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The average monthly cell phone bill was reported to be \(\$ 50.07\) by the U.S. Wireless Industry. Random sampling of a large cell phone company found the following monthly cell phone charges (in dollars): $$ \begin{array}{llll} 55.83 & 49.88 & 62.98 & 70.42 \\ 60.47 & 52.45 & 49.20 & 50.02 \\ 58.60 & 51.29 & & \end{array} $$ At the 0.05 level of significance, can it be concluded that the average phone bill has increased?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The average phone bill has increased.

Step by step solution

01

Formulate the Hypotheses

We need to establish our null and alternative hypotheses. The null hypothesis \( H_0 \) states that the average monthly cell phone bill is \( \mu = 50.07 \), while the alternative hypothesis \( H_1 \) posits that the average has increased, or \( \mu > 50.07 \).
02

Calculate the Sample Mean

First, sum all the charges: \( 55.83 + 49.88 + 62.98 + 70.42 + 60.47 + 52.45 + 49.20 + 50.02 + 58.60 + 51.29 = 561.14 \). Since there are 10 observations, the sample mean \( \bar{x} = \frac{561.14}{10} = 56.114 \).
03

Calculate the Sample Standard Deviation

Using the sample data, first calculate each deviation from the mean, square it, and then find the average of those squares. The formula is \( s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}{n-1}} \), where \( n \) is the sample size.
04

Determine the Test Statistic

Use the t-test formula: \( t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{s/\sqrt{n}} \). This requires the sample standard deviation from Step 3 and the sample mean from Step 2.
05

Find the Critical Value and Make a Decision

At the 0.05 significance level and with \( n-1 = 9 \) degrees of freedom, find the critical t-value using a t-distribution table. Compare the test statistic from Step 4 to the critical value to decide whether to reject \( H_0 \).
06

Conclusion

If the test statistic exceeds the critical value, reject the null hypothesis \( H_0 \), indicating that the average phone bill has increased.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis is a fundamental concept in statistical hypothesis testing. It provides a statement that is presumed true until evidence suggests otherwise.
In this exercise, the null hypothesis (\(H_0\)) proposes that the average monthly cell phone bill remains at \( \$50.07 \).
The hypothesis testing is designed to challenge this baseline by exploring evidence that could support an alternative scenario.

By maintaining the null hypothesis, researchers set a benchmark from which deviations are measured. If the data provides enough evidence to contradict the null hypothesis, it may be rejected. In our scenario, the null hypothesis claims stability in monthly charges, creating a point of comparison for new data emerging from a sample.
Sample Mean
The sample mean plays a critical role in statistics as it serves as an estimator of the population mean.
In our exercise, the sample mean, \(\bar{x}\), of the cell phone charges was calculated by adding all the sample data values and dividing by the number of observations.

This sample gathered resulted in a mean cell phone charge of \( 56.114 \). The sample mean gives us an insight into whether the sample is representative of the population.
In this exercise, comparing the sample mean to the population mean (\( \mu = 50.07 \)) suggested by the U.S. Wireless Industry is essential for testing the hypothesis of a possible increase in monthly bills.

The sample mean provides a snapshot of the sample data distribution and is critical for further statistical testing.
T-Test
The T-test is a statistical test used to determine whether there is a significant difference between the means of two groups.
In the exercise, it assesses if the calculated sample mean is significantly different from the known population mean.
For this, the t-test considers the sample size (\(n\)), the sample mean (\(\bar{x}\)), the population mean (\(\mu\)), and the sample standard deviation (\(s\)). These components feed into the calculation:\[t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{s/\sqrt{n}}\]
The output, or test statistic, tells us how many standard deviations the sample mean is from the population mean, in the context of the sample's variability.
By comparing this statistic to a critical value from a t-distribution table based on the significance level and degrees of freedom (\(n-1\)), we can decide whether the null hypothesis can be rejected in favor of the alternative hypothesis.
Significance Level
A significance level is crucial in hypothesis testing as it establishes a threshold for rejecting the null hypothesis.
Typically denoted as \( \alpha \), it represents the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true.
In this exercise, the significance level is set at 0.05.This means there is a 5% risk of concluding that the average cell phone bill has increased when in fact it has not.
The chosen significance level dictates the critical value from the t-distribution table. This critical value represents the cut-off point of occurring under the null hypothesis.
A lower significance level makes it harder to reject the null hypothesis, thus reducing the chances of a Type I error, which occurs when \( H_0\) is wrongly rejected. Thus, a balance between statistical rigor and practical decision-making is achieved by careful choice of significance level.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Assume that the variables are normally or approximately normally distributed. Use the traditional method of hypothesis testing unless otherwise specified. A random sample of heights (in feet) of active volcanoes in North America, outside of Alaska, is shown. Is there sufficient evidence that the standard deviation in heights of volcanoes outside Alaska is less than the standard deviation in heights of Alaskan volcanoes, which is 2385.9 feet? Use \(\alpha=0.05 .\) \(\begin{array}{llll}10,777 & 8159 & 11,240 & 10,456 \\ 14,163 & 8363 & & \end{array}\)

How is the power of a test related to the type II error?

Perform each of the following steps. a. State the hypotheses and identify the claim. b. Find the critical value(s). c. Find the test value. d. Make the decision. e. Summarize the results. Use the traditional method of hypothesis testing unless otherwise specified. Assume that the population is approximately normally distributed. The director of a medical hospital feels that her surgeons perform fewer operations per year than the national average of \(211 .\) She selected a random sample of 15 surgeons and found that the mean number of operations they performed was 208.8 . The standard deviation of the sample was 3.8 . Is there enough evidence to support the director's feelings at \(\alpha=0.10 ?\) Would the null hypothesis be rejected at \(\alpha=0.01 ?\)

The mean salary of federal government employees on the General Schedule is \(\$ 59,593 .\) The average salary of 30 randomly selected state employees who do similar work is \(\$ 58,800\) with \(\sigma=\$ 1500\). At the 0.01 level of significance, can it be concluded that state employees earn on average less than federal employees?

Perform each of the following steps. a. State the hypotheses and identify the claim. b. Find the critical value(s). c. Find the test value. d. Make the decision. e. Summarize the results. Use the traditional method of hypothesis testing unless otherwise specified. Assume that the population is approximately normally distributed. The average cost for teeth straightening with metal braces is approximately \(\$ 5400\). A nationwide franchise thinks that its cost is below that figure. A random sample of 28 patients across the country had an average cost of \(\$ 5250\) with a standard deviation of \(\$ 629 .\) At \(\alpha=0.025,\) can it be concluded that the mean is less than \(\$ 5400 ?\)

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