschool does not necessarily lead to a higher high school graduation rate for boys. The conditions for the two-proportion confidence interval are met with no information given about randomness of the sample but sufficient sample sizes. The likely correct statement regarding the proportion is the third one assuming confidence interval encapsulates 0, though actual interval calculation is not given in problem. A 99% confidence interval would be wider than a narrower one.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate the Graduation Proportions

For boys who attended preschool, the proportion graduating is \(16 / (16 + 16) = 0.5\). For those who did not attend preschool the proportion graduating is \(21 / (21 + 18) = 0.538\).
02

Compare Proportions Descriptively

The graduation rate for boys who attended preschool is 50%, compared to 53.8% for those who did not attend preschool. This implies that attending preschool does not necessarily result in a higher rate of graduating high school, based purely on these percentages.
03

Check Conditions for A Two-Proportion Confidence Interval

The conditions for a two-proportion confidence interval include:\n1. The sample being random, which isn’t mentioned in the problem.\n2. The data from each group being independent, which is implied in the problem statement.\n3. Each sample size being large enough to use the normal approximation.\n\nGiven that both group sizes are large enough (i.e both more than 10), conditions for a two-proportion confidence interval are satisfied.
04

Choose the Correct Statement Regarding Confidence Interval

Without an actual calculation of a confidence interval possible from the problem statement, it is not possible to directly select the correct statement. However, from the graduation ratios already calculated, it seems plausible that the population proportions could be the same, suggesting the third statement could be correct assuming the confidence interval includes 0.
05

Comparing 99% confidence interval to a narrower range

A 99% confidence interval would be wider than a narrower confidence interval. Increasing the confidence level results in a wider interval to increase certainty that the population parameter is contained within the interval.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Graduation Rates
Graduation rates are an essential measure in statistics education as they help assess and compare different educational experiences and their outcomes. In examining the impact of preschool attendance on high school graduation rates, we use proportions to compare groups. For example, if we have 16 boys who attended preschool and graduated, out of a total of 32 boys who attended preschool, the proportion of graduates is calculated as \( \frac{16}{32} = 0.5 \), or 50%. Similarly, for those who did not attend preschool, the calculation is \( \frac{21}{39} = 0.538 \), or approximately 53.8%.
These statistics reveal that, contrary to some expectations, the boys who did not attend preschool had a slightly higher graduation rate. Thus, descriptive statistics serve as a useful tool for understanding initial differences between groups.
  • Graduation rates are calculated as the proportion of students who graduated divided by the total number of students in the group.
  • These rates help to identify any direct correlations or differences between the groups being studied.
Two-Proportion Confidence Interval
To determine if the observed difference in graduation rates is statistically significant, we use a two-proportion confidence interval. Confidence intervals provide a range of values that are likely to contain the true difference in proportions, thus helping to interpret the statistical evidence regarding the effect of preschool.
The conditions for using a two-proportion confidence interval are crucial. We need each sample to be independent, the data to be collected randomly (although this is not specified in our initial data), and each sample size to be sufficiently large to apply a normal approximation (both are greater than 10, meeting this criterion).
A two-proportion confidence interval is calculated by using the difference in sample proportions and incorporating standard errors:
- Calculate the difference between sample proportions. - Determine the standard error of the difference. - Apply the normal distribution to estimate the confidence interval.
If this interval does not include 0, it suggests a difference in population proportions; if it includes 0, it implies the population proportions might be the same. This framework helps in educational outcomes analysis to statistically assess the effects of interventions like preschool.
Educational Outcomes Analysis
Educational outcomes analysis involves exploring and interpreting various educational metrics to understand their implications on students' future success. By analyzing graduation rates and utilizing statistical tools like confidence intervals, educators and policymakers can infer the impacts of educational experiences, such as preschool attendance, on student achievements.
In our analysis here, two key insights emerge:
  • Preschool attendance alone may not guarantee improved graduation rates, as seen in the slightly higher rates among those who did not attend preschool.
  • Confidence intervals add depth to this analysis by indicating whether observed differences are statistically significant or could happen by chance.
Educators use these analyses to identify effective educational strategies, optimize resource allocation, and tailor interventions that align with desired educational outcomes. The ultimate goal is to use reliable data to enhance student success across different groups and environments.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose it is known that \(20 \%\) of students at a certain college participate in a textbook recycling program each semester. a. If a random sample of 50 students is selected, do we expect that exactly \(20 \%\) of the sample participates in the textbook recycling program? Why or why not? b. Suppose we take a sample of 500 students and find the sample proportion participating in the recycling program. Which sample proportion do you think is more likely to be closer to \(20 \%\) : the proportion from a sample size of 50 or the proportion from a sample size of \(500 ?\) Explain your reasoning.

In a simple random sample of 1200 Americans age 20 and over, the proportion with diabetes was found to be \(0.115\) (or \(11.5 \%)\). a. What is the standard error for the estimate of the proportion of all Americans age 20 and over with diabetes? b. Find the margin of error, using a \(95 \%\) confidence level, for estimating this proportion. c. Report the \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of all Americans age 20 and over with diabetes. d. According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, nationally, \(10.7 \%\) of all Americans age 20 or over have diabetes. Does the confidence interval you found in part c support or refute this claim? Explain.

Statistics student Hector Porath wanted to find out whether gender and the use of turn signals when driving were independent. He made notes when driving in his truck for several weeks. He noted the gender of each person that he observed and whether he or she used the turn signal when turning or changing lanes. (In his state, the law says that you must use your turn signal when changing lanes, as well as when turning.) The data he collected are shown in the table. $$\begin{array}{|l|l|l|}\hline & \text { Men } & \text { Women } \\\\\hline \text { Turn signal } & 585 & 452 \\ \hline \text { No signal } & 351 & 155 \\\\\hline & 936 & 607 \\ \hline\end{array}$$ a. What percentage of men used turn signals, and what percentage of women used them? b. Assuming the conditions are met (although admittedly this was not a random selection), find a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the difference in percentages. State whether the interval captures 0, and explain whether this provides evidence that the proportions of men and women who use turn signals differ in the population. c. Another student collected similar data with a smaller sample size: $$\begin{array}{|l|c|c|}\hline & \text { Men } & \text { Women } \\\\\hline \text { Turn Signal } & 59 & 45 \\ \hline \text { No Signal } & 35 & 16 \\\\\hline & 94 & 61 \\ \hline\end{array}$$ First find the percentage of men and the percentage of women who used turn signals, and then, assuming the conditions are met, find a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the difference in percentages. State whether the interval captures 0 , and explain whether this provides evidence that the percentage of men who use turn signals differs from the percentage of women who do so. d. Are the conclusions in parts \(\mathrm{b}\) and \(\mathrm{c}\) different? Explain.

Suppose you want to estimate the mean grade point average (GPA) of all students at your school. You set up a table in the library asking for volunteers to tell you their GPAs. Do you think you would get a representative sample? Why or why not?

Suppose it is known that \(60 \%\) of employees at a company use a Flexible Spending Account (FSA) benefit. a. If a random sample of 200 employees is selected, do we expect that exactly \(60 \%\) of the sample uses an FSA? Why or why not? b. Find the standard error for samples of size 200 drawn from this population. What adjustments could be made to the sampling method to produce a sample proportion that is more precise?

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