/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 22 Suppose that we have a sample sp... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91影视

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Suppose that we have a sample space with five equally likely experimental outcomes: \(E_{1}\) \(E_{2}, E_{3}, E_{4}, E_{5} \text { . Let } \) \\[ \begin{aligned} \qquad \begin{aligned} A &=\left\\{E_{1}, E_{2}\right\\} \\ B &=\left\\{E_{3}, E_{4}\right\\} \\ C &=\left\\{E_{2}, E_{3}, E_{5}\right\\} \end{aligned} \end{aligned} \\] a. Find \(P(A), P(B),\) and \(P(C)\) b. Find \(P(A \cup B)\). Are \(A\) and \(B\) mutually exclusive? c. \(\quad\) Find \(A^{c}, C^{c}, P\left(A^{c}\right),\) and \(P\left(C^{c}\right)\) d. Find \(A \cup B^{c}\) and \(P\left(A \cup B^{c}\right)\) e. Find \(P(B \cup C)\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. \(P(A) = \frac{2}{5}\), \(P(B) = \frac{2}{5}\), \(P(C) = \frac{3}{5}\); b. \(P(A \cup B) = \frac{4}{5}\), Yes; c. \(A^c = \{E_3, E_4, E_5\}\), \(C^c = \{E_1, E_4\}\), \(P(A^c) = \frac{3}{5}\), \(P(C^c) = \frac{2}{5}\); d. \(A \cup B^c = \{E_1, E_2, E_5\}\), \(P(A \cup B^c) = \frac{3}{5}\); e. \(P(B \cup C) = \frac{4}{5}\).

Step by step solution

01

Determine P(A), P(B), and P(C)

The sample space comprises five equally likely outcomes: \(E_1, E_2, E_3, E_4, E_5\). Since all outcomes are equally likely, each has a probability of \(\frac{1}{5}\). The probability of a set is the sum of the probabilities of its outcomes. Thus: \(P(A) = \frac{2}{5}\), \(P(B) = \frac{2}{5}\), \(P(C) = \frac{3}{5}\).
02

Determine P(A 鈭 B) and Check Mutual Exclusivity

The union \(A \cup B\) consists of \(\{E_1, E_2, E_3, E_4\}\). Calculate \(P(A \cup B)\) by adding probabilities of all outcomes in \(A \cup B\): \(P(A \cup B) = \frac{4}{5}\). Events \(A\) and \(B\) are mutually exclusive if they have no common outcomes, which is true in this case, as \(A \cap B = \emptyset\). Thus, \(A\) and \(B\) are mutually exclusive.
03

Determine A鈦 and C鈦 and Their Probabilities

Complement \(A^c = \{E_3, E_4, E_5\}\) includes all outcomes not in \(A\). Complement \(C^c = \{E_1, E_4\}\) includes all outcomes not in \(C\). Calculate \(P(A^c) = \frac{3}{5}\) and \(P(C^c) = \frac{2}{5}\).
04

Determine A 鈭 B鈦 and Its Probability

Complement \(B^c = \{E_1, E_2, E_5\}\). Union \(A \cup B^c = \{E_1, E_2, E_5\}\). Calculate \(P(A \cup B^c) = \frac{3}{5}\).
05

Determine P(B 鈭 C)

