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According to a 2018 Pew Research report, \(40 \%\) of Americans read print books exclusively (rather than reading some digital books). Suppose a random sample of 500 Americans is selected. a. What percentage of the sample would we expect to read print books exclusively? b. Verify that the conditions for the Central Limit Theorem are met. c. What is the standard error for this sample proportion? d. Complete this sentence: We expect ____\(\%\) of Americans to read print books exclusively, give or take ______\(\%\) .

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. We would expect \(40 \%\) of the sample to read print books exclusively. b. The conditions for the Central Limit Theorem are met, because the sample size of 500 is larger than 30 and the sample is random. c. The standard error for this sample proportion is \(0.022\) or \(2.2\% \). d. We expect \(40\%\) of Americans to read print books exclusively, give or take \(2.2\% \).

Step by step solution

01

Expected Proportion

The question mentions that \(40 \%\) Americans are expected to read print books exclusively. When applied to a random sample of 500 Americans, we would expect the same percentage of people (i.e. \(40 \%\) in the sample) to read print books. Hence, the expected proportion is .4
02

Verifying Central Limit Theorem conditions

The conditions for applying the Central Limit Theorem are two: (1) the sample is random and (2) the sample size is sufficiently large (n > 30). Both conditions are met (the sample of 500 is larger than 30 and is said to be random).
03

Calculating Standard Error

The standard error (SE) of a proportion in a statistical population can be calculated using the formula \[\sqrt{p(1-p)/n}\] where 'p' is the sample proportion (0.4) and 'n' is the sample size (500). Plugging in these numbers, we get: \[\sqrt{0.4 \times 0.6 / 500} = 0.022\]
04

Complete Sentence

We expect \(40\%\) of Americans (i.e., the given proportion) to read print books exclusively. By adding and subtracting the standard error to/from this expected proportion, we can give the sentence: 'We expect \(40\%\) of Americans to read print books exclusively, give or take \(2.2\%\)'.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Proportion
The concept of sample proportion is central to statistics, helping us understand how a trait reflects within a sample from a larger population. If we consider a study where 40% of Americans are said to read print books exclusively, this 40% is the sample proportion, often denoted by 'p'.
In simple terms, out of every 100 people sampled, about 40 would exclusively read print books. A sample proportion provides a clear insight into what we can expect from the broader population when a representative sample is taken.
It's crucial in studies to ensure that the sample is random and representative, as this impacts the accuracy of the sample proportion in reflecting the population's characteristics.
  • A value that represents a part of the whole from the sampled population.
  • Expressed as a decimal or a percentage of the population.
  • Is an estimation based on data collected from your specific sample set.
Standard Error
The standard error (SE) is a measure that tells us how much discrepancy or variability might exist between a sample statistic and the actual population parameter. It helps us understand the precision of our sample measure, in this case, the sample proportion.
For a proportion, it's calculated using the formula \(\sqrt{p(1-p)/n}\), where \(p\) is the sample proportion and \(n\) is the sample size. This mathematical form gives us an estimation of the potential error in our measurement.
For example, when calculated for a sample size of 500 where 40% of respondents read print books, the standard error is approximately 2.2%.
This implies that when drawing samples of the same size, the sample proportion will typically only differ by 2.2 percent from the true population proportion.
  • Reflects the extent of variability in the sample estimate of a population parameter.
  • Allows us to construct a margin of error for making population predictions.
  • Is smaller with larger sample sizes and higher precision.
Statistical Population
The statistical population is the entire group that you want to draw conclusions about in your study, which, in this case, is all Americans when considering how many read print books exclusively.
This entire group encompasses every individual within the target of your study's interest, providing the backdrop against which sample proportions and other statistics are measured.
When investigators aim to understand habits or trends among people (like reading preferences), the population is a fundamental concept, serving as the benchmark for interpreting sample data. Knowing the complete population allows for representative sampling, ensuring that derived statistics are relevant and valid for making inferences.
  • Represents the full set of items or individuals of interest.
  • Provides a basis for sampling and external validity of research findings.
  • Is the context against which samples are compared to draw broader insights.

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