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According to the National Association of Home Builders, the average cost of building a home in the Northeast is \(\$ 117.91\) per square foot. A random sample of 36 new homes indicated that the mean cost was \(\$ 122.57\) and the standard deviation was \(\$ 20 .\) Can it be concluded that the mean cost differs from \(\$ 117.91,\) using the 0.10 level of significance?

Short Answer

Expert verified
No, there is not enough evidence to conclude the mean cost differs from $117.91 at the 0.10 significance level.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Hypotheses

To determine if the mean cost differs from $117.91, we formulate the null hypothesis \( H_0 \) as \( \mu = 117.91 \), which suggests there is no difference. The alternative hypothesis \( H_a \) is \( \mu eq 117.91 \), indicating there is a difference. This is a two-tailed test.
02

Identify the Test Statistic Formula

Since the sample size is 36, which is considered large, we use the Z-test to conduct the hypothesis test. The test statistic \( Z \) is calculated using the formula: \[ Z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}} \] where \( \bar{x} \) is the sample mean, \( \mu \) is the hypothesized population mean, \( \sigma \) is the standard deviation of the sample, and \( n \) is the sample size.
03

Plug in the Values and Calculate the Test Statistic

Substitute the given values into the formula. Here, \( \bar{x} = 122.57 \), \( \mu = 117.91 \), \( \sigma = 20 \), and \( n = 36 \). Thus, the Z-test statistic is calculated as follows: \[ Z = \frac{122.57 - 117.91}{\frac{20}{\sqrt{36}}} = \frac{4.66}{3.33} \approx 1.40 \]
04

Determine the Critical Z-Value and Decision Rule

The level of significance \( \alpha \) is 0.10 for a two-tailed test. Using the standard normal distribution table, the critical Z-values for \( \alpha = 0.10 \) (0.05 in each tail) are approximately \( \pm 1.645 \). Thus, if the calculated \( Z \) falls outside the range \(-1.645\) to \(1.645\), we will reject the null hypothesis.
05

Make the Decision Based on Calculated Z

The calculated Z statistic is approximately 1.40, which falls within the range of \(-1.645\) to \(1.645\). This means we do not reject the null hypothesis at the 0.10 level of significance, indicating there isn't enough evidence to conclude that the mean cost differs from $117.91.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Z-test
The Z-test is a statistical procedure used to determine if there is a significant difference between the means of a sample and a population. In our exercise, the question explores whether the average cost of building a home differs significantly from an assumed population mean of \( \\( 117.91 \) per square foot. The Z-test is particularly useful when the sample size is large, typically over 30, allowing the Central Limit Theorem to apply.

Here's how we apply the Z-test:
  • First, ensure the sample size is sufficiently large, enabling the use of the normal distribution approximation.
  • Identify your sample mean \( (\bar{x}) \), population mean \( (\mu) \), sample standard deviation \( (\sigma) \), and sample size \( (n) \).
  • Use the formula \[ Z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}} \] to calculate the Z value.
  • Use the standard normal distribution to evaluate if the calculated Z value indicates a statistically significant difference.
By calculating the Z value for our sample, we determine if the observed mean significantly deviates from the expected mean of \( \\) 117.91 \). This helps us make informed decisions based on statistical evidence rather than assumptions.
Null and Alternative Hypotheses
In hypothesis testing, formulating clear hypotheses is crucial. The null hypothesis \( (H_0) \) and alternative hypothesis \( (H_a) \) serve as starting points for the test.

For the given exercise:
  • The null hypothesis \( (H_0) \) is formulated as \( \mu = 117.91 \). This suggests that there is no significant difference; the mean cost of building a home is \( \$ 117.91 \).
  • The alternative hypothesis \( (H_a) \) posits \( \mu eq 117.91 \). It suggests that the mean cost differs, opening up the possibility for either a higher or lower average than what is reported.
In this context, we conduct a two-tailed test since we are interested in any significant deviation away from \( 117.91 \), irrespective of direction. The decision to reject or not the null hypothesis is based on the test results and helps determine if there is substantial evidence for any noted disparity in the mean costs.
Significance Level
The significance level \( (\alpha) \) in hypothesis testing defines the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true. This level, often expressed as a percentage, reflects the risk analysts are willing to take on reaching a false positive conclusion.

In the context of the exercise:
  • We use a significance level of \( 0.10 \). In practical terms, this means that there is a 10% risk of incorrectly rejecting the null hypothesis.
  • For a two-tailed test at this significance level, the critical Z-values designate the cutoff points beyond which we reject \( H_0 \). In this case, values are approximately \( \pm 1.645 \).
This level guides our understanding of the confidence we have in the test results. For our exercise, since the calculated Z fell within the critical range, we did not reject the null hypothesis, indicating we lack enough evidence at the 0.10 significance level to state that the mean differs from \( \$ 117.91 \). This decision helps ensure that any conclusions drawn are robust and statistically justified.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose a statistician chose to test a hypothesis at \(\alpha=0.01\). The critical value for a right-tailed test is \(+2.33 .\) If the test value were \(1.97,\) what would the decision be? What would happen if, after seeing the test value, she decided to choose \(\alpha=0.05 ?\) What would the decision be? Explain the contradiction, if there is one.

Perform each of the following steps. a. State the hypotheses and identify the claim. b. Find the critical value(s). c. Find the test value. d. Make the decision. e. Summarize the results. Use the traditional method of hypothesis testing unless otherwise specified. Assume that the population is approximately normally distributed. Teens are reported to watch the fewest total hours of television per week of all the demographic groups. The average television viewing for teens on Sunday from 1: 00 to 7: 00 P.M. is 58 minutes. A random sample of local teens disclosed the following times for Sunday afternoon television viewing. At \(\alpha=0.01\), can it be concluded that the average is greater than the national viewing time? (Note: Change all times to minutes.) $$ \begin{aligned} &\begin{array}{llll} 2: 30 & 2: 00 & 1: 30 & 3: 20 \end{array}\\\ &\begin{array}{llll} 1: 00 & 2: 15 & 1: 50 & 2: 10 \end{array}\\\ &\begin{array}{ll} 1: 30 & 2: 30 \end{array} \end{aligned} $$

Assume that the variables are normally or approximately normally distributed. Use the traditional method of hypothesis testing unless otherwise specified. A machine fills 12 -ounce bottles with soda. For the machine to function properly, the standard deviation of the population must be less than or equal to 0.03 ounce. A random sample of 8 bottles is selected, and the number of ounces of soda in each bottle is given. At \(\alpha=0.05,\) can we reject the claim that the machine is functioning properly? Use the \(P\) -value method. \(\begin{array}{llll}12.03 & 12.10 & 12.02 & 11.98 \\ 12.00 & 12.05 & 11.97 & 11.99\end{array}\)

Assume that the variables are normally or approximately normally distributed. Use the traditional method of hypothesis testing unless otherwise specified. Test the claim that the standard deviation of the ages of psychologists in Pennsylvania is 8.6 at \(\alpha=0.05 .\) A random sample of 12 psychologists had a standard deviation of \(9.3 .\)

The average monthly cell phone bill was reported to be \(\$ 50.07\) by the U.S. Wireless Industry. Random sampling of a large cell phone company found the following monthly cell phone charges (in dollars): $$ \begin{array}{llll} 55.83 & 49.88 & 62.98 & 70.42 \\ 60.47 & 52.45 & 49.20 & 50.02 \\ 58.60 & 51.29 & & \end{array} $$ At the 0.05 level of significance, can it be concluded that the average phone bill has increased?

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