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How is the power of a test related to the type II error?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The power of a test is \\( 1 - eta \\\,\\), meaning it increases as the type II error decreases.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding Type II Error

The type II error, denoted as \( eta \,\), occurs when the test fails to reject the null hypothesis \( H_0 \,\) when the alternative hypothesis \( H_1 \,\) is true. This error is also called a false negative.
02

Defining Power of a Test

The power of a statistical test is the probability that it correctly rejects the null hypothesis when the alternative hypothesis is true. It is represented as \( 1 - eta \,\), where \( eta \,\) is the probability of making a type II error.
03

Relating Power and Type II Error

The power of a test is directly related to the type II error. Since power is defined as \( 1 - eta \,\), increases in power imply decreases in the probability of making a type II error, and vice versa.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Type II Error
In hypothesis testing, a Type II error is when we mistakenly accept the null hypothesis, even though the alternative hypothesis is true. This is often referred to as a 'false negative.' Understanding this error type is critical because it directly affects the test's reliability and the conclusions we draw from it. The probability of committing a Type II error is generally denoted by the symbol \( \beta \). This error reflects missed detections and can have significant implications depending on the context of the test. For example, if a new drug is ineffective vs effective identification, a Type II error can lead to believing the drug doesn't work when it actually does. In practice, decreasing Type II errors often requires increasing the sample size or using more sensitive testing procedures, but it is important to consider the balance with Type I errors. A robust test design minimizes both Type I and Type II errors.
Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis, denoted as \( H_0 \), is a fundamental concept in hypothesis testing. It represents a default position or the baseline assumption, where no effect or no difference is expected. For example, let's say you want to test if a coin is fair. The null hypothesis would state that the coin has an equal chance of landing heads or tails (50/50 chance). Rejecting the null hypothesis typically means that there is sufficient evidence to support a change or effect, contrary to the default assumption. A critical part of hypothesis testing is determining the probability of observing the data assuming the null hypothesis is true, often referred to as the p-value. This helps scientists and researchers decide whether to reject \( H_0 \) or not, balancing the risk between Type I and Type II errors.
Alternative Hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis, denoted as \( H_1 \) or \( H_a \), is what researchers aim to prove in hypothesis testing. It suggests that there is a significant effect or difference contrary to the null hypothesis. Continuing with the coin-tossing example, the alternative hypothesis might state that the coin is biased, and it doesn't have a 50/50 chance of landing heads or tails. For researchers, supporting the alternative hypothesis means that their data provides enough evidence against \( H_0 \), indicating a significant observation or effect. Choosing a directional (e.g., "greater than" or "less than") vs. non-directional alternative hypothesis depends on what you expect from the test. Accurately framing the alternative hypothesis allows for effective testing and analyzing of statistical power, which is crucial for reducing errors like Type II.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Perform each of the following steps. a. State the hypotheses and identify the claim. b. Find the critical value(s). c. Find the test value. d. Make the decision. e. Summarize the results. Use the traditional method of hypothesis testing unless otherwise specified. Assume that the population is approximately normally distributed. The U.S. Bureau of Labor and Statistics reported that a person between the ages of 18 and 34 has had an average of 9.2 jobs. To see if this average is correct, a researcher selected a random sample of 8 workers between the ages of 18 and 34 and asked how many different places they had worked. The results were as follows: $$ \begin{array}{llllllll} 8 & 12 & 15 & 6 & 1 & 9 & 13 & 2 \end{array} $$ At \(\alpha=0.05,\) can it be concluded that the mean is \(9.2 ?\) Use the \(P\) -value method. Give one reason why the respondents might not have given the exact number of jobs that they have worked.

A special cable has a breaking strength of 800 pounds. The standard deviation of the population is 12 pounds. A researcher selects a random sample of 20 cables and finds that the average breaking strength is 793 pounds. Can he reject the claim that the breaking strength is 800 pounds? Find the \(P\) -value. Should the null hypothesis be rejected at \(\alpha=0.01 ?\) Assume that the variable is normally distributed.

The average 1-year-old (both genders) is 29 inches tall. A random sample of 30 1-year-olds in a large day care franchise resulted in the following heights. At \(\alpha=0.05,\) can it be concluded that the average height differs from 29 inches? Assume \(\sigma=2.61\). $$ \begin{array}{llllllllll} 25 & 32 & 35 & 25 & 30 & 26.5 & 26 & 25.5 & 29.5 & 32 \\ 30 & 28.5 & 30 & 32 & 28 & 31.5 & 29 & 29.5 & 30 & 34 \\ 29 & 32 & 27 & 28 & 33 & 28 & 27 & 32 & 29 & 29.5 \end{array} $$

Perform each of the following steps. a. State the hypotheses and identify the claim. b. Find the critical value(s). c. Compute the test value. d. Make the decision. e. Summarize the results. Use the traditional method of hypothesis testing unless otherwise specified. The Energy Information Administration reported that \(51.7 \%\) of homes in the United States were heated by natural gas. A random sample of 200 homes found that 115 were heated by natural gas. Does the evidence support the claim, or has the percentage changed? Use \(\alpha=0.05\) and the \(P\) -value method. What could be different if the sample were taken in a different geographic area?

Assume that the variables are normally or approximately normally distributed. Use the traditional method of hypothesis testing unless otherwise specified. A manufacturing process produces machine parts with measurements the standard deviation of which must be no more than \(0.52 \mathrm{~mm}\). A random sample of 20 parts in a given lot revealed a standard deviation in measurement of \(0.568 \mathrm{~mm}\). Is there sufficient evidence at \(\alpha=0.05\) to conclude that the standard deviation of the parts is outside the required guidelines?

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