The union \(B \cup C\) includes \(\{E_2, E_3, E_4, E_5\}\) by combining outcomes from both sets. Calculate \(P(B \cup C) = \frac{4}{5}\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Space
The sample space refers to the set of all possible outcomes of a particular experiment.
In probability theory, it is denoted by the letter \( S \).
For our exercise, the sample space is \( \{E_1, E_2, E_3, E_4, E_5\} \). Each outcome is one of the possible results of the experiment.
To calculate probabilities, it is essential to know the total number of outcomes within the sample space.
When all outcomes are equally likely, as in this case, the probability of each individual outcome is given by \( \frac{1}{n} \),
where \( n \) is the total number of outcomes in the sample space.
This concept helps in determining the probability of any event occurring by analyzing the proportion of the sample space it covers.
In our exercise, since there are five outcomes, each has a probability of \( \frac{1}{5} \).
By understanding the sample space, you can easily deduce the likelihood of any event defined in relation to it.
Mutually Exclusive Events
Mutually exclusive events are events that cannot occur at the same time.
In other words, if one event happens, the other cannot.
In this exercise, events \( A \) and \( B \) are mutually exclusive.
This is because their intersection is the empty set, meaning they have no outcomes in common:
  • Event \( A \): \( \{E_1, E_2\} \)
  • Event \( B \): \( \{E_3, E_4\} \)
Their intersection \( A \cap B = \emptyset \).
If two events are mutually exclusive, the probability of their union is simply the sum of their individual probabilities:
\( P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) \). This principle reflects the fact that the occurrence of one does not affect the occurrence of the other.
In practical terms, it means when one event's occurrence is confirmed,
there's no need to consider the possibility of the other event occurring simultaneously.
By recognizing mutually exclusive events, you can simplify probability calculations significantly.
Event Complement
The complement of an event refers to all possible outcomes that are not part of that event.
If you have an event \( A \), its complement, \( A^c \), is the set of all outcomes in the sample space that are not in \( A \).
For example, in our exercise:
  • Event \( A = \{E_1, E_2\} \)
  • Complement \( A^c = \{E_3, E_4, E_5\} \)
This means any outcome not in \( A \) is in \( A^c \).
The probability of the complement can be easily calculated using the formula:
\( P(A^c) = 1 - P(A) \).
This highlights that the total probability of all possible outcomes (events plus their complements) always equals 1.
Understanding event complements is crucial for tackling probability questions that ask for the likelihood of an event not occurring.
Inverted situations often require focusing on the complement rather than the original event itself.
Union of Events
The union of two events includes all the outcomes that are part of either event, or both.
It is represented by the symbol \( \cup \).
To find the union, you combine all unique outcomes from the given events.
In the exercise, consider the union of events \( A \) and \( B \):
  • Event \( A = \{E_1, E_2\} \)
  • Event \( B = \{E_3, E_4\} \)
  • \( A \cup B = \{E_1, E_2, E_3, E_4\} \)
The probability of the union is calculated by considering all outcomes in \( A \cup B \).
If events are mutually exclusive, as in the case of \( A \) and \( B \), this probability is simply the sum of the probabilities of each event:
\( P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) \).
Understanding unions is essential to evaluate scenarios where the occurrence of one or more different events is of interest.
By identifying the union of events, you provide an overall picture of "either-or" occurrences, which can simplify the decision-making process in probabilistic evaluations.
Unions are powerful when combined with other set operations, allowing for complex probability assessments.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A local bank reviewed its credit card policy with the intention of recalling some of its credit cards. In the past approximately \(5 \%\) of cardholders defaulted, leaving the bank unable to collect the outstanding balance. Hence, management established a prior probability of .05 that any particular cardholder will default. The bank also found that the probability of missing a monthly payment is .20 for customers who do not default. Of course, the probability of missing a monthly payment for those who default is 1 a. Given that a customer missed one or more monthly payments, compute the posterior probability that the customer will default. b. The bank would like to recall its card if the probability that a customer will default is greater than \(.20 .\) Should the bank recall its card if the customer misses a monthly payment? Why or why not?

A Morgan Stanley Consumer Research Survey sampled men and women and asked each whether they preferred to drink plain bottled water or a sports drink such as Gatorade or Propel Fitness water (The Atlanta Journal-Constitution, December 28,2005 ). Suppose 200 men and 200 women participated in the study, and 280 reported they preferred plain bottled water. Of the group preferring a sports drink, 80 were men and 40 were women. Let \(M=\) the event the consumer is a man \(W=\) the event the consumer is a woman \(B=\) the event the consumer preferred plain bottled water \(S=\) the event the consumer preferred sports drink a. What is the probability a person in the study preferred plain bottled water? b. What is the probability a person in the study preferred a sports drink? c. What are the conditional probabilities \(P(M | S)\) and \(P(W | S) ?\) d. What are the joint probabilities \(P(M \cap S)\) and \(P(W \cap S) ?\) e. Given a consumer is a man, what is the probability he will prefer a sports drink? f. Given a consumer is a woman, what is the probability she will prefer a sports drink? g. Is preference for a sports drink independent of whether the consumer is a man or a woman? Explain using probability information.

An experiment has four equally likely outcomes: \(E_{1}, E_{2}, E_{3},\) and \(E_{4}\) a. What is the probability that \(E_{2}\) occurs? b. What is the probability that any two of the outcomes occur (e.g., \(E_{1}\) or \(E_{3}\) )? c. What is the probability that any three of the outcomes occur (e.g., \(E_{1}\) or \(E_{2}\) or \(E_{4}\) )?

A company studied the number of lost-time accidents occurring at its Brownsville, Texas, plant. Historical records show that \(6 \%\) of the employees suffered lost-time accidents last year. Management believes that a special safety program will reduce such accidents to \(5 \%\) during the current year. In addition, it estimates that \(15 \%\) of employees who had lost-time accidents last year will experience a lost-time accident during the current year. a. What percentage of the employees will experience lost-time accidents in both years? b. What percentage of the employees will suffer at least one lost-time accident over the two-year period?

A study of 31,000 hospital admissions in New York State found that \(4 \%\) of the admissions led to treatment-caused injuries. One-seventh of these treatment-caused injuries resulted in death, and one-fourth were caused by negligence. Malpractice claims were filed in one out of 7.5 cases involving negligence, and payments were made in one out of every two claims. a. What is the probability a person admitted to the hospital will suffer a treatment-caused injury due to negligence? b. What is the probability a person admitted to the hospital will die from a treatmentcaused injury? c. In the case of a negligent treatment-caused injury, what is the probability a malpractice claim will be paid?

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